Cubs vs Braves Best Bets & Prop Picks (May 14)

• Atlanta is a -178 moneyline favorite versus the Cubs tonight, in a contest with a 7.5 run total
• The Braves own an MLB best 3.06 team ERA
• See the top Cubs vs Braves best bets and prop picks for May 14th, below

The Atlanta Braves (30-13) host the Chicago Cubs (27-16) tonight at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET, with the Braves listed as sizeable favorites in the MLB odds. Atlanta brings a dangerous lineup featuring heavy hitters like Matt Olson, while veteran ace Chris Sale takes the mound to keep their momentum rolling.

The Cubs hand the ball to Ben Brown as they attempt to play spoiler as road underdogs. Keep reading for my favorite Cubs vs Braves best bets and prop picks for the May 14th showdown, below.

Cubs vs Braves Best Bets

• Under 7.5 Runs (-115 at BetMGM)
• Braves Moneyline (-178 at BetMGM)

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My two favorite bets tonight are under 7.5 runs and the Braves moneyline. Both clubs are sending highly effective arms to the mound, with Chicago featuring the 11th-ranked team ERA (3.86), while Atlanta boasts an MLB-best 3.06 team ERA.

Brown has been spectacular across 29.2 innings of work, boasting a 1.82 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. However, Sale has turned back the clock over 49.0 innings. The veteran southpaw brings a 2.20 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP, and 10.29 strikeouts per nine innings into tonight. Runs should be at a premium.

Per the MLB starting lineups, Atlanta simply wields a far more dangerous lineup from top to bottom. They hold a clear advantage in team batting average (.272 to .246) and OPS (.787 to .748). At Truist Park, they are hitting an MLB-best .285.

Chris Sale vs Ben Brown Stats

Sale meanwhile, continues to overwhelm hitters and is providing significant length, averaging 6.12 innings per start. On the other side, Brown has locked down opposing lineups but averages just 4.00 innings per start recently. The heavily taxed Chicago bullpen will need to carry a heavier burden as the game progresses.

These situational betting trends strongly support my plays today:

• Atlanta is 21-7 as a favorite this season.
• Over their last 10 games, the Braves are 3-0 when favored.
• Chicago is 0-2 as an underdog over their last 10 games.
• The Under has cashed in 70.0% of the Cubs’ last 10 contests.

Cubs vs Braves Prop Picks

• Chris Sale Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+115 at BetMGM)
• Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115 at Caesars)

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Moving over to the MLB props market, where Chris Sale Over 7.5 Strikeouts is my top bet. Sale is fanning batters at a rate of 10.29 per nine innings. The Chicago offense that has struck out 349 times as a team, while Sale has a 38% K rate versus the hitters in the Cubs lineups per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats.

I’m also betting Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases. Olson is mashing 14 home runs with a .295 batting average and a 1.012 OPS. He averages 1.14 hits per game, making this a strong complementary play to the moneyline.

Cubs vs Braves Odds

Odds as of May 14. Claim the BetMGM promo code to bet on Cubs vs Braves tonight.

Cubs vs Braves Betting Splits

As for the MLB public betting splits, the moneyline market showcases a notable divergence. The home-favorite Braves are a popular public play, commanding 69.9% of the betting tickets. However, a slight majority of the total handle—51.0%—has been placed on the underdog Cubs.

When it comes to the game total, the betting public and the larger bankrolls are in lockstep with my official prediction. A staggering 83.3% of the tickets are banking on the Under. The money percentage firmly backs up the ticket volume, with 84.2% of the overall stake pouring in on a low-scoring affair.