Skip to content

Boise State vs Washington State Prediction, Picks & Pac-12 Odds

Juan Pablo Aravena

By Juan Pablo Aravena in College Football

Published:


Maddux Madsen playing for Boise State in the 2026 season.
Sep 5, 2026; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Boise State Broncos quarterback Maddux Madsen (4) throws a pass during the first half against the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images
  • No. 21 Boise State brings its punishing ground game to Pullman on Saturday
  • Washington State turns to Owen Eshelman after his dual-threat debut
  • Read below for my Boise State vs Washington State prediction and Pac-12 odds breakdown

No. 21 Boise State (5-1, 2-0 Pac-12) visits Washington State (1-6, 0-3) on Saturday, October 24, at Gesa Field in Pullman. Kickoff is set for 6 p.m. ET on USA Network, with the Broncos laying two touchdowns on the road.

The Cougars made a quarterback change last week, and Eshelman’s mobility gives them a different look. I am weighing that against Boise State’s elite rushing attack to find the best value on the board.

Boise State vs Washington State Prediction

  • Pick: Washington State +14 (-105 at BetMGM)

My Boise State vs Washington State prediction starts with respect for the Broncos. They run for 234.5 yards per game, while Washington State allows 159.6 on the ground. That gap is the clearest edge in this matchup and explains why Boise State sits at -667 on the moneyline.

Still, two full touchdowns are a lot to lay on the road. Eshelman made his first start October 17 at Oregon State, throwing for 289 yards and two touchdowns while adding 136 rushing yards and a score. His legs force defenses to stay honest and can extend drives.

Washington State lost that game 48-30, so the defense is a real concern. But Branden Ganashamoorthy caught 11 passes for 147 yards and a touchdown, giving the Cougars a reliable target if Boise State loads the box. I like the home underdog to keep this inside the number.

Claim the BetMGM promo code before backing the Cougars with the points.

Boise State vs Washington State Picks

  • Pick: Over 53.5 (-108 at BetMGM)

My second of the Boise State vs Washington State picks is the Over. The Broncos score 35 points per game and should find room against a Washington State defense allowing 27.1 points and 159.6 rushing yards per game.

Maddux Madsen keeps this offense on schedule. He has completed 110 of 166 passes for 1,296 yards with 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions, so the Broncos rarely waste possessions. Rasean Jones (23 catches, 359 yards) and tight end Matt Wagner (22 catches, four touchdowns) give him dependable options.

The Cougars hold the key to this total. Washington State averages 20.1 points per game, but it scored 30 in Eshelman’s first start. If his mobility carries over, the home side can contribute enough to push this past 53.5.

This is the higher-variance play of the two, since Boise State could lean on the run and shorten the game. Turnovers matter here too, with the Broncos at +3 and the Cougars at -7.

Boise State vs Washington State Stats

The Boise State vs Washington State rushing matchup starts with Dylan Riley, the engine of the Broncos’ ground attack. He has 835 rushing yards and six touchdowns on 6.6 yards per carry, and he faces a front allowing 158.3 rushing yards per game.

StatBoise StateWashington State
Points per game35.020.1
Points allowed per game22.327.1
Yards per game450.5307.6
Rushing yards per game234.5130.0
Rushing yards allowed per game106.8159.6
Turnover margin+3-7

Boise State holds the edge in every category, especially on the ground. Washington State’s best counter is Eshelman, whose rushing ability gives the Cougars a way to answer Boise State’s scoring and stay within two touchdowns.

Shopping for the best number before Saturday? Compare the top College Football betting apps to find the right fit.

Boise State vs Washington State Pac-12 Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Boise State-14 (-114)-667Over 53.5 (-108)
Washington State+14 (-105)+500Under 53.5 (-111)

The Pac-12 odds at BetMGM have Boise State as a 14-point road favorite, with Washington State +14 priced at -105. The Broncos’ -667 moneyline offers little return, which is why I prefer the Cougars with the points. The total sits at 53.5, with the Over at -108.

Looking beyond traditional sportsbooks? The Novig promo code is another option for bettors who prefer prediction market apps.

Odds via BetMGM, captured October 23.

Juan Pablo Aravena

Juan Pablo is a sports writer and betting analyst with over 15 years' experience in the industry. He is an expert in European and Latin American soccer, as well as NBA, MLB, NHL, NFL, college sports, and EuroLeague. He was born and raised in Chile and is fluent in Spanish, English, and Portuguese.

Recommended Reading