Dodgers vs Padres Game 4 Odds, Predictions & Picks

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Updated: April 11, 2023 at 4:25 pm EDTPublished:

- The Dodgers visit the Padres in Game 4 of their NLDS on Saturday night’
- Lefty Tyler Anderson (15-5, 2.57) will start for the Dodgers against the Padres’ Joe Musgrove (11-7, 2.82)
- A look at the Game 4 Dodgers vs Padres prediction and odds can be found belowÂ
The host San Diego Padres will try to close out the Los Angeles Dodgers when the teams meet in Game 4 of their National League Division Series at 9:37 p.m. ET Saturday at Petco Park.
The Padres (93-75, 45-37 home) took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five series with a 2-1 victory Friday night at home. San Diego has won three of its last four games.
The Dodgers (112-53, 54-28 road) have lost five of their last seven games despite having the best record in the major leagues.
Game 4 Dodgers vs Padres Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers | -124 | -1.5 (+134 | O 7.0 (-122) |
San Diego Padres | +106 | +1.5 (-162) | U 7.0 (+100) |
Odds as of Oct. 15 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim this FanDuel promo code.Â
In a rarity for San Diego, weather could be a factor as there is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. The temperature is expected to be 65 at game time with a low of 63 and west wind at 5 mph.

Los Angeles vs San Diego Game 4 Probable Pitchers
Left-hander Tyler Anderson (15-5, 2.57) is scheduled to pitch for the Dodgers against Joe Musgrove (11-7, 2.82). Anderson will be working on 12 days of rest and Musgrove on five.
Anderson vs Musgrove
15-5 | Record | 11-7 |
2.57 | ERA | 2.82 |
3.10 | xERA | 3.27 |
1.00 | WHIP | 1.05 |
4.06 | SO/W | 4.40 |
Anderson is 0-2 in his last three starts despite a 2.12 ERA.
Anderson has not pitched since Oct. 2 when he lost to the Colorado Rockies at home. He allowed two runs on six hits in five innings with a career-high 10 strikeouts and no walks.
1981, 2016, 2021. All 3 of those years the Dodgers were down 2-1 and came back to win. If anyone can do it again it's the 2022 Dodgers! In Tyler Anderson we trust! pic.twitter.com/WVc1iHRWs3
— Dodgers history (@historicdodgers) October 15, 2022
In 15 career games (14 starts) against the Padres, Anderson is 6-3 with a 2.36 ERA. He is 1-2 with a 3.12 ERA in six starts at Petco Park.
Anderson has limited postseason experience, going 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA in two games (one start).
On the road this season, Anderson has a 7-3 record and 2.87 ERA in 16 games (15 starts). He is 12-3 at night with a 2.54 ERA in 24 games (22 starts)., The Dodgers are 20-8 in Anderson’s starts.
Musgrove is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last 10 starts.
That includes a dominant outing when he shut out the Mets on one hit for seven innings last Sunday to win Game 3 of the NL Wild Card series in New York. Musgrove struck out five and walked one in the winner-take-all game.
Musgrove has struggled against the Dodgers in his career with a 1-6 record and 4.25 ERA in 13 games (nine starts). He is 2-0 with a 3.98 ERA in eight games (one start) in the postseason.
Joe Musgrove just told a great story about going to #Padres #Dodgers game as a kid, at Qualcomm, and Phil Nevin hitting a ball into the cupholder a few seats over from him during BP. He & another kid ran to it and fought for it. Joe ended up punching the kid. pic.twitter.com/WNnwodiHBI
— Annie Heilbrunn (@annieheilbrunn) October 14, 2022
At Petco Park this season, Musgrove has a 3-4 mark and 2.86 ERA in 15 outings. He is 6-4 with a 2.72 ERA in 20 starts at night. The Padres are 20-11 when Musgrove takes the hill.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Joe Musgrove |
---|---|
Max Muncy | .429 |
Mookie Betts | .417 |
Justin Turner | .400 |
Freddie Freeman | .381 |
Will Smith | .231 |
Chris Taylor | .200 |
Joey Gallo | .200 |
Austin Barnes | .167 |
Trea Turner | .136 |
Cody Bellinger | .118 |
Gavin Lux | .000 |
Padres Batters | Batting Average vs Tyler Anderson |
Jose Azocar | .500 |
Ha-Seong Kim | .417 |
Brandon Drury | .318 |
Austin Nola | .267 |
Jorge Alfaro | .250 |
Trent Grisham | .222 |
Juan Soto | .214 |
Wil Myers | .208 |
Jurickson Profar | .188 |
Manny Machado | .125 |
Josh Bell | .125 |
Jake Cronenworth | .105 |
The Dodgers’ Max Muncy is a .429 hitter (9 for 21) against Musgrove with three doubles and a home run and Justin Turner is 6 for 15 (.400) with three homers. On the flip side, Cody Bellinger is just 2 for 17 (.118) with a double while Trea Turner is 3 for 22 (.136) with a home run and nine strikeouts.
Max Muncy is a bad, bad, bad man pic.twitter.com/xXZYIaCYrv
— Blake Harris (@BlakeHHarris) October 13, 2022
The Padres’ Ha-Seong Kim has hit Anderson well, going 5 for 12 (.455). However, Jake Cronenworth is 2 for 19 (.105) with a homer and Manny Machado is 3 for 24 (.125) with a double.
Turner and Machado both have NL MVP odds of +10000.
Dodgers vs Padres Game 4 Betting Trends
Trent Grisham hit a solo home run in the fourth inning Friday night to put the Padres ahead 2-0 and they held on for the victory over the Dodgers in Game 4. It was the Padres’ first playoff win in front of fans at Petco Park since it opened in 2004.
Grisham, Cronenworth and Austin Nola had two hits each for the Padres.
Grishtober, confirmed. #CaptureTheMoment pic.twitter.com/9GLEvNjNT0
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) October 15, 2022
The Dodgers’ Austin Barnes had two of his team’s six hits.
The Dodgers are 15-7 against the Padres this season and 6-4 at Petco Park. The Dodgers also have a commanding 178-99 advantage in the series since 2008.
LAD vs SD Last 10 Games
Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
10/14/22 | Padres | Dodgers | SD, 2-1 |
10/12/22 | Dodgers | Padres | SD, 5-3 |
10/11/22 | Dodgers | Padres | LAD, 5-3 |
9/29/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 5-2 |
9/28/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 1-0 |
9/27/22 | Padres | Dodgers | SD, 4-3 |
9/11/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 11-2 |
9/10/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 8-2 |
9/9/22 | Padres | Dodgers | SD, 5-4 |
9/4/22 | Dodgers | Padres | LAD, 9-4 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction
The Padres are on the brink of a major upset. Musgrove, a San Diego-area native, is the perfect pitcher to help them finish the Dodgers off following his standout performance against the Mets.
Pick: Padres ML (+106)
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.