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Cubs vs Phillies Picks, Odds & Starting Lineups (May 20)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated May 19, 2023 · 9:31 PM PDT

Cubs vs Phillies. Chicago Cubs first baseman Trey Mancini
May 19, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Chicago Cubs first baseman Trey Mancini (36) and catcher Yan Gomes (15) are congratulated by second baseman Nico Hoerner (2) after scoring against the Philadelphia Phillies during the second inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Phillies are -165 home favorites over the Cubs on Saturday
  • Jameson Taillon (0-2, 6.66) will pitch for the Cubs against Aaron Nola (3-3, 4.53)
  • A look at the Cubs vs Phillies odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The Chicago Cubs will look to build some momentum as it visits the Phillies at 4:05 p.m. ET Saturday in the idle game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Read on for some player props for Cubs vs Phillies.

The Cubs (20-24, 9-13 road) ended their five-game losing streak Friday night by routing the Phillies 10-1. Philadelphia (20-24, 11-8 home) has lost five games in a row on the heels of a five-game winning streak.

Cubs vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Chicago Cubs +140 +1.5 (-140) Over 9 (-105)
Philadelphia Phillies -165 -1.5 (+118) Under 9 (-115)

The Phillies are -165 favorites on the moneyline over the Cubs on Saturday in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 62.26%. Philadelphia has +2200 World Series championship odds and Chicago is listed at +10000.

The weather forecast calls for a 60% chance of showers, though they could be cleared out by the scheduled first pitch. The high temperature is expected to be 73 with south wind at 5-10 mph.

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Odds as of May 19th at Caesars Sportsbook.

Cubs vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

James Taillon (0-2, 6.66) is scheduled to start for the Cubs against the Phillies’ Aaron Nola (3-3, 4.53). Taillon will be pitched on four days of rest and Nola on five.

Taillon vs Nola

Jameson Taillon
VS
Aaron Nola
3-3 Record 0-2
4.53 ERA 6.66
3.65 xERA 5.18
1.11 WHIP 1.52
3.58 SO/W 3.71

Taillon has struggled after being signed to a four-year, $68-million contract in the offseason. The Cubs are 0-6 when he pitches, and he has yet to register a quality start.

In three starts since coming off the injured list, Taillon is 0-0 with a 9.58 ERA. He had been sidelined by a groin strain.

His last time out, Taillon went just 4.2 innings against the Astros Monday in Houston in a no-decision. He allowed four runs and seven hits with one walk and one strikeout.

Taillon is 1-1 with a 6.86 ERA in five career starts versus the Phillies.

Taillon has no record and a 4.97 ERA in three road starts. He is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA in three starts during the day.

Nola allowed four runs and six hits in seven innings losing to the Colorado Rockies last Sunday. He had four strikeouts and one walk.

Nola is capable of pitching better.

In seven career starts against the Cubs, Nola has a 4-2 record and a 4.74 ERA.

Nola is 1-1 with a 4.34 ERA in three starts at home this season and 1-2 with a 5.59 ERA in five starts in day games. Nola, whose NL Cy Young odds are +5000, has notched quality starts in six of his nine outings, but the Phillies have gone just 4-5 when he is on the mound.

Starting lineups for Saturday’s game can be found here.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cubs Batters Batting Average vs Aaron Nola
Christopher Morel .500
Patrick Wisdom .333
Nico Hoerner .333
Yan Gomes .316
Dansby Swanson .224
Tucker Barnhart .000
Ian Happ .000
Trey Mancini .000
Mike Tauchman .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Jameson Taillon
Alec Bohm 1.000
J.T. Realmuto .500
Nick Castellanos .500
Bryce Harper .333
Kyle Schwarber .200
Trea Turner .167
Josh Harrison .125
Brandon Marsh .000

Cubs catcher Yan Gomes is 6 for 19 (.316) with two home runs lifetime against Nola. However, catcher Tucker Barnhart (11 at-bats), left fielder Ian Happ (nine) and designated hitter Trey Mancini (seven) are a combined 0 for 27 versus Nola.

Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper is 3 for 9 with a double off Taillon but shortstop Trea Turner is 2 for 12 (.167) with one double.

Cubs vs Phillies Betting Outlook

Nico Hoerner came off the injured list Friday night and hit two two-run doubles to lead the Cubs to their rout of the Phillies.

Hoerner finished with three hits and four RBIs. The Cubs also got two hits and two RBIs from Nick Madrigal and two hits each from Seiya Suzuki and Gomes. Christopher Morel hit a two-run home run.

The Cubs shuffled their roster before the game as they placed center fielder Cody Bellinger (left knee contusion on the injured list, designated first baseman Eric Hosmer for assignment and optioned reliever Keegan Thompson to Triple-A Iowa. Hoerner (strained left hamstring) was activated while infielder Edwin Rios and outfielder Mike Tauchman were called up from Iowa.

The Phillies managed just three hits.

Cubs vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/19/23 Phillies Cubs CHC, 10-1
9/29/22 Cubs Phillies CHC, 2-0
9/28/22 Cubs Phillies CHC, 4-2
9/27/22 Cubs Phillies CHC, 2-1
7/24/22 Phillies Cubs CHC, 4-3
7/23/22 Phillies Cubs CHC, 6-2
7/22/22 Phillies Cubs CHC, 15-2
9/16/21 Phillies Cubs PHI, 17-8
9/15/21 Phillies Cubs PHI, 6-5
9/14/21 Phillies Cubs CHC, 6-3

The Cubs won the first game between the teams this season on Friday night after going 6-0 against the Phillies last year.

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction

The law of averages suggests the Phillies should break their overall losing streak and end their skid against the Cubs with Nola on the mound.

Pick: Phillies -165 ML

Season Record: 19-8 (+8.9 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 22-11 (+9.9 units) overall

 

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