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Brooks Koepka’s 2019 PGA Championship Odds Continue Improving, Justin Rose’s Fading

Brooks Koepka
Brooks Koepka has a massive 7-shot lead heading into Saturday at the PGA Championship. (Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire)
  • The 101st edition of the PGA Championship tees off Thursday, May 16th
  • Brooks Koepka’s odds continue to improve while Justin Rose’s fade
  • Who offers the best value to bring home the Wanamaker Trophy?

The anticipation for the 101st PGA Championship at Bethpage Black Golf Course is reaching a fevered pitch with Tiger Woods searching for his second straight major and a lot of big names in fine form.

One of those players is the defending champion Brooks Koepka, who has seen his PGA Championship Odds improve from an average of 15-1 at the start of April to 11-1 now. On the other hand, Justin Rose has seen his odds fade a little to an average of 20-1 across out trusted books. Who presents the better bet?

2019 PGA Championship Odds

Golfer 2019 PGA Championship Odds at Bovada
Dustin Johnson +1000
Brooks Koepka +1100
Tiger Woods +1100
Rory McIlroy +1100
Rickie Fowler +1800
Justin Rose +2000
Jon Rahm +2000
Jason Day +2200
Francesco Molinari +2500
Xander Schauffele +2500

*Odds taken 05/13/19. Follow the link in the table above to see all options.

All Brooks Koepka Does is Contend (and Win) Majors

You’d be right if you were confused that Brooks Koepka was literally a machine. Since his dominant US Open title in 2017 the swashbuckling savant has added two more majors and nearly added a green jacket to his collection last month.

He’s in fine form as well, placing fourth at last week’s AT&T Byron Nelson. His game sets up perfectly too for the punishing Bethpage Black track which demands long and precise drives.

Brooks Koepka’s Last 7 Majors

Tournament Result
2019 Masters T-2nd
2018 PGA Championship WIN
2018 Open Championship T-39th
2018 U.S. Open WIN
2017 PGA Championship T-13th
2017 Open Championship T-6th
2017 U.S. Open WIN

Despite the low +1100 odds, Koepka is without question an auto bet at this point. He’s just getting better after each major triumph instead of resting on his laurels. Put your faith in him with confidence.

Justin Rose’s PGA Championship Odds Fading

Speaking of auto bets, wagering on Justin Rose to make the cut at last month’s Masters seemed all but a certainty. He’d made all 13 cuts in his career at Augusta National but uncharacteristically failed to make the weekend, which has pushed his odds for the PGA down to a solid +2000 value.

In his last event he finished in third place at the Wells Fargo Championship, so he clearly put the Masters mess behind him. Rose, however, hasn’t had a stellar track record of late at the PGA Championship.

Justin Rose’s Last 6 PGA Championships

Year Result
2018 T-19th
2017 Missed Cut
2016 T-22nd
2015 4th
2014 T-24th
2013 T-33rd

In addition to that, Rose didn’t make the weekend when the US Open was held at Bethpage Black in 2009. He enters this week a rather middling 67th in strokes gained off the tee, which doesn’t bode well for projected success.

He’s still Justin Rose though – the second best player in the world and capable of winning a tournament at any time. This is a difficult one, but with the thick rough and damp conditions, failing to gain ground on the field off the tee could be his Achilles heel. Make the difficult decision and pass on him to win the PGA Championship.

The Best Bet to Win 2019 PGA Championship

Rory McIlroy has been playing dynamite golf in 2019 with eight top-10’s in nine starts, highlighted by his victory at the Players Championship. He’s first in strokes gained off the tee, leads in strokes gained tee to green, and is tops in total strokes gained as well. Bet Rory to win his third career PGA Championship.

Pick: Rory McIlroy (+1100)

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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statisitician for the Jay and Dan Show. He has worked at TSN for over 13 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.