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The British Open Odds – Best Picks & Predictions for 2023 Open Championship

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Jul 17, 2023 · 10:21 AM PDT

Jon Rahm hitting a tee shot
Jun 22, 2023; Cromwell, Connecticut, USA; Jon Rahm plays his shot from the ninth tee during the first round of the Travelers Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • The 151st Open Championship from Royal Liverpool Golf Club tees off Thursday, July 20th
  • Rory McIlroy is the +650 favorite over Scottie Scheffler
  • See the 2023 British Open Championship odds, picks, and best value bets below

The final major championship of 2023 has arrived, with the world’s best converging on Royal Liverpool Golf Club in search for the Claret Jug. The last time this course hosted the Open, Rory McIlroy won the title in 2014. He comes in with a lot of confidence, having finished birdie-birdie to claim this last weekend’s Scottish Open in dramatic style.

The first three champions of the biggest events this year have been Jon Rahm (Masters), Brooks Koepka (PGA Championship) and Wyndham Clark (U.S. Open). Should Koepka win this event, he’ll be three legs through the career grand slam, which would also be the case if Rahm won his first Claret Jug at Hoylake.

2023 British Open Championship Odds

Golfers Odds
Rory McIlroy +650
Scottie Scheffler +700
Jon Rahm +1200
Cameron Smith +1600
Brooks Koepka +2000
Viktor Hovland +2000
Rickie Fowler +2200
Xander Schauffele +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Tyrrell Hatton +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Dustin Johnson +3000
Jordan Spieth +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Collin Morikawa +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Tom Kim +4000
Justin Rose +4500
Wyndham Clark +4500
Tony Finau +5000

Following the favorite Rory McIlroy is Scottie Scheffler, who has two victories on the campaign, and he comes in with seven straight top-5’s. 2023 Masters champ Jon Rahm is the third choice, with defending champion Cameron Smith at four. Brooks Koepka and Viktor Hovland round out the top-six players on the betting board.

 

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Jon Rahm Sporting Intriguing Odds

2023 Masters champ Jon Rahm has eye opening odds at +1200 to win outright. That’s nearly double that of Rory McIlroy, which means you’re getting the fiery Spaniard at great value. After winning the Green Jacket, he had a middling PGA, but then just two starts ago, had a top-10 at the U.S. Open. For the season, he’s put together an impressive list of ‘strokes gained’ stats, as he ranks second in total strokes gained and third tee-to-green.

Jon Rahm’s Strokes Gained Stats Last 36 Rounds

Total Approach Ball Striking Tee-To-Green Putting Short Game
2 2 3 5 16 27

Just two years ago, Rahm was a part of the conversation at the Open, where he wound up in a tie for third. Given his success at this championship, and the fact he has racked up four titles in 2023, his +1200 odds are still very much digestible to win his third career major title.

Past Five British Open Championship Winners

Year Winner
2022 Cameron Smith
2021 Collin Morikawa
2019 Shane Lowry
2018 Francesco Molinari
2017 Jordan Spieth

There was no 2020 championship due to COVID-19.

2023 British Open Championship Picks and Value Bets

  1. Viktor Hovland (+2000): Viktor Hovland has been knocking on the door more and more in the bigger tournaments. Last year, he was in the final group on Sunday at the Open, before winding up T-4th. Then in 2023, he’s been T-3rd at the Players, T-7th at the Masters, T-2nd at the PGA, then had a top-20 at the U.S. Open. In the last 24 rounds, he’s in the top-10 in several ‘strokes gained’ categories like total strokes gained, tee-to-green, and ball striking.
  2. Bryson DeChambeau (+5500): After prolonged struggles with his game, Bryson DeChambeau has been playing much better of late. He’s coming in with nothing worse than a T-11 in his last four LIV starts (including a runner-up). The ‘Mad Scientist’ also was T-4th at the PGA Championship and T-20th at the U.S. Open this year.
  3. Adam Scott (+8000): In his last six events, Adam Scott has made five cuts, with three top-10’s and five top-30’s. In his career, Scott has amassed five top-10’s at the Open, and was T-15th a year ago. He’ll be an interesting name in the top 10/20 markets.

 

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