Penn State vs Oregon Betting Line & Prediction – Big Ten Championship

By Darren Cooper in College Football
Published:

- No. 3 Penn State (11-1) takes on No. 1 Oregon (12-0) this Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium in the 2024 Big Ten Championship game
- Both teams are 6-6 against the spread this season
- Check out the early Penn State vs Oregon odds and prediction
Undefeated Oregon (12-0, 6-6 ATS) goes for its first Big Ten title when it takes on Penn State (11-1, 6-6 ATS) Saturday night on CBS. Penn State was the beneficiary of Ohio State’s loss to Michigan, which sent the Nittany Lions to the championship game. These schools haven’t met since the 1995 Rose Bowl. Let’s break down this showdown of national powers, and provide some insights into the best odds and make our prediction for Saturday night.
Penn State vs Oregon Odds
Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Penn State | +3.5 (-110) | +148 | O 49..5 (-110) |
Oregon | -3.5 (-110) | -175 | U 49.5 (-110) |
Oregon is a 3.5-point favorite early in the week, which is their smallest point spread as a favorite this season. The Ducks, who have a 29-point average margin of victory this year, have been a double-digit favorite in their last six contests, covering four of them.
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Ohio State is the only team to beat Penn State this season, while Oregon edged the Buckeyes by one. Both teams are set to make the 12-team CFP, but the winner could be in line for the top seed in the bracket.
These two teams have been mirror images in the sportsbooks this year. Both are 6-6 against the spread. Both are 5-7 over/under.
Penn State has covered in three of their last four games, and their last three have hit the over.
The total is 50.5 at FanDuel, but 49.5 everywhere else. Penn State has gone over in each of their last three games.
The best moneyline bet on Penn State is at Caesars at +148. The best moneyline bet on Oregon is -162 at DraftKings.
The Road to Perfection
Oregon is major college football’s lone unbeaten team. Transfer Dillon Gabriel plugged in perfectly into the Ducks attack and has thrown for 3,275 yards and 24 touchdowns. Somehow, he’s not getting any Heisman hype, but he’s beaten Ohio State and Boise State this season. No one else can say that.
Running back Jordan James has run for 1,166 yards and 13 scores.
Matayo Uiagalelei is a monster on the Oregon D-Line 😈
🦆 10.5 Sacks
🦆 37 Total Tackles
🦆 2 Forced Fumbles
🦆 1 Interception(@SSN_Oregon / @GeauxDuck / @DUiagalelei)
pic.twitter.com/KSKDoHcFyp— SleeperCFB (@SleeperCFB) December 1, 2024
People think of Oregon and they think of quick strike offenses, but the Ducks defense has been great. They rank fourth overall in the Big 10, and stud Matayo Uiagalelei leads the conference with 10.5 sacks. They’ve allowed 3.6 yards per carry.
The Blue Skies
Penn State has won four in a row since losing to Ohio State in Happy Valley. That loss – once again – had fans questioning coach James Franklin’s ability to win a big game at Penn State.
Abdul Carter with an inside move is truly a terrifying prospect. He's turning into a complete defensive end. pic.twitter.com/bxUH8WfK6T
— T-FrankOn3 (@ThomasFrankCarr) November 30, 2024
The Nittany Lions check all the boxes as a national power. Poised junior QB Drew Allar has thrown for 2.668 yards and 18 scores. The offensive line is massive, and Penn State has the best 1-2 punch at running back of anyone in the nation in Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen.
Defensively, Abdul Carter leads the Big 10 with 19.5 tackles for loss. He’s an elite edge rusher. The Nittany Lions are +7 in turnover differential and have 12 interceptions. They’re allowing just 3.12 yards per carry.
Penn State vs Oregon Early Prediction
- Penn State +3.5 (-110)
- Under 49.5 (-110)
The last few weeks of the college football season have been crazy, Oklahoma beating Alabama, Michigan beating Ohio State, Syracuse beating Miami. And we believe the chaos is going to continue and Penn State pulls the upset.
The Nittany Lions have the defense that can stop the Oregon running game, and Oregon is only seventh in the Big 10 against the run. Penn State can control the line of scrimmage and shorten the game (which is why we love the under). You can just feel in this crazy season that Penn State is due for a big win.
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Darren has been covering sports since 1998 and the sports betting industry since PASPA made it official. His goal is to make the activity fun and exciting with insights and perspective. Enjoy.