Longshot College Football Parlay Today: $10 to Win $1,449 on 4 Underdogs

• Four outright underdogs make up this longshot college football parlay today.
• Turnovers, run defense and quarterback play drive every leg.
• Read below for the full parlay odds, picks and payout.

Week 7 of the 2026 college football season brings real College Football Playoff stakes and a loaded Saturday slate. All four games on this ticket kick off at noon ET on October 17, so the whole thing gets settled by mid-afternoon.

There’s value on spreads and totals this week, but I’m skipping both for this longshot college football parlay today. Instead, I’m backing four underdogs to win outright, all on the moneyline and all in one BetMGM parlay.

I leaned on turnover numbers, run defense and quarterback production to find the spots where I think an upset is live. Here’s the ticket, the odds and the math on a $10 bet.

Longshot College Football Parlay Odds Today

Odds as of October 17, 2026, via BetMGM. New users can check the latest BetMGM promo code before building the parlay.

Longshot College Football Parlay Picks Today

1. Indiana vs Ohio State: Hoosiers Moneyline

• Indiana moneyline +130 at BetMGM

The Indiana Hoosiers host Ohio State at Memorial Stadium (noon ET, FOX) with one of the country’s best offenses, averaging 40.2 points per game. Quarterback Josh Hoover has been close to perfect in 2026, completing 68.2% of his passes for 1,364 yards, 17 touchdowns and zero interceptions.

Ohio State has a dangerous passing game behind Julian Sayin, but Indiana’s defense has been just as impressive as its offense. The Hoosiers allow only 75.0 rushing yards and 263.5 total yards per game. If that defense keeps the Buckeyes one-dimensional and Hoover keeps protecting the ball, Indiana has a strong case to win this one at home.

2. Mississippi State vs LSU: Bulldogs Moneyline

• Mississippi State moneyline +600 at BetMGM

This is the biggest price on the ticket, and the Bulldogs have the offense to back it up. Mississippi State piles up 487.0 total yards per game and averages 309.2 passing yards per game as a team. Quarterback Kamario Taylor has thrown for 1,450 yards and 17 touchdowns in five games, good for 290.0 yards per game.

LSU has had trouble holding onto the football. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown 8 interceptions, part of 10 total team turnovers. Mississippi State can move the ball through the air against anyone on its schedule, and if Leavitt gives the Bulldogs extra possessions in this noon ET kickoff on ESPN, a road upset is very much in play.

3. Virginia vs SMU: Cavaliers Moneyline

• Virginia moneyline +275 at BetMGM

Virginia brings a +6 turnover margin into Dallas for this noon ET game on The CW. Quarterback Beau Pribula gives the Cavaliers a dual-threat option, completing 66.4% of his passes with just one interception.

SMU has been careless with the football, turning it over 9 times through five games, and quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown 5 interceptions. That gap in ball security is the whole case here. If the trend holds, Virginia can win the field position battle and steal one on the road.

4. Kansas vs Kansas State: Jayhawks Moneyline

• Kansas moneyline +140 at BetMGM

I’m closing the parlay with the Sunflower Showdown at noon ET on FS1. Dual-threat quarterback Isaiah Marshall leads a Kansas offense putting up 475.6 total yards and 214.8 rushing yards per game. Kansas State allows 158.4 rushing yards per game, and that matchup gives the Jayhawks a clear path to control this rivalry game on the ground in Manhattan.

Longshot College Football Parlay Payout

At BetMGM, the four prices combine to 144.9 in decimal odds, or +14390. A $10 bet returns $1,449, which is $1,439 in profit, if all four underdogs win. That’s the catch with any parlay: one loss on the card and the whole ticket loses.

The odds of all four landing are long, but each leg has a real statistical reason behind it. If you’d rather back one or two of these sides as individual picks instead of a parlay, check out our Novig promo code page for another way to play them.