North Texas vs UTSA Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (Friday, Nov. 15)

• It’s Friday night college football in Texas when UTSA (4-5) hosts North Texas (5-4) in the Alamodome for an 8 p.m. kickoff on ESPN2.
• The Roadrunners have won the last three meetings against the Mean Green.
• We have your full game analysis, prediction and best odds on this all-Texas clash Friday night.

North Texas (5-4, 4-5 ATS) tries to snap a three-game losing streak when it faces rival UT-San Antonio (4-5, 3-6 ATS) in the Alamodome. The Roadrunners had a bye week last weekend after taking down then No. 25 Memphis.

North Texas fell to No. 16 Army 14-3 last week. The Black Knights controlled the ball for almost 42 minutes, but North Texas also came up empty on three red zone trips.

The Mean Green haven’t won in San Antonio since 2018. They feature the AAC’s top passing attack led by quarterback Chandler Morris.

UTSA vs North Texas odds

Odds as of noon ET November 14 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the top Caesars Sportsbook promos before making a bet on any Week 11 CFB matchup.

North Texas is anywhere from a one to 1.5-point favorite at our favorite sportsbooks. The Mean Green have been underdogs in their last three games and lost all three straight up.

UTSA is 4-0 at home and 15-1 in their last 16 home games. The fun number here is the total of 72.5 listed everywhere. That’s a huge number. Six of the nine UNT games this season have gone over that total. UTSA is 6-3 over/under this season.

The best moneyline bet on North Texas is listed at Caesars at -110. You can get UTSA +100 at BetMGM, but this game is basically considered a pick’em. These two schools have become rivals over the last decade. Football is big in Texas you know.

“Any time you’re playing an in-state team that’s been as good as they’ve been for the last five years, it’s different,” said North Texas coach Jeff Morris this week. “Any time you can go down the road on I-35 and play a team like this that you’re recruiting against, it is fun for our kids to play. The atmosphere in that place is really unique, too.”

The Week 1 @ManningAward 𝙌𝘽 𝙤𝙛 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙒𝙚𝙚𝙠🏆

Owen McCown x @UTSAFTBL 🤙#AmericanWay x #AmericanFB pic.twitter.com/qHT4yRMDO7

— The American (@American_Conf) September 5, 2024

Meep, Meep

UTSA quarterback Owen McCown is the answer to a couple good trivia questions. Yes, he’s the son of Josh McCown, who played in the NFL for 17 years mostly holding a clipboard. But Owen is also one of the quarterbacks who was at Colorado before Primetime took over and he transferred out. He played four games with the Buffs.

Owen is a classic pocket passer who has thrown for 2,364 yards and 20 scores, but offense has not been UTSA’s problem this season. The defense is ninth in the American in points allowed and 11th against the pass. That’s bad, because the Mean Green can sling it.

OH MY GOODNESS HE DID IT AGAIN!!

TWO PLAYS. TWO 75 YARD TDS FOR DT SHEFFIELD #AmericanWay x @MeanGreenFB pic.twitter.com/h8NHtg4Hju

— The American (@American_Conf) October 20, 2024

A Real Texas Gunslinger

Chandler Morris, no relation to his head coach, or Zach Morris from Saved by the Bell, has made nine prior starts in his UNT career and is at 3,087 yards this season, which already ranks seventh on the school’s single-season list. North Texas has the best passing attack in the AAC by far, with Morris accounting for 343 a game.

Mean Green WR DT Sheffield leads the AAC with 721 receiving and 10 touchdowns.

But defense has been the issue for North Texas lately too. They gave up 37 in a win over FAU, 52 to a loss to Memphis, and 45 in a loss to Tulane.

72.5 points is the total, maybe we know why.

UTSA vs North Texas Prediction

• UTSA +1.5 at FanDuel
• Under 72.5 at FanDuel

FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

LOCK IN PROMO

SIGNUP PROMO

BET $5
GET $200

BET NOW

This is one of those times we want to believe our eyes more than the sportsbooks. UNT is a slight favorite, but lost three in a row. Meanwhile, this is basically the swing game for UTSA to make a bowl game. After this week, they play woeful Temple, so they need this one to get to six wins.

UTSA is extremely good at home. The crowd will be into it, and they can stop the North Texas attack a few times, while the UNT defense is struggling. We’re also not believing the over. It’s just too many points. Short weeks mean poor offensive execution.