A.I. College Football Picks for Week 3 – Model Riding 7-3 ATS Hot Streak
By Brady Trettenero in College Football
Published:
- SportRadar’s A.I. model went 7-3 ATS on college football picks last week, though totals proved trickier at 4-6
- The model still expects lower scores, picking the under in 80% of this week’s top CFB games
- Below, see A.I. picks for the biggest Week 3 college football games, including ATS predictions
After posting a profitable 7-3 ATS record in Week 2’s marquee games, SportRadar’s A.I. model is back with predictions for Week 3’s loaded slate. The model only went 4-6 on totals last week, but nailed the correct spread in marquee games like Michigan vs Oklahoma and the Border War.
This week features massive matchups with playoff stakes, especially in the SEC and ACC. The model has analyzed everything from Georgia’s trip to Knoxville to Miami hosting red-hot South Florida in the college football odds.
A.I. College Football Picks for Week 3
A.I. college football picks record to date:
- ATS picks: 7-3
- O/U picks: 4-6
Picks generated on September 10, 2025. Check out the top college football betting apps ahead of Week 3.
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Unders Dominate Week 3 Projections
The model is still leaning toward low-scoring games, picking the under in a whopping eight of 10 top matchups (80%). This follows early-season trends where teams struggle with execution against quality competition.
The Georgia-Tennessee under at 49.5 stands out given both teams’ offensive firepower. But the model factors in Georgia’s elite defense, allowing just 140 passing yards per game, and Tennessee missing two starting defensive backs.
Only Arkansas-Ole Miss and South Florida-Miami project as shootouts. Both feature explosive offenses facing vulnerable defenses, particularly Arkansas averaging 7.5 yards per carry against an Ole Miss defense allowing 181.5 rushing yards per game.
Road Dogs Get Model’s Backing
The A.I. is also picking six road underdogs to cover this week, going against the usual home-field advantage. One of its strongest picks is Texas A&M getting 6.5 points at Notre Dame, even though the line moved down from 7.5.
Marcel Reed’s ability to both run and pass gives the Aggies a real shot in South Bend. Notre Dame had trouble protecting their quarterback against Miami, so if A&M can bring similar pressure, they could keep the game close.
Florida getting 7.5 at LSU might raise eyebrows after their stunning loss to South Florida. But the model sees value in a desperate Gators team facing an LSU offense that’s managed just two passing touchdowns through two games.
Key Matchup Breakdowns
Georgia at Tennessee: The model still favors Georgia, even though the line moved from -5.5 to -3.5. Gunner Stockton is playing his first SEC road game, but Georgia’s defense, which allows just 61.5 rushing yards per game, should slow down Tennessee’s running game.
Clemson at Georgia Tech: Our A.I. fades Clemson completely, backing the home dog Yellow Jackets. The Tigers’ offense has been abysmal, averaging just 288.5 yards per game against Georgia Tech’s 571.5 yards per game average.
South Florida at Miami: The model is taking 17.5 points with a Bulls team coming off a program-defining upset over Florida. Byrson Brown’s dual-threat ability could keep USF within striking distance if Miami overlooks them.
A.I. College Football Picks – Results from Week 2
Notable, the A.I. got both picks right in four games last week—Michigan-Oklahoma, Iowa-Iowa State, San Jose State-Texas, and Oregon-Oklahoma State. This suggests that pairing the model’s spread and total picks in parlays could pay off going forward.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
