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2021 Masters Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Apr 5, 2021 · 5:50 AM PDT

Masters pin
Augusta National Golf Course Masters pin flag during a practice round for the Masters golf tournament Monday, Nov. 9, 2020, in Augusta, Ga. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
  • The 85th edition of the Masters Tournament from Augusta, GA tees off Thursday, April 8th
  • Defending champion Dustin Johnson is the +950 favorite over Bryson DeChambeau and Jordan Spieth who are +1150
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

The second Masters in six months tees off this week, and defending champion Dustin Johnson finds himself as the favorite to win back-to-back green jackets. DJ is attempting to do something that hasn’t been done since 2002 – win two straight Masters titles. That year, Tiger Woods won his third of five career green jackets.

2015 champion Jordan Spieth comes in with a lot of confidence, having secured his first PGA Tour title since 2017 at the Valero Texas Open. Back in February, you could’ve wagered on Spieth at +2600 odds to win his second career Masters, but with his strong play this season, those odds have shortened considerably.

There are plenty of other intriguing storylines to follow for this year’s tournament, including Rory McIlroy’s quest to win the career grand slam. Bryson DeChambeau will vie for his second major in his last three attempts, and Brooks Koepka returns from injury to seek the third leg of his own career grand slam.

2021 Masters Odds

Golfer Odds at DraftKings
Dustin Johnson +950
Bryson DeChambeau +1050
Justin Thomas +1100
Jon Rahm +1200
Jordan Spieth +1200
Rory McIlroy +1700
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Xander Schauffele +2500
Brooks Koepka +2800
Collin Morikawa +3000
Patrick Reed +3500
Daniel Berger +4000
Paul Casey +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Viktor Hovland +4000
Cameron Smith +4000
Webb Simpson +4500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +4500
Tyrell Hatton +5000
Sungjae Im +5000

Odds as of April 7th

Spieth Has Risen

It is hard to imagine Jordan Spieth hadn’t won since the 2017 Open Championship – a span of 82 tournaments – before his triumph Sunday at the Valero Texas Open. Finally getting back into the winner’s circle is huge for Spieth as he visits a venue he’s dominated at historically – the 2016 collapse notwithstanding.

Jordan Spieth’s Best Career Masters Results

Year Result
2015 WIN
2016 T-2nd
2014 T-2nd
2018 3rd
2017 T-11th

His odds were certainly far more palpable earlier in the year, but he’s riding high after an impressive victory that saw him make the most birdies and have the fewest putts per green in regulation.

He also gained nearly 13 shots on the field for the championship tee-to-green, which had been part of his struggles in that category the last few years.

In the last 28 rounds at Augusta National, nobody has been better in total strokes gained at this course than Spieth, who appears poised to potentially add another green jacket to his closet.

Brooks Koepka an Intriguing Option Returning to Action

Brooks Koepka hasn’t played the last few tournaments as he underwent knee surgery, but as the saying goes, ‘beware the injured golfer’. He got a victory at the Phoenix Open in February, and was T-2nd in his last event at the WGC-Workday Championship to show his game was back to full strength.

He comes in rusty, but Koepka shows up in the biggest events, and his +2500 odds to win outright are very intriguing. In his three previous trips to Augusta National, all the four-time major champion has done is finish T-7, T-2, T-11.

Had he been healthy and playing as well as he was before the injury, his odds would be in the range of the top players on the board. Take the extra juice on Koepka because he has an innate ability to play his best in the toughest tests.

Last Five Masters Champions

Year Winner
2020 Dustin Johnson (5 shot win)
2019 Tiger Woods (1 shot win)
2018 Patrick Reed (1 shot win)
2017 Sergio Garcia (playoff over Justin Rose)
2016 Danny Willett (3 shot win)

2021 Masters Best Value Picks

  1. Cameron Smith (+3500): Tremendous odds for a golfer that finished second at the Masters in November. In that event, Smith was the first person in the history of this championship to shoot all four rounds in the 60’s in one week. He’s playing well coming in, having posted four straight top-30 finishes, highlighted by a fourth place at the Genesis Invitational. He’s eleventh in birdie average on the campaign and is 16th in strokes gained putting which should lead to continued low scores for the talented Australian.
  2. Bubba Watson (+9000): You never know what game to expect from the mercurial Bubba Watson. He’s won two green jackets in his career (2012, 2014), and was T-5 in 2018 and T-12 the year after that so his game comes alive at Augusta National. Made it out of the group stage in his last tournament at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, before eventually settling for a T-9 result. 16th in strokes gained tee-to-green and 17th in SG: off-the-tee on the season.
  3. Justin Rose (+10000): Like Bubba, something about stepping onto these hallowed grounds brings out the best in Justin Rose. Though he’s been battling injuries and hasn’t been his normal self, was in contention heading into the weekend of his last event at Bay Hill. before having to withdraw to rest his injury. Superb track record at this venue, where he’s had a pair of runner-ups, three other top-10’s and has been inside the top 25 in twelve of 15 career attempts.

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