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Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds & Predictions (Aug. 1)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 31, 2023 · 7:40 PM PDT

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lines a hit versus the Angels.
Jul 30, 2023; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) runs to first base on an RBI single against the Los Angeles Angels during the tenth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
  • Toronto is a -115 moneyline favorite in the Orioles vs Blue Jays odds on Tuesday
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (elbow) will make his first start since June 1, 2022 for Toronto
  • Keep reading for the latest Orioles vs Blue Jays odds and predictions below

Much like Superman, the Blue Jays (59-48, 29-22 home) also have their version of kryptonite. It comes in the form of AL East opponents, who’ve battered Toronto so far this season.

The Blue Jays are 7-21 versus divisional opponents after Monday’s loss to the Orioles (65-41, 33-20 away), including 1-13 combined versus Baltimore and Boston.

Despite their AL East struggles, online sportsbooks are backing Toronto in Tuesday’s MLB odds, in the second game of a critical four-game set with the O’s.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Baltimore Orioles -105 +1.5 (-180) O 8.5 (-105)
Toronto Blue Jays -115 -1.5 (+150) U 8.5 (-115)

The Blue Jays are currently -115 moneyline favorites, in a contest with a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm ET from the Rogers Center in Toronto, ON, with clear skies and 72 degree temperatures on deck.

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Odds as of July 31 at Caesars. Get a Caesars promo code to bet on BAL vs TOR on Tuesday. 

Baltimore vs Toronto Starting Pitchers

Baltimore and Toronto enter play with the sixth and seventh shortest price respectively in the World Series odds. It wasn’t long ago that we were banging the drum for the O’s at +5000 to win it all, but even at +1300, their odds still seem a shade disrespectful.

This after all is the AL’s best team by win percentage, and they also boast the most road wins in MLB. Blue Jays lefty Hyun Jin Ryu will be tasked with shutting down Baltimore on Tuesday, in his first big league start in over a year.

Ryu was been out since early June of 2022 due to an elbow injury. He’s been slowly working his way back to the rotation, and posted impressive numbers in four minor league starts. Pitching at three different levels, the southpaw allowed only four runs over 13 innings, striking out 16, while walking just one.

It’s unclear at this point if Ryu will have a pitch count, but after being gradually stretched out over four minor league outings, the expectation is that he should hopefully be able to give the Blue Jays a handful of quality innings.

Bradish vs Ryu (2022) Stats

Kyle Bradish
VS
Hyun Jin Ryu
6-6 Record 2-0
3.29 ERA 5.67
1.14 WHIP 1.33
.236 OBA .294
3.5 SO/W Ratio 4.0

Kyle Bradish will counter for the O’s, looking to rebound from a shaky start. The 26-year-old allowed seven hits and five runs in a 6-4 loss to the Phillies, marking the first time in two months he surrendered more than three runs.

That was a stretch of 10 starts, and it featured plenty of quality opponents. Bradish pitched very well against the AL West leading Rangers, the mighty Rays (twice), and the Blue Jays. The right-hander limited the Toronto regulars in the MLB starting lineups to one run and four hits over 7 innings in June, inducing 11 ground ball outs.

Prior to that, the Blue Jays had gotten the better of Bradish, as current batters are slashing .333/.390/.510 versus the 26-year-old over 96 at-bats.

The problem is that Toronto is suddenly ice cold at the plate, and were dealt a major blow to their lineup in Monday night’s contest.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Predictions

That would be the loss of leading hitter Bo Bichette, who pulled up lame after a base hit in Monday’s game. The team is officially calling the injury right knee discomfort, but given how it looked, it’s doubtful we see him again this series.

Bichette, who leads the AL in hits with 144, sprained the same knee back in 2020 which caused him to miss 30 games. After slugging six home runs in their first two meetings with LA over the weekend, the Blue Jays have scored just four runs over the last two contests, while producing only 12 hits.

Now Bichette is hurt, while two of Toronto’s other big bats are also in a funk. George Springer is 1-for-41 over his last eight games, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr has no home runs and only one RBI over his last six starts.

Toronto was 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position on Monday, and have now crossed the plate three times or less in five of seven meetings versus the O’s this season.

Orioles vs Blue Jays 2023 H2H Results

Date Away Team Home Team Result
July 31 Orioles Blue Jays BAL, 4-2
June 15 Blue Jays Orioles BAL, 4-2
June 14 Blue Jays Orioles TOR, 3-1
June 13 Blue Jays Orioles BAL, 11-6
May 21 Orioles Blue Jays BAL, 8-3
May 20 Orioles Blue Jays BAL, 6-5
May 19 Orioles Blue Jays BAL, 6-2

As for Baltimore, they’re fresh off a 17-9 month of July. They averaged just under five runs per contest for the month, with a .241 average and .411 slugging percentage. Gunnar Henderson provided the most pop with five homers, while both Ryan O’Hearn and Ryan Mountcastle each hit above .310 with an OPS north of .900.

Those stats won’t blow anybody away, but the O’s don’t have to be an offensive juggernaut thanks to their pitching. Orioles pitchers posted a 3.68 ERA in July, with a 75.2% strand rate. They averaged less than a home run per nine innings, while their bullpen grades out first in MLB in multiple key metrics.

Pick: Under 8.5 (-115)

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