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MLB Home Run Picks & Predictions for Dinger Tuesday (May 6)
By Zach Reger in MLB Baseball
Published:
- Tuesday is a great day to bet on players to hit a home run
- Sportsbooks are offering promotions for MLB players to hit a home run on May 6
- See below for my favorite home run picks today
Not only are all 30 teams in action today, but there is also a doubleheader, so there are 16 games to choose from when looking to bet on players to hit a home run today.
It is Dinger Tuesday at FanDuel Sportsbook, so all users can opt in and claim a 50% profit boost on any player to hit a home run on Tuesday, May 6. If someone has short odds to hit a home run, such as Aaron Judge, this boost can increase his odds to make it more worth your while. Or this boost allows for a longshot home run hitter to get even greater odds.
The options are endless this Dinger Tuesday. Keep reading to see my favorite home run picks today and who I am using my 50% profit boost on.
Dinger Tuesday Pick #1: Riley Greene (+645 at FanDuel with 50% Profit Boost)
My favorite home run pick today is Tigers outfielder Riley Greene at Coors Field. Greene has eight home runs on the season and has a 1.194 OPS in the month of May. He now heads to Colorado, the best ballpark for hitters. On the mound for the Rockies is Chase Dollander, who has a 2.88 HR/9 this year.
Dollander has struggled this season with a 6.48 ERA, and six of the eight home runs he has given up have come at home. This is a great matchup for Greene, who has hit seven of his eight homers off of righties.
Greene has +430 odds to hit a home run at FanDuel, but with the 50% Dinger Tuesday boost, he is +645 to go yard tonight. A $10 wager would win $64.50 and result in a payout of $74.50. That is great value for someone in a hitter-friendly ballpark that is seeing the ball really well right now.
Dinger Tuesday Pick #2: Mike Yastrzemski(+440 at FanDuel)
My second home run prediction today is Mike Yastrzemski vs Colin Rea. This is a tough pitching matchup as Rea has a 1.46 ERA this season and has given up just one home run. Yastrzemski, however, has seen a lot of success against Rea in his career.
Mike Yastrzemski vs Colin Rea
In a small sample size of just five at-bats, Yastrzemski has hit one over the fence twice vs Rea. He also has a double, so he is slugging 2.000 against the Cubs pitcher. Yastrzemski is having a strong season with five home runs on the year already. Four of his five longballs have come against right-handed pitching, so I expect Yastrzemski to continue his dominance against Rea tonight in Wrigley.
At FanDuel, Yastrzemski is +440 to go yard. I like that value for someone with an exit velocity of 90.4.
Dinger Tuesday Pick #3: Will Smith (+480 at FanDuel)
My last home run pick for Dinger Tuesday is Will Smith. Smith has a great matchup vs Cal Quantrill and the Marlins. Quantrill has an 8.10 ERA and a 1.72 HR/9 in 2025. Oddly enough, he has been even worse at home, where he spots an ERA of 9 and has allowed two home runs. Smith has three home runs this season, but tonight provides a great opportunity for him to hit another one over the fence.
He has been solid against Quantrill in his career. In 14 at-bats, Smith has four hits: one single, two doubles, and a triple. He has not hit a home run against him yet, but he is still slugging .571 vs the righty.
Smith is hitting the ball well this season with an exit velocity of 90.8 and a hard hit rate of 46.3. He is +480 to go yard tonight at FanDuel, and I love him in this matchup vs Quantrill and Miami.
Zach Reger
Social Media Manager; Sports Betting Personality & Handicapper
Zach has been involved in the sports betting industry for three years. After starting to bet on sports in college, Zach was interested in how it can make any game interesting. The trends, line movement, and finding unique angles to predict the outcomes of games captivated Zach to get more involved.
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