Memphis vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Friday CFB Best Bets
By Juan Pablo Aravena in College Football
Published:
- Memphis visits New Orleans for a Friday night American Conference clash
- I found value in the Memphis vs Tulane prediction market, as well as the Memphis vs Tulane total pick
- Read below for my full Memphis vs Tulane prediction and Friday CFB best bets
Memphis visits Tulane on Friday, October 16, at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The two teams arrive off contrasting Week 6 results. Memphis (5-1) rolled past UAB 38-13, while Tulane (2-3) fell 20-17 at Army.
The season profile leans heavily toward the Tigers, who average 38.5 points and 516.7 yards per game against Tulane’s 18.4 points and 333.4 yards. Below, I break down my prediction, the latest odds and the best bets on the board.
Memphis vs Tulane Prediction
- Pick: Memphis to Win (71¢ on Kalshi)
My Memphis vs Tulane prediction is Memphis to win outright. The Tigers have scored 231 points and gained 3,100 total yards through six games, while Tulane has 92 points and 1,667 yards through five.
The clearest edge is on the ground. Memphis averages 247.0 rushing yards per game, and Tulane allows 218.6, the fifth-worst mark in the nation. Jaylin Carter leads that attack with 645 yards and eight touchdowns on 89 carries across six games, including 132 yards and two scores against UAB in Week 6.
Tulane did surrender 329 rushing yards at Army, but that came against an option offense. The season-long 218.6 figure is the better measure for this matchup.
Memphis also converts 49.3% of its third downs (35 of 71), compared with 38.8% for Tulane (26 of 67). The Green Wave have been efficient once inside the 20, going 9 of 10, but getting there has been the problem.
Turnovers add another edge. Memphis owns a +5 differential with six interceptions and four fumble recoveries, while Tulane sits at -2 with one takeaway all season.
Tulane’s path runs through protecting the football, winning early downs at home and forcing Memphis to settle for field goals. Even so, the Tigers have more ways to win, and 71¢ is a clean entry point among prediction market apps for this side.
Projected score: Memphis 31, Tulane 20.
Memphis vs Tulane Odds
Odds as of Friday, October 16, at 11:10 AM EDT from selected operators.
The Memphis vs Tulane odds tell a consistent story. A 71¢ Memphis YES contract implies roughly a 71% win probability, or about -245 in American odds before fees. Tulane YES sits at 30¢. Each winning contract pays $1 before fees.
The key takeaway is that both markets treat Memphis as a clear favorite, with BetMGM pricing the Tigers at -7, yet neither prices in a shootout. Track any movement on the college football odds page before kickoff.
Friday CFB Best Bets
- Pick: Under 55.5 (-111 at BetMGM)
My top Friday CFB best bet fits alongside the Memphis prediction without needing a high-scoring game. The projected 31-20 score lands on 51 points, 4.5 below the total.
The scoring averages point the same way. Memphis puts up 38.5 points per game against a Tulane defense allowing 22.6, while Tulane scores 18.4 against a Memphis defense allowing 20.8. Blending those numbers produces a game near 50 points.
Tulane’s recent results back that up. Its last three games finished with 37, 45 and 51 total points, all below this number. The Green Wave offense has also reached the red zone only 10 times all season.
The main risk is Memphis takeaways creating short fields. The Tigers dropped 59 on Charlotte earlier this month, so a turnover-fueled burst could push this over. Still, the matchup supports a Memphis win without requiring a shootout.
Claim the BetMGM promo code before backing the Under.
Juan Pablo is a sports writer and betting analyst with over 15 years' experience in the industry. He is an expert in European and Latin American soccer, as well as NBA, MLB, NHL, NFL, college sports, and EuroLeague. He was born and raised in Chile and is fluent in Spanish, English, and Portuguese.
