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Blue Jays vs Red Sox Predictions, Odds & Player Props to Bet (May 1)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 30, 2023 · 9:43 PM PDT

Matt Chapman reacts after a hit versus the Mariners
Apr 29, 2023; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Matt Chapman (26) reacts after hitting a double against the Seattle Mariners in the seventh inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Blue Jays vs Red Sox odds favor Toronto as -150 moneyline favorites on Monday
  • Toronto enters play having won six of its past seven games
  • Don’t miss the latest Blue Jays vs Red Sox predictions, odds, probable pitchers and player prop picks here

When in comes to competitive divisions in MLB, there’s the American League East and then everybody else. All five of the East’s teams are above .500 after this weekend, and two of those rivals will open up a four-game set on Monday in Boston.

The Red Sox (15-14, 9-7 home) will host the red-hot Blue Jays (18-10, 9-7 away), and online sportsbooks are bullish on Toronto in the MLB odds.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Toronto Blue Jays -150 -1.5 (+115) O 10 (-110)
Boston Red Sox +130 +1.5 (-135) U 10 (-110)

The Blue Jays are currently listed as -150 moneyline favorites, in a game with a sky-high total of 10. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm ET at Fenway Park in Boston, MA, with clear skies and 55 degree game-time temperatures in the forecast.

 

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Toronto vs Boston Probable Pitchers

Just how ridiculously competitive is the AL East? Three of the teams are top-eight World Series odds contenders, including Toronto.

The Blue Jays will send Jose Berrios to the mound on Monday, as he continues to work his way back from a horrific start to the season.

After coughing up 14 runs in his first 9.2 innings of work, Berrios has been exceptional over his past three outings. He’s surrendered just three runs total, despite facing two of the AL’s top teams in the Astros and Rays.

Last time out, he blanked the White Sox over 7 innings, striking out a season-high nine. He’s got plenty of history versus the Boston regulars in the MLB lineups, and he’s fared quite well. Berrios has held Red Sox hitters to a .205 average, and a .227 OBP.

Berrios vs Kluber Stats

Jose Berrios
VS
Corey Kluber
2-3 Record 1-4
4.71 ERA 6.75
1.08 WHIP 1.33
.239 OBA .250
6.0 SO/W Ratio 2.5

Boston will counter with Corey Kluber, who’s been mostly disappointing in his first season with the Red Sox. Kluber has yielded four or more runs in three of his five stars, making it past the 5th inning just once.

On the bright side, he is fresh off his best result of the season, holding the Orioles to five hits and one run over 6 innings. The big area of concern has been the long ball, as he’s coughed up seven homers already, including at least one in every start. That spells trouble against Toronto, who have absolutely raked against him in the past.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Notes

Toronto’s lineup owns a lifetime .364 average versus Kluber over 110 at-bats. They’ve taken him deep eight times, and scored 40 runs, producing a .700 slugging percentage and 1.117 OPS along the way. Just for reference, the top slugging percentage in baseball at the moment belongs to Tampa Bay at .522, while they also own the best OPS at .872.

If the Blue Jays recent form is any indication, Kluber could be in for another long night. Toronto has won six of seven coming in, scoring 37 runs along the way. Matt Chapman has been the catalyst of the offense so far, ranking second in the AL in batting (.384) and first in OPS (1.152).

Boston meanwhile, has experienced a power surge of their own lately. The Red Sox crossed the plate 15 times over the weekend versus Cleveland, winning back-to-back games. They enter play having won four of their past five series overall, while Rafael Devers is putting together a fantastic campaign.

The 26-year-old belted 10 home runs and drove in 27 runs in April, ranking second and third respectively in those two categories.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Predictions

With both teams swinging the bats well, and Berrios and Kluber prone to rough patches, this games sets up as a high-scoring affair. It also doesn’t hurt that Fenway Park just happens to be baseball’s third most hitter friendly stadium per Park Factors.

As a result, Boston has seen its games go over the total at the league’s second highest rate. The over is 10-6 in their 16 home games, while four of Kluber’s five starts have produced 12 or more runs.

As for the player prop market, how can you not target Matt Chapman against Kluber. He’s 5-for-5 all-time versus Kluber, with two home runs and four extra-base hits. Chapman had three hits on Sunday, and has an excellent chance to record his 12th multi-hit game of the season on Monday.

Picks: Over 10 runs (-110), Matt Chapman Over 1.5 Hits (+200)

 

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