Predictions & Best Bets for Rays vs Blue Jays (May 12)

• The Rays are -124 moneyline favorites on the road vs the Blue Jays tonight
• Tamp Bay starter Shane McClanahan is 5-2, with a 2.60 ERA so far this season
• See the top predictions and best bets for Rays vs Blue Jays on May 12, below

The Tampa Bay Rays (27-13) continue their series against the Toronto Blue Jays (18-23) tonight as favorites in the MLB odds. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre, with regional broadcast rights provided by Rays.TV and Sportsnet.

The Rays took Game 1 of this series 8-5, fueled by a 12-hit offensive outburst to secure that win, overcoming a Toronto offense that launched two home runs.

Operating as home underdogs, the Blue Jays will look to stars like Vladimir Guerrero Jr to spark a bounce-back performance.

Below, you’ll find my top predictions and best bets for the Rays vs Blue Jays May 12th matchup.

Predictions for Rays vs Blue Jays

• Rays Moneyline (-124 at Caesars)
• Over 8 Runs (-105 at Bet365)

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My favorite bet tonight is the Rays moneyline. They’re playing like a World Series odds contender right now and hold a significant pitching advantage that should propel them to victory. The collective staff has pitched to a sharp 3.51 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. In contrast, Toronto’s arms have struggled with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP.

In addition to betting Tampa Bay to win, I’m also predicting the game goes Over 8 runs. Both lineups regularly generate traffic on the basepaths. Tampa Bay’s lineup has generated 179 runs on the season with 87 extra-base hits. Toronto is not far behind, tallying 169 runs with 103 extra-base hits.

Shane McClanahan vs Patrick Corbin Stats

Rays starter Shane McClanahan enters this start as a dominant arm, boasting a stellar 5-2 record alongside a stifling 2.60 ERA. Over his last 10 appearances, he has limited opposing batters to a .183 average. His strikeout stuff remains elite, evidenced by an 8.83 K/9 rate.

On the other side, Blue Jays starter Patrick Corbin has compiled a 4-2 record and a 3.60 ERA. He does not miss bats at the same clip, striking out just 6.30 batters per 9 innings. Opponents are hitting .269 against him over recent outings, driving his WHIP up to 1.27.

Rays vs Blue Jays Stats

Digging into the MLB starting pitchers and lineups, the most glaring discrepancy between these two American League East rivals lies in run prevention. Tampa Bay features a dominant pitching staff, ranking inside the top five league-wide in both ERA and WHIP.

On the offensive side, they employ completely different run-scoring mentalities. Tampa Bay utilizes a contact-heavy, aggressive approach on the road. Despite ranking last in away average exit velocity, they boast an impressive .254 road batting average.

Once on base, the Rays generate value consistently, stealing 1.09 bases per game to manufacture runs efficiently. Table-setters are crucial to keeping this continuous pressure on opposing batteries.

The Blue Jays operate a station-to-station offense at the Rogers Centre. They are virtually non-existent on the basepaths, stealing just 0.41 bases per home game. Because they rely heavily on pure hitting, they need their stars to deliver extra-base hits.

Rays vs Blue Jays Odds

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Best Bets for Rays vs Blue Jays

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (+121 at DraftKings)

Moving over to the MLB Props market, where my best bet is Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases at +121 odds. He has been a consistent force in the lineup, boasting a .300 batting average and a .773 OPS.

Guerrero Jr averages 1.09 hits per game and has already recorded 17 RBI. Though he doesn’t have elite metrics vs McClanahan per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, his .386 on-base percentage and ability to consistently produce an extra-base hit make this plus-money prop a highly attractive wager.