Giants vs Brewers Picks & Odds (Sep. 8)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- Â The Giants vs Brewers odds favor Milwaukee as -215 moneyline favorites on Thursday, September 8, at 4:10pm ET in Game 1 of a double-header
- San Francisco will give the ball to Jakob Junis (4-4, 4.05 ERA), while Milwaukee will counter with Corbin Burnes (9-6, 3.02 ERA)
- Read below for the Giants vs Brewers odds and betting prediction
On Tuesday, we wrote how the Milwaukee Brewers (71-65, 35-26 home) next seven games against sub .500 teams was an excellent opportunity for them to make up some ground in the NL Wild Card race. Shortly after writing, Milwaukee promptly blew a five-run lead in Colorado, and followed that up on Wednesday with another loss to the lowly Rockies.
Now, the Brewers return home Thursday for a double-header against another team playing out the string in the San Francisco Giants (65-70, 28-38 away).
Giants vs Brewers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | +185 | +1.5 (-125) | Ov 7 (-115) |
| Milwaukee Brewers | -215 | -1.5 (+105) | Un 7 (-105) |
Odds as of September 7 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.
Milwaukee opened up as -215 moneyline favorites in Game 1, in a contest that features a total of 7. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm ET at American Family Field, with sunshine and 81 degree temperatures in the forecast.
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San Francisco vs Milwaukee Probable Pitchers
The Brewers enter play 3.5 games out of a playoff position, and currently boast +5000 World Series odds. They’ll give the ball to ace Corbin Burnes, who’s looked like anything but a true number one lately.
A one-time serious contender in the NL Cy Young odds, Burnes has been rocked in three straight starts. Last time out, he coughed up seven hits and five runs to Arizona, which followed a start in which he allowed eight hits and five runs to Pittsburgh. Those two teams by the way, are a combined 40 games under .500.
Oneil Cruz is absolutely owning Corbin Burnes tonight
3 balls in play at 110+ exit velocities pic.twitter.com/y9pbVvAoyJ
— Calico Joe (@CalicoJoeMLB) August 30, 2022
Burnes was also rocked three starts ago by the mighty LA Dodgers. He did fare well against the Giants in his lone 2022 outing against them, holding San Fran to four hits and two runs over 7 innings. Giants hitters haven’t had much success against him in the past, posting only 13 hits in 55 career at-bats.
Junis vs Burnes Stats
| 4-4 | Record | 9-6 |
| 4.05 | ERA | 3.02 |
| 1.20 | WHIP | 1.01 |
| .254 | OBA | .199 |
| 4.2 | SO/W Ratio | 4.3 |
San Francisco will counter with Jakob Junis. The 29-year-old has also been hit hard in back-to-back starts, failing to make it out of the 5th inning in both outings. He’s allowed 16 hits and nine runs total over his past 8.2 innings, and was rocked in his only start this season against the Brew Crew.
Jakob Junis now has a 5.82 ERA since coming off the IL in 38.2 IP. He had a 5.26 ERA in 39.1 IP last year.
The #Royals do A LOT of dumb things. There was a reason I wasn’t losing my mind over Junis starting well this year after they let him go. He did that last year too.
— David Lesky (@DBLesky) September 3, 2022
Junis was pulled after only 2 innings in that outing, charged with five hits and three runs, including a homer. Milwaukee batters are hitting .324 against him over 37 at-bats, with a .568 slugging percentage and .943 OPS.
Giants vs Brewers Betting Trends
One regular Junis might not have to deal with on Thursday is second baseman Kolton Wong. The 31-year-old left Tuesday’s contest with knee discomfort and is considered day-to-day after sitting out Wednesday.
Despite the losses piling up, the Milwaukee bats have been performing better as of late, and are fresh of crossing the plate 17 times in a three-game set versus the Rockies.
499 FEET FROM CHRISTIAN YELICH 😳🚀
That's the longest lefty HR in Coors Field history.
(via @Brewers) pic.twitter.com/xQ0GqzGFe4
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) September 7, 2022
The Brewers smacked five home runs during the series, and are averaging nearly five runs per game over the past two weeks and change.
The Giants meanwhile, have dropped 13 of their last 16, yielding an average of six runs per outing. They lost their past two contests by a 13-6 margin, but their lineup has had a surge in power recently.
All FIVE of tonight's home runs 💪 #ResilientSF pic.twitter.com/vJZc9g0x8D
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) June 17, 2021
They’ve smacked 10 home runs in their last four games, and are slashing .259/.349/.449 in the last seven days, which dwarfs their season-long stats.
SF vs MIL Last 10 Meetings
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/14/22 | Brewers | Giants | SF, 9-5 |
| 7/13/22 | Brewers | Giants | SF, 2-1 |
| 7/12/22 | Brewers | Giants | SF, 8-5 |
| 7/11/22 | Brewers | Giants | MIL, 3-2 |
| 4/25/22 | Giants | Brewers | SF, 4-2 |
| 9/2/21 | Brewers | Giants | SF, 5-1 |
| 9/1/21 | Brewers | Giants | MIL, 5-2 |
| 8/31/21 | Brewers | Giants | MIL, 6-2 |
| 8/30/21 | Brewers | Giants | MIL, 3-1 |
| 8/8/21 | Giants | Brewers | SF, 5-4 |
Giants vs Brewers Pick
The improved recent performance of both team’s bats, plus the struggles of the starting pitchers should give bettors confidence this game can exceed its low total of 7. San Fran and Milwaukee have met five times this year, with two of their past three meetings reaching 13 or more runs.
High scoring games have been nothing new for the Brewers recently. Four of their past five games have reached double digit-totals, while each of Burnes last four starts have produced eight runs or more.
Not to be outdone, the over is 9-2-1 in the Giants last 12 games.
Pick: Over 7 (-115)
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
