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2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Feb 8, 2021 · 6:47 AM PST

Pebble Beach
Players make their way toward the 10th green of the Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course during the second round of the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am golf tournament Friday, Feb. 7, 2020, in Pebble Beach, Calif. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)
  • The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am from Monterey, California tees off Thursday, February 11th
  • Patrick Cantlay is now the +750 favorite to win the event following Dustin Johnson’s withdrawal
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

Having posted four victories in his last eight worldwide events, including last week’s Saudi International on the European Tour, two-time AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am champion Dustin Johnson was set to headline the field, but Monday night he withdrew from the tournament. That means no players in the top-10 of the world rankings are competing, with Patrick Cantlay (11) the top ranked golfer teeing it up.

Normally this tournament is spread across three golf courses and the cut occurs after three rounds, but with the Pro-Am competition scrapped for this year due to COVID-19 concerns, just two golf courses – Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill – will be used, so the cut will occur after two rounds.

Last year Canadian Nick Taylor won in wire-to-wire fashion, holding off Kevin Streelman and Phil Mickelson who was in search of a record sixth triumph at this tournament, with Taylor marking the first non-American to taste victory since Vijay Singh in 2004.

2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds

Golfer Odds
Patrick Cantlay +750
Daniel Berger +1400
Will Zalatoris +1700
Paul Casey +1800
Jason Day +2100
Francesco Molinari +2300
Jordan Spieth +2300
Max Homa +3100
Si Woo Kim +3700
Kevin Streelman +3700
Sam Burns +3700
Cameron Davis +4100
Cam Tringale +4200
Brian Harman +4300
Henrik Norlander +4300
Phil Mickelson +4400
Rickie Fowler +4800
Alex Noren +5000
Matt Jones +6500
Matthew NeSmith +6500

Odds taken February 10th from FanDuel

Can Jason Day Finally Break Through at Pebble Beach?

Though he’s missed three of his last four cuts, Day is a totally different player when he’s on these hallowed grounds. He’s done everything but win at this event, and now that he doesn’t have to go through the behemoth that is Dustin Johnson, he has a clearer path to victory.

These are the last six results for Day at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: 4th, T-4, T-2, T-5, T-11, T-4.

In his last five overall events, he has the aforementioned three missed cuts, but also T-7 and T-12 showings so it hasn’t been all bad. His odds to win were much more enticing at +3300 when DJ was set to compete, but it’s still palpable at +1800. If nothing else, a top 5/10 wager on him this week could be very profitable.

Last Five AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Winners

Year Winner
2020 Nick Taylor (-19) four shot win
2019 Phil Mickelson (-19) three shot win
2018 Ted Potter Jr. (-17) three shot win
2017 Jordan Spieth (-19) four shot win
2016 Vaughn Taylor (-17) one shot win

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Best Value Picks

  1. Kevin Streelman (+3800): An incredibly streaky player, Kevin Streelman has also had a great recent track record around Pebble, as he was the runner-up last year, and was T-7 in 2019 and sixth in 2018. Gained nearly 18 shots on the field tee-to-green during those three results. Made the weekend in six of his last eight overall events.
  2. Phil Mickelson (+4400): Though he comes into the week with little to no form, nothing better than a T-44 in the last ten times teeing it up, it’s hard to ignore lefty’s track record here, even in recent history. He’s won it a record tying five times, and in four of the last five years, Mickelson has been inside the top three on four occasions with a win in 2019, a pair of runner-ups in 2016 and 2018 and a third place in 2020.
  3. Brandt Snedeker (+8000): If you’re looking at a player with long odds like this, you can do a whole lot worse than two-time champion Brandt Snedeker (2013 & 2015). Though he hasn’t been his characteristic self in the last year, he showed signs of breaking out of the slump at the Farmers Insurance Open, another event he’s won twice. In the last twelve rounds at Pebble, Snedeker, who also finished fourth in 2017, is first in strokes gained: short game and second in both putting and total strokes gained at Pebble Beach.
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