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Dodgers vs Padres Game 4 Odds, Predictions & Picks

John Perrotto

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated: April 11, 2023 at 4:25 pm EDT

Published:


Oct 14, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres center fielder Trent Grisham (2) celebrates a home run with third baseman Manny Machado (13) in the fourth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers during game three of the NLDS for the 2022 MLB Playoffs at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dodgers visit the Padres in Game 4 of their NLDS on Saturday night’
  • Lefty Tyler Anderson (15-5, 2.57) will start for the Dodgers against the Padres’ Joe Musgrove (11-7, 2.82)
  • A look at the Game 4 Dodgers vs Padres prediction and odds can be found below 

The host San Diego Padres will try to close out the Los Angeles Dodgers when the teams meet in Game 4 of their National League Division Series at 9:37 p.m. ET Saturday at Petco Park.

The Padres (93-75, 45-37 home) took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five series with a 2-1 victory Friday night at home. San Diego has won three of its last four games.

The Dodgers (112-53, 54-28 road) have lost five of their last seven games despite having the best record in the major leagues.

Game 4 Dodgers vs Padres Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers -124 -1.5 (+134 O 7.0 (-122)
San Diego Padres +106 +1.5 (-162) U 7.0 (+100)

Odds as of Oct. 15 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim this FanDuel promo code

In a rarity for San Diego, weather could be a factor as there is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. The temperature is expected to be 65 at game time with a low of 63 and west wind at 5 mph.

 

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Los Angeles vs San Diego Game 4 Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Tyler Anderson (15-5, 2.57) is scheduled to pitch for the Dodgers against Joe Musgrove (11-7, 2.82). Anderson will be working on 12 days of rest and Musgrove on five.

Anderson vs Musgrove

Tyler Anderson
VS
Joe Musgrove
15-5 Record 11-7
2.57 ERA 2.82
3.10 xERA 3.27
1.00 WHIP 1.05
4.06 SO/W 4.40

Anderson is 0-2 in his last three starts despite a 2.12 ERA.

Anderson has not pitched since Oct. 2 when he lost to the Colorado Rockies at home. He allowed two runs on six hits in five innings with a career-high 10 strikeouts and no walks.

In 15 career games (14 starts) against the Padres, Anderson is 6-3 with a 2.36 ERA. He is 1-2 with a 3.12 ERA in six starts at Petco Park.

Anderson has limited postseason experience, going 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA in two games (one start).

On the road this season, Anderson has a 7-3 record and 2.87 ERA in 16 games (15 starts). He is 12-3 at night with a 2.54 ERA in 24 games (22 starts)., The Dodgers are 20-8 in Anderson’s starts.

Musgrove is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last 10 starts.

That includes a dominant outing when he shut out the Mets on one hit for seven innings last Sunday to win Game 3 of the NL Wild Card series in New York. Musgrove struck out five and walked one in the winner-take-all game.

Musgrove has struggled against the Dodgers in his career with a 1-6 record and 4.25 ERA in 13 games (nine starts). He is 2-0 with a 3.98 ERA in eight games (one start) in the postseason.

At Petco Park this season, Musgrove has a 3-4 mark and 2.86 ERA in 15 outings. He is 6-4 with a 2.72 ERA in 20 starts at night. The Padres are 20-11 when Musgrove takes the hill.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Dodgers Batters Batting Average vs Joe Musgrove
Max Muncy .429
Mookie Betts .417
Justin Turner .400
Freddie Freeman .381
Will Smith .231
Chris Taylor .200
Joey Gallo .200
Austin Barnes .167
Trea Turner .136
Cody Bellinger .118
Gavin Lux .000
Padres Batters Batting Average vs Tyler Anderson
Jose Azocar .500
Ha-Seong Kim .417
Brandon Drury .318
Austin Nola .267
Jorge Alfaro .250
Trent Grisham .222
Juan Soto .214
Wil Myers .208
Jurickson Profar .188
Manny Machado .125
Josh Bell .125
Jake Cronenworth .105

The Dodgers’ Max Muncy is a .429 hitter (9 for 21) against Musgrove with three doubles and a home run and Justin Turner is 6 for 15 (.400) with three homers. On the flip side, Cody Bellinger is just 2 for 17 (.118) with a double while Trea Turner is 3 for 22 (.136) with a home run and nine strikeouts.

The Padres’ Ha-Seong Kim has hit Anderson well, going 5 for 12 (.455). However, Jake Cronenworth is 2 for 19 (.105) with a homer and Manny Machado is 3 for 24 (.125) with a double.

Turner and Machado both have NL MVP odds of +10000.

Dodgers vs Padres Game 4 Betting Trends

Trent Grisham hit a solo home run in the fourth inning Friday night to put the Padres ahead 2-0 and they held on for the victory over the Dodgers in Game 4. It was the Padres’ first playoff win in front of fans at Petco Park since it opened in 2004.

Grisham, Cronenworth and Austin Nola had two hits each for the Padres.

The Dodgers’ Austin Barnes had two of his team’s six hits.

The Dodgers are 15-7 against the Padres this season and 6-4 at Petco Park. The Dodgers also have a commanding 178-99 advantage in the series since 2008.

LAD vs SD Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
10/14/22 Padres Dodgers SD, 2-1
10/12/22 Dodgers Padres SD, 5-3
10/11/22 Dodgers Padres LAD, 5-3
9/29/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 5-2
9/28/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 1-0
9/27/22 Padres Dodgers SD, 4-3
9/11/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 11-2
9/10/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 8-2
9/9/22 Padres Dodgers SD, 5-4
9/4/22 Dodgers Padres LAD, 9-4

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

The Padres are on the brink of a major upset. Musgrove, a San Diego-area native, is the perfect pitcher to help them finish the Dodgers off following his standout performance against the Mets.

Pick: Padres ML (+106)

 

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John Perrotto
John Perrotto

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

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