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Phillies vs Astros Game 2 Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 28, 2022 · 10:26 PM PDT

Phillies vs Astros Game 2 Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers
Oct 28, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Astros right fielder Kyle Tucker (30) is congratulated by third baseman Alex Bregman (2) after hitting a three-run home run against the Philadelphia Phillies during the third inning in game one of the 2022 World Series at Minute Maid Park. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Phillies vs Astros Game 2 odds see Houston as -140 home favorites over Philadelphia on Saturday, October 29
  • Houston lost for the first time in the 2022 MLB postseason in Game 1
  • Below, see the Phillies vs Astros predictions for Game 2

Entering Saturday’s opening game of the World Series against the Philadelphia Phillies (10-2, 5-2 away), the Houston Astros (8-1, 4-1 home) were unbeaten in the 2022 MLB postseason and had never won Game 1 of the World Series.

Only one of those factors is still holding true, but it’s not the one that the Astros were hoping it would be. Houston blew a 5-0 lead and lost Game 1 of the World Series 6-5 to the Phillies in a 10-inning outcome.

The Astros are now 0-5 straight up all-time in Game 1 of the World Series.

Oddsmakers are expecting Houston to bounce back and pull even in this best-of-seven Fall Classic with a Game 2 triumph. The Astros are set as -140 home favorites.

Phillies vs Astros Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Philadelphia Phillies +118 +1.5 (-190) O 7 (-105)
Houston Astros -140 -1.5 (+158) U 7 (-115)

Odds as of October 29 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get a Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -140, a bet on the Astros would have an implied probability of victory of 58.33% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Houston would create a payout of $17.10.

 

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First pitch at Minute Maid Park goes at 8:03 pm ET on Saturday, October 29. The weather forecast is calling for cloudy skies with 7 mph wind and a temperature of 75 degrees. The Phillies are given -120 odds to go on to take the World Series in the MLB playoff bracket.

Philadelphia catcher JT Realmuto is the favorite to win the World Series MVP Award at a betting line of +400. A 4-3 Astros victory is set as the most probable series outcome at odds of +375.

Philadelphia vs Houston Probable Pitchers

In the MLB lineups, Astros right-hander Framber Valdez is getting the Game 2 start. He’s 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two starts during the 2022 MLB postseason.

Last year, Valdez started Games 1 and 5 of the World Series for Houston. He was smacked around for 10 earned runs, 12 hits and four home runs over just 4.2 innings of work. He was 0-1 with a 19.29 ERA.

In five career home playoff starts, Valdez is 1-1 with a 5.52 ERA. Going back to the regular season, Valdez is 10-2 over his past 12 decisions. Houston is 23-10 when he pitches this season.

He’s faced the Phillies once previously. Valdez worked five innings of two-hit shutout ball and got the victory.

Valdez vs Wheeler Stats

Framber Valdez
VS
Zack Wheeler
17-6 Record 12-7
2.82 ERA 2.82
3.31 xERA 3.31
1.16 WHIP 1.04
2.90 SO/W Ratio 4.79

Phillies right-hander Zack Wheeler will be making his fifth start of the 2022 MLB postseason and his fourth on the road. So far he’s 1-1 with a 1.40 ERA working away from home in the playoffs.

In his postseason work, Wheeler is showing 25 strikeouts in 25.1 innings against just three walks. He’s fanned 16 batters over the past 13 innings.

Wheeler had won just one of his last five regular-season starts. Including the postseason, he’s 4-2 over his past six decisions on the road.

The right-hander has never previously faced the Astros in an MLB regular-season or playoff appearance.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Valdez Astros Batters Batting Average vs Wheeler
JT Realmuto .500 Martin Maldonado .000
Jean Segura .200 Trey Mancini .250
Matt Vierling .500 Christian Vazquez .000

Philadelphia’s JT Realmuto, whose 10th-inning solo homer won Game 1, and Matt Vierling are both 1-for-2 (.500) when facing Valdez. Brandon Marsh is only batting .182 (2-for-11), but has driven in two runs.

Only three Houston batters have previously faced Wheeler. Of that group, just Trey Mancini (1-for-4, .250) has managed to get a hit off of him.

Game 2 Phillies vs Astros Prediction

Houston’s last two losses were both to the Phillies. Philadelphia blanked the Astros 3-0 in regular-season play on Oct. 3. Houston hasn’t lost two in a row since Sept. 28-30.

Valdez hasn’t enjoyed his World Series experience so far, but at least he has some. This is all new to Wheeler.

Pick: Houston Astros ML (-140)

 

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