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BMW Championship First-Round Leader Odds, Predictions & Best Bets

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Aug 16, 2022 · 9:45 AM PDT

Patrick Cantlay hitting a shot from the fairway
Patrick Cantlay hits from the fairway during the second-round of the FedEx St. Jude Championship on Friday, Aug. 12, 2022, at TPC Southwind in Memphis.
  • The BMW Championship in Wilmington, Delaware tees off Thursday, August 18th
  • Rory McIlroy is the +1800 favorite to be atop the leaderboard after day one over four players
  • See the best bets and BMW Championship first-round leader odds in the article below

The second leg of the three-part FedEx Cup Playoffs heads to the BMW Championship in Wilmington, Delaware for the first time. Rory McIlroy is the +1000 favorite in the BMW Championship odds over eight golfers to capture the tournament despite missing the cut last week.

There aren’t as many BMW longshot picks to choose from with just the top-70 players on the FedEx Cup points list teeing it up. The top-30 move on to the Tour Championship finale.

2022 BMW Championship First-Round Leader Odds

Golfers Odds Tee Time
Rory McIlroy +1800 2:30pm
Patrick Cantlay +2000 11:25am
Tony Finau +2000 11:40am
Jon Rahm +2000 2:20pm
Will Zalatoris +2000 2:40pm
Xander Schauffele +2200 11:25am
Justin Thomas +2200 11:50am
Scottie Scheffler +2200 2:40pm
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200 2:50pm
Collin Morikawa +2800 11:05am
Sungjae Im +2800 11:50am
Sam Burns +3000 11:40am
Viktor Hovland +3000 2:10pm
Shane Lowry +3500 10:25am
Jordan Spieth +3500 11:15am

Odds as of August 16th at DraftKings Sportsbook. See available DraftKings Sportsbook promo code.

 

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The forecast calls for it to be mainly sunny all day. Temperatures will be mid 70’s for those teeing it up first, hitting mid 80’s for those playing in the afternoon. The wind will be more docile in the morning, with gusts between six and nine miles per hour, with that reaching 14 miles per hour for those teeing it up later.

A benefit for those teeing it up in the morning is the exact same as it is every week – less bumpy greens with fewer players chewing them up.

Patrick Cantlay a Fast Starter

Before last week’s uninspiring result, Patrick Cantlay (11:25am tee time) had been brilliant, racking up six consecutive top-15 finishes, including three top-5’s. In particular, his tee-to-green game was strong over that time frame, before a T-57th in Memphis.

He’s no stranger to success on Thursday’s either, ranking sixth of those competing this week in first round scoring average.

2021-22 PGA Tour First Round Scoring Average Leaders

Golfer Average Score Odds
1. Rory McIlroy 68.07 +1800
3. Russell Henley 68.45 +5000
4. Matt Kuchar 68.47 +9000
5. Joaquin Niemann 68.55 +3500
6. Aaron Wise 68.59 +4500
7. Patrick Cantlay 68.69 +2000
8. Scottie Scheffler 68.90 +2200
9. Wyndham Clark 68.93 +8000
10. Cameron Young 69.00 +3500
11. K.H. Lee 69.12 +8000

World #2 Cameron Smith withdrew from this tournament with a hip injury.

Cantlay is fourth in birdie average and sixth in scoring average, making him a prime candidate for the first round lead.

Pick: Patrick Cantlay (+2000)

Tom Kim Riding High

20-year-old Joohyung Kim (he prefers to go by Tom) tees off at 10:55am and he’s been outstanding, already rising to 19th in the world. His last three events he was seventh in Detroit, won the Wyndham Championship, then had a top-15 in the playoffs opener.

Subsequently, he sports some impressive statistics of late.

Joohyung Kim’s Strokes Gained Ranks Last Twelve Rounds

Putting Approach Total Ball Striking Tee-To-Green Short Game
1 2 3 3 6 6

Kim has a score in the 60’s in five of his last six Thursday’s. He’s also posted sub-70 scores in ten of his last twelve rounds, making him a very viable candidate to jump ahead in the early going.

Pick: Joohyung Kim (+3500)

Cam Davis Quietly Playing Well

Cam Davis (12:40pm) has put together a very consistent stretch of golf of late, recording five straight finishes with nothing worse than a tie for 16th.

He’s also been in the 60’s in seven of his last ten opening rounds, ranking him highly in plenty of categories.

Cam Davis’ Strokes Gained Ranks In Last Eight Opening Rounds

Approach Total Ball Striking Tee-To-Green Putting Short Game
2 3 3 8 17 21

His tee-to-green game has been excellent, as he’s gained strokes in that category in eight of his last ten tournaments.

For a player that has been close to popping of late, these odds in a smaller field are quite intriguing, despite him having to deal with the slightly more difficult wind conditions.

Pick: Cameron Davis (+5000)

 

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