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Dodgers vs Giants Game 1 Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 8, 2021 · 2:20 PM PDT

Corey Seager and Mookie Betts celebrate by the dugout
Los Angeles Dodgers' Corey Seager, left, celebrates with Mookie Betts, center, and manager Dave Roberts after hitting a two-run home run during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres Wednesday, Sept. 29, 2021, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • The Dodgers are -145 road favorites over the Giants in Game 1 of their NLDS
  • Walker Buehler (16-4, 2.47) will pitch for the Dodgers against Logan Webb (11-3, 3.03)
  • The matchups and odds can be found below with a prediction

The Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers will carry their epic regular season battle over to the postseason when they meet in Game 1 of the National League Division Series at 9:37 p.m. ET Friday at Oracle Park in San Francisco.

The Giants won the National League West with a 107-55 record, which was the best in the major leagues. The Dodgers were one game behind at 106-56.

The Giants have won eight of their last nine games, 10 of their last 12 and 12 of their last 15. Including their victory over the St. Louis Cardinals in the wild card game Wednesday, the Dodgers are on an eight-game winning streak and winners of 10 of their last 11 and 13 of 15.

Dodgers vs Giants Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers -145 -1.5 (+150) Over 7 (+100)
San Francisco Giants +125 +1.5 (-170) Under 7 (-120)

Odds as of October 8th at DraftKings.

The Dodgers opened at -125 on the moneyline and that number has held steady. The weather forecast calls for a blustery night with the temperature 60 degrees at game time and a west wind at 16 mph that could gust up to 28 mph.

Probable Pitchers

Walker Buehler (16-4, 2.47 in the regular season) will pitch for the Dodgers against Logan Webb (11-3, 3.03).

Buehler won his last two starts, allowing only one run in 12 innings. He was outstanding his last time out despite not getting a decision, yielding one run and three hits in five innings to the NL Central champion Milwaukee Brewers while striking out 11 and walking one at Dodger Stadium.

Buehler vs Webb

Walker Buehler
VS
Logan Webb
16-4 Record 11-3
2.47 ERA 3.03
3.08 xERA 3.22
0.96 WHIP 1.10
4.08 SO/W 4.39

Buehler registered quality starts in 27 of his 33 regular season outings and the Dodgers were 22-11 when he pitched. However, he had had just three QS in his last six turns.

Buehler seems fired up for Friday.

In 14 road starts, Buehler had a 5-2 record and 3.08 ERA. He was 11-3 at night with a 2.47 ERA in 27 games.

Buehler has been tough on the Giants throughout his career, going 3-1 with a 2.19 ERA in six starts this year and 7-1 with a 2.55 ERA in 13 games (11 starts) in his career. In postseason play, Buehler has gone 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA in 11 starts.

Webb has gone 20 starts since his last loss May 5 against the Rockies in Colorado. He is 10-0 with a 2.40 ERA during that time.

Webb got the win Sunday when the Giants clinched the NL West title by beating the San Diego Padres at Oracle Park. He gave up four runs on six hits in seven innings with eight strikeouts and no walks while also hitting his first career home run.

Giants were an outstanding 21-5 in his 26 starts during the regular season and he notched 14 quality starts. However, Webb had no QS in his last three outings.

Webb was unbeaten at home, going 6-0 with a 1.96 ERA in 13 games (12 starts). He was 5-2 with a 2.35 ERA in 15 night starts.

In 2021, Webb went 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three starts against the Dodgers and is 1-2 with a 3.64 ERA versus them in six career starts. The 24-year-old will be making his postseason debut.

Turner Tough on Webb

Dodgers third baseman Justin Turner is 3 for 7 in his career against Webb with each hit being a double. However, catcher Will Smith is 0 for 5 with two strikeouts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Dodgers Batters Batting Average vs Webb Giants Batters Batting Average vs Buehler
Austin Barnes .667 Austin Slater .500
Billy McKinney .500 Darin Ruf .429
Justin Turner .429 Evan Longoria .357
Chris Taylor .308 Mike Yastrzemski .300
Gavin Lux .250 Steven Duggar .278
Cody Bellinger .231 Tommy La Stella .250
AJ Pollock .200 Kris Bryant .231
Corey Seager .143 Buster Posey .200
Matt Beaty .000 LaMonte Wade Jr. .200
Will Smith .000 Brandon Crawford .174
Mookie Betts .000 Curt Casali .167
Albert Pujols .000 Alex Dickerson .150
Zach McKinstry .000 Wilmer Flores .111
Luke Raley .000 Donovan Solano .000
Trea Turner .000

Utility player Chris Taylor had the big blow for the Dodgers in the wild card game. His walk-off two-run home run in the bottom of the ninth inning off Alex Reyes snapped a 1-1 tie and gave Los Angeles the victory.

Giants infielder Donovan Solano is hitless in career eight at-bats against Buehler while right fielder Mike Yastrzemski is 6-20 (.300) with a double and a triple.

Injury Update

Both teams will be without their starting first baseman in this series. The Dodgers’ Max Muncy hyperextended his left elbow Sunday while Brandon Belt sustained a broken left thumb Sept. 26 when hit by a pitch.

Muncy hit .249/.368/.527 with 36 home runs in 144 games during the regular season. Belt had a .274/.378/.597 slash line in 97 games with 29 homers.

In the wild card game, Matt Beaty started at first base. The Giants have been using Wilmer Flores, LaMonte Wade Jr. and Darin Ruf at first in Belt’s absence.

Dodgers vs Giants Pick

The Giants held a thin 10-9 edge over the Dodgers in the regular season, including going 4-5 at home.

Giants reserve outfielder Austin Slater hit .394 (13 for 33) with three doubles and two home runs and Flores batted .342 (14 for 41) with three doubles and two homers.

The Dodgers will miss Muncy after he hit eight homers against the Giants in the regular season. Meanwhile, 2019 NL MVP Cody Bellinger was miserable 2 for 48 (.042) with 21 strikeouts.

It is hard to bet against a pitcher who hasn’t lost in 20 starts. However, Buehler’s postseason experience against the playoff neophyte Webb will make a difference.

The Pick: Dodgers moneyline (-145)

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