Colorado vs Kansas State Early Prediction, Pick & Line

• The big college football Saturday concludes with a Big 12 battle at Folsom Field as Colorado hosts Kansas State at 10:15 p.m. ET on ESPN
• The former Big 8 and Big 12 rivals are meeting for the first time since 2010
• Check out our early look at the game, with a prediction, insights on the best odds and injury news

Colorado (4-1, 3-2 ATS) hosts No. 18 Kansas State (4-1, 3-2 ATS) with a shot at gaining a massive victory in front of another large audience.

The Buffs have won three in a row since a disappointing loss at Nebraska, and are coming off an impressive 42-20 win over UCF two weeks ago. Colorado was 11-point underdogs in that contest.

Kansas State has been the favorite in each of its last nine contests. Running back DJ Giddens is tied for ninth in the nation with 604 yards.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas State Wildcats Odds

Odds as of October 8 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on any Week 7 CFB matchup.

Shiloh Back In Black

Colorado coach Deion Sanders (like you didn’t know) announced in his early week press conference that his son Shiloh had recovered from a broken arm suffered against Nebraska and was going to play Saturday night.

“He’s a full go,” Sanders said. “I can’t wait to see him back there.”

Shiloh, a 6-foot safety, enters with 11 tackles after recording 67 last season with the Buffs, including four forced fumbles and a pick. He’s always around the ball.

A State of Contentment

Kansas State and coach Chris Klieman were expected to be one of the contenders in the Big 12 this season, and they looked the part in their first three games, winning all three. But in Provo against BYU, the Wildcats got run over 38-9. It was the first time K-State hadn’t scored a touchdown in a game since 2020.

Wildcats quarterback Avery Johnson has thrown for 879 yards with nine touchdowns and is coming off a five-touchdown performance in a win over Oklahoma State, where he threw for three touchdowns and ran for two more.

Of course, his counterpart on the other side of the ball, Shadeur Sanders, is considered one of the nation’s best two-way threats. Shadeur is 10th in the nation in passing yards (1,630) and thrown for 14 touchdowns.

Colorado vs Kansas State Prediction

• Colorado +4 (-110) at BetMGM
• Over 56.5 (-110) at FanDuel

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A lot of money has come in on the Buffs since the line was posted and it’s dropped almost two full points at some national sportsbooks.

Is this the smarts trying to lure money on the Buffs, or is there something deeper here?

Two factors give us some belief in the Buffs, the big one is the fact that the Wildcats defense is one of the worst in the nation against the pass. They rank 101st against the pass and have had a problem giving up big plays.

Sure, Kansas State is good against the run, but Colorado isn’t looking to drive the ball 70 yards in eight minutes, they want to hit some big plays in the passing game.

Kansas State certainly has the edge in the running game with Giddens, but how patient will they be with it if they get down early?

Another Colorado Hail Mary leads to victory: pic.twitter.com/jAl5yG559B

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 22, 2024

The other factor we like is the home field advantage for the Buffaloes at home. The weather forecast calls for cool, clear temperatures, so that’s not a factor. Remember the Hail Mary to force OT for Colorado against Baylor at home? Colorado is a better team at home than they are on the road, and the crowd will be looking for a Top 25 upset.

Colorado’s offensive line has played much better since the Nebraska loss, plus the Buffs still have two-way threat Travis Hunter.

The over/under total is sitting right at 56.5 everywhere. The moneyline bet on Colorado is at FanDuel at +172 for Colorado and -210 for Kansas State.

These two teams played every year from 1948 to 2010. Colorado leads the series 45-20 with one tie.