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Cardinals vs Phillies Odds & Picks (July 1)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Jun 30, 2022 · 3:22 PM PDT

Paul Goldschmidt smacks a hit
Jun 27, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Paul Goldschmidt (46) hits a single against the Miami Marlins during the fourth inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cardinals vs Phillies odds favor St. Louis as -130 moneyline favorites on Friday (July 1, 6:05 pm ET)
  • St. Louis will send Miles Mikolas (5-5, 2.57 ERA) to the mound, while Philadelphia will counter with Bailey Falter (0-2, 4.50 ERA)
  • Read below for the Cardinals vs Phillies odds, analysis and betting prediction

The Cardinals and Phillies will meet for the first of six meetings over the next 11 days on Friday, as they open up a three-game set in Philadelphia. St. Louis enters play with the NL’s fifth best record at 43-35 after just taking two of three from Miami.

Philadelphia on the other hand has dropped two straight as they enter play on Thursday night against Atlanta. Oddsmakers expect Philly’s recent struggles to continue, as they’re siding with the Cards as road chalk.

Cardinals vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
St. Louis Cardinals -130 -1.5 (+125) O 9.5 (-105)
Philadelphia Phillies +110 +1.5 (-145) U 9.5 (-115)

Odds as of June 30th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes

 

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St. Louis opened up as a -130 moneyline favorite, in a game with a total of 9.5. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA, with clouds and 90 degree game-time temperatures in the forecast.

St. Louis vs Philadelphia Starting Pitchers

The Cards, who are currently a top-12 contender in the World Series odds, will give the ball to Miles Mikolas. The 33-year-old is garnering All-Star buzz despite a 5-5 record. That’s because he’s been sensational all year, especially over his past four starts, and is on pace for his best statistical season since he went 18-4 with a 4.1 WAR in 2018.

He’s allowed two runs or less in four straight starts, pitching at least 6 innings in each outing. Two of those performances lasted at least 8 innings, and he’s posted a 27-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio over that stretch.

The last time he faced the Phillies was back in 2019, and he was fantastic. He pitched 7 innings of scoreless ball in a 6-0 victory, yielding only three hits.

Mikolas vs Falter

Miles Mikolas
VS
Bailey Falter
5-5 Record 0-2
2.57 ERA 4.50
0.96 WHIP 1.40
.207 OBA .286
4.1 SO/W Ratio 2.2

Philadelphia will turn to southpaw Bailey Falter who’s been much less impressive than his counterpart. The 25-year-old has split his time between the Phillies and Triple-A Lehigh Valley this season, making three starts with the big club.

He’s failed to make it out of the 5th inning in two of those outings, and coughed up three runs and two homers to light-hitting Washington in his last appearance.

Cardinals Betting Analysis

The Cardinals lineup is anything but light-hitting. St. Louis ranks fifth in average, sixth in runs per game, and top-nine in slugging and OPS.

They’re led by Paul Goldschmidt, the heavy favorite in the NL MVP odds. The 34-year-old leads MLB in batting average, while ranking second in RBI, OPS and WAR, and fourth in slugging.

The only reason he’s not atop the WAR category is because his teammate Tommy Edman is occupying the position. Edman’s slash line of .271/.401/.743 is impressive, but not nearly as impressive as Goldschmidt’s (.342/.630/1.054).

However, Edman is one of the best defensive players in the league, something he showcases nearly every single night.

Phillies Betting Analysis

Philadelphia meanwhile, is starting to feel the effects of life without Bryce Harper. The 2021 NL MVP is out indefinitely after breaking his thumb on Saturday. He reportedly underwent successful surgery on Wednesday, but there’s still no timetable for his return.

Harper’s Phillies were one of the top lineups in baseball prior to his injury ranking in the top-10 in most offensive categories. Entering play on Thursday however, they’d scored just four runs over the past two games, recording only 12 hits.

STL vs PHI Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
4/29/21 Phillies Cardinals STL, 4-3
4/28/21 Phillies Cardinals PHI, 5-3
4/27/21 Phillies Cardinals STL, 5-2
4/26/21 Phillies Cardinals PHI, 2-1
4/18/21 Cardinals Phillies PHI, 2-0
4/17/21 Cardinals Phillies STL, 9-4
4/16/21 Cardinals Phillies PHI, 9-2
5/30/19 Cardinals Phillies STL, 5-3
5/29/19 Cardinals Phillies PHI, 11-4
5/28/19 Cardinals Phillies PHI, 4-3

Cardinals vs Phillies Pick

Life won’t get any easier on Friday for Philadelphia with how well Mikolas has been pitching. Conversely, Falter on the mound represents a pretty favorable matchup for the Cards bats to attack.

St. Louis has crushed lefties like Falter all season, posting a slugging percentage of .443 and an OPS of .781, compared to .399 and .716 numbers in those categories against righties. Six of the top-eight hitters they’ll trot out against Falter will bat from the right side, and I expect them to him hard just like the Nationals did last week.

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline (-130)

 

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