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Scarlett Johansson Nominated for Best Actress & Best Supporting; Odds Are Against Her Winning Either

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by Graham "GSM" Matthews in Entertainment

Updated Apr 21, 2020 · 9:10 AM PDT

Scarlett Johansson
Will Scarlett Johansson win an Oscar for her performance inJojo Rabbit or Marriage Story? Photo by @ladyckate (Twitter).
  • The 92nd Academy Awards are slated for Sunday, February 9th
  • Scarlett Johansson has been nominated for Best Actress/Best Supporting but isn’t favored
  • Who else is in the running for these two Oscars at the Academy Awards?

Scarlett Johansson has had quite the year between her roles in Marriage Story and Jojo Rabbit, and now her efforts are being rewarded in the form of two Oscar nominations for Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress, respectively.

Both films were critically acclaimed with Johansson specifically receiving rave reviews for her roles. She’s also up for awards at the 26th Screen Actors Guild Awards for her performance as Nicole Barber in Marriage Story as well as at the Critics’ Choice Movie Awards and British Academy Film Awards for her performance as Rosie Betzler in Jojo Rabbit.

However, according to odds online, Johansson isn’t currently favored to win either award.

Scarlett Johansson’s 2020 Academy Awards Odds

Award Movie Nominated for (Role) Odds
Best Actress Marriage Story (Nicole Barber) +600
Best Supporting Jojo Rabbit (Rosie Betzler) +1200

All odds taken Jan. 14.

It should be noted that Johansson was expected to be nominated for both Oscars as early as last month if the Academy Awards odds are any indication. Additionally, she was so spectacular in both films that the nominations for her roles shouldn’t come as any surprise to those who have seen them.

Her Best Actress odds haven’t fluctuated much since late December, increasing ever so slightly from +500 to +600. Meanwhile, although her odds of winning Best Supporting Actress improved (+2000 to +1200), she’s still far behind in the odds compared to who she’s running against.

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As of now, Renee Zellweger is heavily favored to be taking home the Oscar for Best Actress on February 9th with -700 odds. She was also heavily praised for her role as Judy Garland in the biographical drama Judy, which followed the life and career of the revered American singer and actress.

Johansson is the next best contender for the award, but being in a distant second place, it’s unlikely she upsets Zellweger.

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No one else is remotely as close in the odds as Zellweger and Johansson, but for what it’s worth, Charlize Theron (Bombshell), Cynthia Erivo (Harriet) and Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) are all in the running as well. It’s slightly shocking Ronan isn’t more favored than she is considering Little Women is still fresh in the minds of movie-goers and how beloved it’s been in recent weeks.

Johansson at least has a slight chance of winning Best Actress, whereas she is merely an afterthought as far as the odds for Best Supporting Actress are concerned.

Lauren Dern is currently expected to run away with the award at -600 for a role in the same movie Johansson starred in, Marriage Story. She played Nora Fanshaw, the lawyer of Johansson’s character, Nicole Barber.

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Margot Robbie is slotted in second with +600 for her portrayal of Kayla Pospisil in Bombshell, which was released just last month. The film covered the stories of several women, including Pospisil, who set out to expose Fox News CEO Roger Ailes for sexual harassment.

While the screenplay was criticized for its inaccuracies, the performances were praised and Robbie, in particular, wowed critics with how well she did in the role.

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Trailing Robbie in the odds with +1000 is Florence Pugh for her role as Amy March in the coming-of-age period drama Little Women. The film, as well as Pugh herself, are up for an array of awards and rightfully so based off how well they were received by the public and critics alike.

Johansson is in fourth at +1200 and Kathy Bates in dead last at +2500 for her role as Barbra “Bobi” Jewell in the recently-released Richard Jewell.  Having not been nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the Academy Awards since 2003 for About Schmidt, it’s an incredible honor for Bates’ standout performance to be recognized, even if she virtually has no chance of winning.

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As for Johannson, there is no reason to think she’ll defy the odds by winning Best Supporting Actress. That isn’t to say her role in Jojo Rabbit was bad but rather that Dern, Robbie and Pugh were just a bit better.

The Oscar for Best Actress, on the other hand, could very well wind up in the possession of Johansson if Marriage Story gets an overwhelming amount of support between now and the Academy Awards. The movie is readily available to watch at any time on Netflix, making it more likely that people will come around to appreciating her performance.

Otherwise, Zellweger and Dern are the safe bets for each category. Johansson should be commended for her roles in both brilliant films, but it looks like she’ll have to wait another year to win either award.

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