Who Will Attend UFC at the White House? Latest Odds from Prediction Markets

• UFC 250 at the White House is set to take place on Sunday, June 14, at 8:00 pm ET, and the attention paid to the unprecedented event is reaching its apex
• Intended to celebrate the United States’ 250th birthday as well as Trump’s birthday (almost certainly not in that order), the president and UFC President and CEO Dana White will want to maximize the star power in the audience
• Prediction markets are speculating on who might attend, with names ranging from the obvious (Joe Rogan) to the ridiculous (Benjamin Netanyahu)

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UFC 250 is just days away, set to be a massive event celebrating the country’s 250th anniversary, and also timed up with President Trump’s 80th birthday. The event will undoubtedly feature a who’s who of celebrities and popular figures, as is the case with most major sporting events these days.

While President Trump is polarizing to say the least, his loyalists, of which there are many, still love and believe in him. Part of that is staying in his orbit by taking part in his signature events.

The event will stream on Paramount+ and is scheduled to have seven fights, headlined by a lightweight title bout between Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje and a heavyweight interim title bout between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane.

Even those who are generally uninterested in the UFC will be tuning in Sunday evening as the fights will be live from the White House lawn. This makes for an interesting dynamic as to who might attend in person. Prediction markets offer users a litany of options to invest and earn a possible profit.

Who Will Attend White House UFC? Prediction Markets for Appearances

Trading volume for this market has already surpassed $300K. The names listed for traders to buy and sell run the gamut from Trump family members, prominent entertainers, athletes, business leaders, members of his cabinet, and more.

As mentioned earlier, some are obvious, and it would be more of a shock if they weren’t there. That includes Joe Rogan and Donald Trump Jr., both in the upper-90s in terms of percentages. Trump administration cabinet members, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, are both just under 92%. Barron Trump is in the mid-80s.

Then it starts to drop with recognizable names like longtime Trump friend Mike Tyson (in the 50% range), Elon Musk (just under 50%), Conor McGregor (25% or so), Tom Brady (in the low-20s), Tiger Woods (under 10%), and Benjamin Netanyahu in the low-single digits.

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The market rules dictate that the selected individual must attend the UFC Freedom 250 event in person for it to resolve to Yes. The source must be a reputable one, including ABC, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, and others. The person can also report it themselves via social media. A brief appearance or partial attendance is sufficient.

Joe Rogan

This is essentially a lock, and the implied market probability reflects that. The UFC confirmed that Rogan will be part of the commentary team for UFC 250 at the White House, alongside Jon Anik and Daniel Cormier.

The trio of Rogan-Anik-Cormier is typically the team that is on the call for all the biggest UFC events, and the White House card certainly falls into that category.

Barron Trump

Barron’s percentage is hovering in the mid-80s, unlike his half-brother Don Jr.

The youngest Trump offspring is easily recognizable because of his height (generally believed to be between 6’7″ and 6’9″) and his look and mannerisms most closely mirroring those of his father among all the Trump kids.

Still, his presence has been intermittent. He’s often seen with his father at Mar a Lago and on the golf course, but there’s been a clear attempt on the part of Melania Trump to shield Barron from the media and public glare.

Regardless, there’s no reason to believe he won’t be there, as this is not an overtly political event.

Elon Musk

Musk and Trump have a transactional relationship, but there is a sense of a genuine affinity between the two. With SpaceX going public, Musk is widely believed to be on the verge of becoming a trillionaire. Since he has attended various UFC events in the past, it would not be a photo op for him. He is a fan of the combat sport, and his presence would emphasize the IPO and how much his net worth increased in the span of a few hours.

While Musk will be busy in the aftermath of the IPO, he is also the type to want to take a victory tour and accept congratulations, accolades, and outright idol worship for his achievement.

His percentage is in the 50% range, so there is a great opportunity to profit.

Benjamin Netanyahu

The implied market probability for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu being in attendance is understandably low, currently less than 3%.

Never mind the logistical problems of Netanyahu being there, given the threats to his safety, but his presence would put the entire venue in jeopardy and likely lead to many of the prospective attendees skipping it. In addition, he and Trump have reportedly been clashing over the Middle East, notably how much more difficult the Iran campaign has been than what Bibi implied to Trump beforehand.

Sure, it would feed into Trump’s appetite for the unexpected, but it would not yield the positive reaction he covets. It would be entertaining in a rubbernecking sort of way if Bibi did show up.

It’s safe to say it’s not going to happen.