Orioles vs Blue Jays Picks, Props & Best Odds

• The Toronto Blue Jays are -125 home favorites as they open a 3-game set vs Baltimore Friday
• Among my top picks include Baltimore starting pitcher Chris Bassitt racking up sturdy punchout numbers
• Read below for the my Orioles vs Blue Jays picks, props and updated odds

Two teams chasing down a Wild Card berth in the American League clash for a crucial 3-game set starting Friday, when the Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles.

The Jays, pegged as the home favorite in the MLB odds, start the day just one back of Cleveland for the third and final Wild Card spot, whule the Orioles lurk just three games out.

Action gets underway at 7:07pm ET from Rogers Centre in Toronto, with MLB TV providing the broadcast coverage.

With traditional markets presenting a tricky handicap, I am bypassing the side and total. Instead, my sharpest angles lie in the MLB player props market, hunting for value among heavily favored sluggers and strikeout targets. Check out my best picks below.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Picks and Props

Before locking in your wagers, it is crucial to understand how Rogers Centre suppresses offensive production. The stadium yields an average of just 8.21 total runs and 2.03 home runs per contest, ranking 27th in MLB for overall run scoring.

Pick 1: Max Scherzer Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (53¢ / -113 at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets

Scherzer Outs Prediction

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Kalshi

Scherzer Under 15.5 Outs

53%

Predict

Max Scherzer has struggled to pitch deep into games this season, making his pitching outs an attractive fade target. Over 14 starts, Scherzer has recorded 188 total outs, equating to a meager 13.43 outs per outing. This average sits more than two full outs below the 15.5 prop line. Prediction markets currently offer the best price, with Kalshi pricing “No on 16+ outs” at 53¢.

Pick 1: Chris Bassitt Over 3.5 Strikeouts (57¢ / -133 at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets

Bassitt Ks Prediction

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Kalshi

Bassitt Over 3.5 Ks

57%

Predict

Let’s get to the other half of Friday’s MLB probable pitchers, O’s starter Chris Bassitt.

Baltimore’s veteran right-hander is averaging a modest 6.43 strikeouts per nine innings, but his prop line is set entirely too low. Bassitt has consistently found ways to rack up Ks, averaging 4.06 strikeouts per start. Kalshi offers the premier payout here, pricing “Yes on 4+ strikeouts” at 57¢.

Pick 3: Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115 at BetMGM)

If you are hunting for plus-money value in the batter prop market, Pete Alonso offers a compelling statistical profile. Through 137 games, the slugger has amassed 273 total bases, averaging a robust 1.99 per contest. You can claim your BetMGM promo now to grab a hefty +115 payout on this over.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Be sure to use the BetMGM promo code to bet on Orioles vs Blue Jays or any other MLB game.

Toronto is getting -125 odds from bet365 to win outright, and the odds look even better if you think they can win by at least two runs, That would pay out to +168 odds at FanDuel.

For the O’s, getting an upset win pays +108 odds, but taking them with two runs on the spread will cost to the tune of -189 odds, courtesy of the folks from BetMGM.

The total is set at 8.5 runs on both sides of the wager.