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Odds to Make Cut at 2022 British Open Championship

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Jul 13, 2022 · 6:41 AM PDT

Brooks Koepka wincing on the green
Jul 2, 2022; Portland, Oregon, USA; Brooks Koepka looks on from the third green during the final round of the LIV Golf tournament at Pumpkin Ridge Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports
  • You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2022 British Open
  • Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
  • See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players below

This week the oldest Major Championship comes home to the birthplace of golf. Add in the fact that it’s the 150th edition of the British Open and Tiger Woods is in the field, and it just doesn’t get much better than this.

The British Open is typically known for carnage. Nasty, unpredictable conditions usually produce an enormous amount of surprise trunk slammers, but this year might be different. The weather at St. Andrews this week looks relatively tame, which should put more of an emphasis on scoring. As long as the forecast holds up, we’re likely to see a much lower cutline than normal and a winning score in the -15 to -20 range.

With that in mind, we’ve compiled a short list players we think are most likely to miss the cut. Check out the odds below, plus a few bets to target.

Odds to Make Cut and Miss Cut at 2022 British Open

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Rory McIlroy -1100 +550
Xander Schauffele -650 +400
Jon Rahm -650 +400
Scottie Scheffler -650 +400
Justin Thomas -550 +350
Patrick Cantlay -550 +350
Matthew Fitzpatrick -525 +330
Jordan Spieth -525 +330
Shane Lowry -425 +275
Tony Finau -425 +275
Tommy Fleetwood -360 +250
Will Zalatoris -360 +250
Dustin Johnson -360 +250
Cameron Smith -360 +250
Louis Oosthuizen -320 +225
Max Homa -320 +225
Collin Morikawa -320 +225
Sam Burns -280 +200
Tyrrell Hatton -240 +175
Hideki Matsuyama -240 +175
Sungjae Im -240 +175
Brooks Koepka -240 +175
 Seamus Power -215 +160
Joaquin Niemann -215 +160
Adam Scott -215 +160
Viktor Hovland -205 +150
 Patrick Reed -200 +150
 Talor Gooch -190 +140
Sergio Garcia -190 +140
 Keegan Bradley -190 +140
 Keith Mitchell -190 +140
Corey Conners -190 +140
 Tiger Woods -165 +120

Odds as of July 12th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

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Koepka Bows Out Early

There was a time not too long ago where I’d be racing to the window to bet Brooks Koepka’s Open Championship odds at +5000. But that was back when he seemed to care about the game and before he took the LIV Golf money.

Koepka’s last three Major Championship results are 55th, 55th, MC, and he’s failed to make the weekend in six of his past 11 starts versus traditional PGA Tour competition.

Statistically, he rates out the worst among the top-21 shortest priced players to win the tournament and it’s not particularly close.

He lost strokes in every key strokes gained metric with the exception of putting at the PGA Championship, and at the U.S. Open he lost nearly 2 strokes on approach and over 4 strokes around the greens. Over the past 36 rounds, he ranks 101st in the field in around the green play and 91st in bogey avoidance.

If you can’t scramble your way out of trouble at the British Open, you simply can’t compete.

Pick: Brooks Koepka Missed Cut (+175)

Conners Can’t Get Through the Cut Line

Corey Conners’ track record at the Masters since 2017 is fantastic. Four appearances, four made cuts, three straight top-10’s. His results at the other three Majors during that stretch are a little less inspiring. Conners has made just three cuts in 10 Major starts outside of the Masters, and is fresh off an M/C at the U.S. Open.

Nobody will ever question his ball striking, but his mediocre birdie rate and awful putting numbers are serious red flags. The Canadian ranks 68th in the field in strokes gained putting and has lost strokes with the flat stick in 17 of his past 27 measured starts.

Putting will be even more significant than usual this week due to the enormous size of the St. Andrews greens. Many of the complexes are double greens which means we’ll see a ton of lengthy putts which will place an extra emphasis on three-putt avoidance. Conners is one of the worst in the field in that metric, ranking 138th on the PGA Tour this season.

Pick: Corey Conners Missed Cut (+140)

Make the Cut Parlay for British Open

That’s enough doom and gloom for one story, now let’s focus on who will still be playing on the weekend. Tiger was featured in our British Open sleepers and longshots article and appears to be all-in on making noise this week at his favorite course on planet Earth.

Let’s pair him with Tony Finau, who’s never missed a cut at the British Open in five starts, and Louis Oosthuizen who’s finished first and second in his last two Majors at St. Andrews.

Next, let’s add in Dustin Johnson who’s missed one cut at the British Open in the last 12 years, and was the 36-hole leader at St. Andrews in 2015.

Let’s target another LIV Golf defector Talor Gooch, who’s finished top-10 in both LIV events so far, and has two top-20 results in Majors this season.

Top it off with Sam Burns who ranks ninth in scoring, eighth in iron play and third in putting in the field over the past 36 rounds, and we’re staring at a +630 payday if they can all make the weekend.

Pick: Make the Cut Parlay +630 (Woods, Finau, D. Johnson, Gooch, Burns)

 

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