SMU vs Florida State Player Props – Best Bets & Same-Game Parlay Picks

• #19 SMU faces Florida State in the lone matchup on the Monday CFB slate
• Florida State’s dominant ground game offers prime prop value tonight
• Read below for my top SMU vs Florida State player props, best bets and same-game parlay picks

The Florida State Seminoles host the SMU Mustangs at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium tonight, for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. I am zeroing in on the college football props for my best bets for this clash.

Florida State enters with serious momentum after a 34-17 victory over New Mexico State. Quarterback Ashton Daniels proved his dual-threat upside with both a passing and rushing touchdown. Running back Samuel Singleton Jr also found the end zone twice in that matchup.

Meanwhile, SMU is playing its first game of the 2026 campaign. I am diving into the trenches to find the smartest SMU vs Florida State player props, best bets and same-game parlay picks, below.

SMU vs Florida State Player Props

Odds as of September 7, 2026. Grab the BetMGM promo code now to bet on college football.

Looking at the board, Ousmane Kromah has seen a massive drop in his rushing total, plunging from an opening line of 69.5 down to 56.5. Kevin Jennings holds steady at 264.5 passing yards despite a tough matchup. In the touchdown market, Ashton Daniels has been shortened from +160 to +140, while Duce Robinson lengthened from +145 to +165.

SMU vs Florida State Best Bets

SMU vs Florida State Player Prop Bet #1: Ousmane Kromah Rushing Yards

Florida State dictates the field position battle with heavy ground and pound. They average an eye-popping 419 total yards per game, with 217 coming via the rush. Their elite 57.1% third-down conversion rate means they sustain drives and wear down the opposition.

Kromah’s rushing line opened at 69.5 but plummeted to 56.5. This is a massive overreaction and a prime buy-low spot. Since Florida State has already churned out over 200 rushing yards, Kromah just needs a moderate slice of the pie to cash this ticket.

• Pick: Ousmane Kromah Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-114 at BetMGM)

SMU vs Florida State Player Prop Bet #2: Kevin Jennings Passing Yards

Fading an air raid offense is scary, but evaluating SMU is in a tough spot on the road. Jennings’ yardage prop remains inexplicably high at 264.5. Expecting an offense to explode for nearly 270 passing yards is wishful thinking. Fading this inflated number is my favorite sharp angle. To jump on this line, claim your bet365 bonus code now.

• Pick: Kevin Jennings Under 264.5 Passing Yards (-114 at bet365)

SMU vs Florida State Player Prop Bet #3: Ashton Daniels Anytime Touchdown

Florida State has been absolute money in scoring territory. They boast a flawless 100% red zone efficiency, cashing in on all six of their trips inside the 20-yard line. This reliable execution fuels their 34 points per game average.

With his passing yardage total set at a modest 202.5, Daniels’ touchdown prop offers far superior betting value. Getting plus-money on a dual-threat quarterback leading a perfect red-zone offense is a gift. He already lit the lamp on the ground last game. To play this prop, start betting with the Caesars Sportsbook promo code now.

• Pick: Ashton Daniels Anytime Touchdown (+140 at Caesars Sportsbook)

SMU vs Florida State Same-Game Parlay Picks

I am correlating these three massive statistical mismatches into my favorite SGP. By blending Florida State’s established offensive floor with SMU’s tough matchup, I can extract maximum value from this matchup.

This parlay script perfectly maps how the numbers tell us this game will unfold. I love putting these correlated angles together to capitalize on the exact game flow the data projects. If this SGP hits, you’re looking at a sweet +746 pay day.