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Giants vs Brewers Picks & Odds (Sep. 8)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 7, 2022 · 8:55 PM PDT

Giants home run celebration
Sep 7, 2022; Los Angeles, California, USA; San Francisco Giants first baseman David Villar (70) is greeted by catcher Austin Wynns (14) after hitting a solo home run in the seventh inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
  •  The Giants vs Brewers odds favor Milwaukee as -215 moneyline favorites on Thursday, September 8, at 4:10pm ET in Game 1 of a double-header
  • San Francisco will give the ball to Jakob Junis (4-4, 4.05 ERA), while Milwaukee will counter with Corbin Burnes (9-6, 3.02 ERA)
  • Read below for the Giants vs Brewers odds and betting prediction

On Tuesday, we wrote how the Milwaukee Brewers (71-65, 35-26 home) next seven games against sub .500 teams was an excellent opportunity for them to make up some ground in the NL Wild Card race. Shortly after writing, Milwaukee promptly blew a five-run lead in Colorado, and followed that up on Wednesday with another loss to the lowly Rockies.

Now, the Brewers return home Thursday for a double-header against another team playing out the string in the San Francisco Giants (65-70, 28-38 away).

Giants vs Brewers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Francisco Giants +185 +1.5 (-125) Ov 7 (-115)
Milwaukee Brewers -215 -1.5 (+105) Un 7 (-105)

Odds as of September 7 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

Milwaukee opened up as -215 moneyline favorites in Game 1, in a contest that features a total of 7. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm ET at American Family Field, with sunshine and 81 degree temperatures in the forecast.

 

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San Francisco vs Milwaukee Probable Pitchers

The Brewers enter play 3.5 games out of a playoff position, and currently boast +5000 World Series odds. They’ll give the ball to ace Corbin Burnes, who’s looked like anything but a true number one lately.

A one-time serious contender in the NL Cy Young odds, Burnes has been rocked in three straight starts. Last time out, he coughed up seven hits and five runs to Arizona, which followed a start in which he allowed eight hits and five runs to Pittsburgh. Those two teams by the way, are a combined 40 games under .500.

Burnes was also rocked three starts ago by the mighty LA Dodgers. He did fare well against the Giants in his lone 2022 outing against them, holding San Fran to four hits and two runs over 7 innings. Giants hitters haven’t had much success against him in the past, posting only 13 hits in 55 career at-bats.

Junis vs Burnes Stats

Jakob Junis
VS
Corbin Burnes
4-4 Record 9-6
4.05 ERA 3.02
1.20 WHIP 1.01
.254 OBA .199
4.2 SO/W Ratio 4.3

San Francisco will counter with Jakob Junis. The 29-year-old has also been hit hard in back-to-back starts, failing to make it out of the 5th inning in both outings. He’s allowed 16 hits and nine runs total over his past 8.2 innings, and was rocked in his only start this season against the Brew Crew.

Junis was pulled after only 2 innings in that outing, charged with five hits and three runs, including a homer. Milwaukee batters are hitting .324 against him over 37 at-bats, with a .568 slugging percentage and .943 OPS.

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Giants vs Brewers Betting Trends

One regular Junis might not have to deal with on Thursday is second baseman Kolton Wong. The 31-year-old left Tuesday’s contest with knee discomfort and is considered day-to-day after sitting out Wednesday.

Despite the losses piling up, the Milwaukee bats have been performing better as of late, and are fresh of crossing the plate 17 times in a three-game set versus the Rockies.

The Brewers smacked five home runs during the series, and are averaging nearly five runs per game over the past two weeks and change.

The Giants meanwhile, have dropped 13 of their last 16, yielding an average of six runs per outing. They lost their past two contests by a 13-6 margin, but their lineup has had a surge in power recently.

They’ve smacked 10 home runs in their last four games, and are slashing .259/.349/.449 in the last seven days, which dwarfs their season-long stats.

SF vs MIL Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
7/14/22 Brewers Giants SF, 9-5
7/13/22 Brewers Giants SF, 2-1
7/12/22 Brewers Giants SF, 8-5
7/11/22 Brewers Giants MIL, 3-2
4/25/22 Giants Brewers SF, 4-2
9/2/21 Brewers Giants SF, 5-1
9/1/21 Brewers Giants MIL, 5-2
8/31/21 Brewers Giants MIL, 6-2
8/30/21 Brewers Giants MIL, 3-1
8/8/21 Giants Brewers SF, 5-4

Giants vs Brewers Pick

The improved recent performance of both team’s bats, plus the struggles of the starting pitchers should give bettors confidence this game can exceed its low total of 7. San Fran and Milwaukee have met five times this year, with two of their past three meetings reaching 13 or more runs.

High scoring games have been nothing new for the Brewers recently. Four of their past five games have reached double digit-totals, while each of Burnes last four starts have produced eight runs or more.

Not to be outdone, the over is 9-2-1 in the Giants last 12 games.

Pick: Over 7 (-115)

 

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