Phillies vs Mets Odds, Picks and Predictions for Sunday Night Baseball (May 1)
- The New York Mets are -180 home favorites over their NL East rivals the Philadelphia Phillies in this week’s Sunday Night Baseball game on May 1
- They’ve split the first two games of this three-game set, so this is the rubber match
- Philadelphia is just 3-6 straight up on the road this season
As they face the New York Mets on Sunday Night Baseball, the Philadelphia Phillies will be attempting to accomplish two feats that eluded the club throughout the entire month of April.
Firstly, the Phils will be seeking to win back-to-back road games for the first time this season. They’ll also be looking to capture successive victories over their NL East rivals the Mets for the first time in six games. The Mets hold a 3-2 edge over Philadelphia in five meetings thus far.
Oddsmakers aren’t on board with the Phillies accomplishing either of these achievements. It’s the Mets who are set as the -180 chalk in Sunday’s game. New York’s NL club has won an MLB-best 14 games against the run line this season.
Phillies vs Mets Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | +160 | +1.5 (-145) | O 7 (+100) |
| New York Mets | -180 | -1.5 (+125) | U 7 (-120) |
Odds as of May 1st at Caesars Sportsbook.
First pitch is set for 7:08 pm ET at Citi Field. Cloudy skies, 11 mph wind and a temperature of 61 degrees are in the forecast. ESPN is carrying the broadcast.
The Mets are the -190 odds-on favorites to win the NL East title in the MLB Division odds. Bettors can access the Phillies as the +390 third betting choice.
Phillies righthander Zach Eflin has been a bit of a hard-luck story early in the 2022 season. Philadelphia batters plated just two runs through his first two starts.
Zach Eflin gets his 500th career strikeout! pic.twitter.com/IN5TWaA0hC
— Brodes Media (@BrodesMedia) April 26, 2022
However, the Phillies put a 10 spot on the board in Eflin’s last start on April 26 against the Colorado Rockies. He checked the Rockies on two hits and one earned run over six innings for the win. Eflin allowed a solo homer, the first long ball he’s surrendered this season.
Eflin is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 13 appearances against the Mets. At Citi Field, he’s 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA in six career starts.
Eflin vs Scherzer
| 1-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 3.20 | ERA | 1.80 |
| 2.49 | xERA | 2.01 |
| 1.12 | WHIP | 0.76 |
| 3.75 | SO/W Ratio | 4.13 |
The season couldn’t be going much better for veteran righthander Scherzer, in his first campaign with the Mets. Besides being 3-0 through four starts, he’s sporting an ERA below two (1.80) and a WHIP below one (0.76).
You don’t wanna get Max Scherzer mad pic.twitter.com/InYvNHfMna
— We Gotta Believe (@GottaBelievePod) April 27, 2022
He’s been Mad Max when the Phillies are the opposition. Philadelphia and Miami have proven to be Scherzer’s favorite victims. He’s beaten each team 15 times. Against the Phils, Scherzer is 15-4 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.
Scherzer is the +600 chalk in the NL Cy Young Awards odds. He’s won the honor three times – once in the AL and twice in the NL.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Scherzer | Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Eflin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | .200 | Pete Alonso | .200 |
| Johan Camargo | .222 | Mark Canha | .000 |
| Nick Castellanos | .182 | Robinson Cano | .400 |
| Didi Gregorius | .100 | JD Davis | .000 |
| Bryce Harper | .214 | Eduardo Escobar | .333 |
| Odubel Herrera | .296 | Luis Guillorme | .200 |
| Rhys Hoskins | .043 | Travis Jankowski | .000 |
| Roman Quinn | .000 | Francisco Lindor | .000 |
| JT Realmuto | .113 | Starling Marte | .636 |
| Kyle Schwarber | .167 | James McCann | .333 |
| Jean Segura | .333 | Jeff McNeil | .273 |
| Garrett Stubbs | .000 | Tomas Nido | .250 |
| Matt Vierling | .000 | Brandon Nimmo | .091 |
| — | — | Dominic Smith | .333 |
Phillies centerfielder Odubel Herrera is 16-for-54 (.296) off of Scherzer. That includes two homers and five RBI. Second baseman Jean Segura is 9-for-27 (.333) with a solo homer. Catcher JT Realmuto has taken Scherzer deep twice but is batting just .113 against the Mets ace.
STARLING MARTE'S FIRST HOME RUN AS A MET!!! pic.twitter.com/oajad1k5GU
— SNY (@SNYtv) April 15, 2022
Mets rightfielder Starling Marte absolutely crushes it against Eflin. He’s 7-for-11 (.636) with a homer and four RBI. Second baseman Robinson Cano is 4-for-10 (.400) with a homer and two RBI. Catcher James McCann (2-for-6), first baseman Dominic Smith (5-for-15) and third baseman Eduardo Escobar (1-for-3) are all batting .333 when facing Eflin.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
The Mets are 6-3 straight up at home and 6-3 SU when facing NL East opposition so far this season. They’ve won an MLB-leading 15 games and are looking to take their seventh straight series. They’re also 13-4 against righthanded starters.
The Phillies have scored only one run across 22 1/3 innings against Mets starting pitchers. That one run came against Max Scherzer.
— Destiny Lugardo (@destiny_lugardo) May 1, 2022
The 11-11 Phillies are playing better of late. They’re 5-1 in the last six games. The Phils are 3-6 on the road and 3-6 vs the NL East. Philadelphia is 7-9 when facing a righty starter. But as noted above, they are 4-15 when that right-handed starter is Scherzer.
Pick: New York Mets ML (-180).
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 GUARANTEED!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
