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Best MLB Player Props to Target for Tuesday (May 30)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated May 29, 2023 · 8:25 PM PDT

Bryce Elder delivers a pitch versus the Mariners
May 19, 2023; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Bryce Elder (55) pitches against the Seattle Mariners during the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
  • Player props are live for Tuesday’s 15-game MLB slate
  • Bryce Elder has recorded at least six strikeouts in six of ten starts this season
  • Check out the best MLB player props to target for Tuesday (May 30th)

With the NBA and NHL conference finals in the books, and the NFL still months away from kicking off, MLB really is the only game in town on Tuesday.

Fortunately for bettors, the baseball slate is 15 games deep and offers numerous markets to seek value in. Among those is the player-props category which is loaded with options to choose from. We’ve scanned the board in search our favorite plays, and have narrowed them down to the following three choices below.

MLB Player Props – Tuesday, May 30th

Prop Odds
Bryce Elder Over 5.5 Strikeouts -122
Brandon Nimmo 2+ Total Bases +120
Tony Gonsolin Under 4.5 Strikeouts -128

Our player props betting card starts with over 5.5 strikeouts for Atlanta’s Bryce Elder, as the sophomore finds himself in just about the most favorable matchup imaginable on Tuesday.

 

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Odds as of May 29 at FanDuel. Claim a FanDuel promo code to bet on MLB player props on Tuesday.

MLB Player Prop #1: Bryce Elder Over 5.5 Strikeouts

That of course would be against the light-hitting Oakland A’s. Only Cleveland averages fewer runs per game than the Athletics, while just two teams strike out at a higher rate than Oakland.

The A’s regulars in the MLB lineups average 10 strikeouts per game, and have been especially prone to whiffing versus right-handers like Elder. Oakland has a 30% strikeout rate against righties, which is a full six percent higher than the mark facing southpaws.

As for Elder, he’s fresh off back-to-back six strikeout performances, helping to strengthen the Braves position as top contenders in the World Series odds. The 24-year-old has pitched at least 6.0 innings in six of his 10 starts, reaching six or more strikeouts in each one of those outings.

Another 6+ inning outing is likely versus the lowly A’s, and if that’s the case he should have no issue beating this strikeout line.

Pick: Bryce Elder Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-122)

MLB Player Prop #2: Brandon Nimmo Over 1.5 Total Bases

Speaking of favorable matchups, that’s exactly what the Mets have on Tuesday versus the Phillies Ranger Suarez. The lefty has been rocked in all three of his outings this season, yielding 17 hits and 12 runs in only 11 innings of work.

NL MVP odds candidate Pete Alonso will no doubt be a popular player props selection against Suarez, but don’t sleep on his teammate Brandon Nimmo at the dish. Nimmo ranks just behind Alonso in WAR, and leads the Mets in batting average and OBP.

He also destroys left-handed pitching. Nimmo is slashing .362/.430/.493 versus southpaws this season, with 25 hits, including eight extra-bast hits, in only 69 at-bats. He enters play with multiple hit outings in four of his past six starts, and is a strong candidate to record 2+ total bases.

Pick: Brandon Nimmo 2+ Total Bases (+120) 

MLB Player Prop #3: Tony Gonsolin Under 4.5 Strikeouts

Last, but not least, let’s target the under on Tony Gonsolin’s strikeout total. Gonsolin is once again among the league leaders in ERA and WHIP, but he doesn’t go deep into games, nor does he produce many K’s.

Gonsolin has yet to exceed 6 innings in any of his six starts, and has tossed 5 innings or less in four of those outings. He has a K/9 rate of only 7.2, which is the lowest mark of his career.

  Fewest Strikeouts in MLB

Team Strikeouts
Cleveland Guardians 368
Washington Nationals 382
New York Mets 399
Arizona Diamondbacks 410
Houston Astros 417

Also working against him in Tuesday’s matchup against the Nationals is the fact that Washington rarely strikes out. The Nats are whiffing at the NL’s lowest rate, and boast the second fewest strikeouts in the majors. They have just a 21% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching, while Gonsolin has fanned four batters or less in 67% of his 2023 starts.

Pick: Tony Gonsolin Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-128)

 

 

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