Predictions, Prop Picks & How to Watch Cubs vs Brewers (Jun 26)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- I’m backing the Brewers moneyline vs the Cubs tonight behind Jacob Misiorowski’s dominance
- Misiorowski owns a 1.45 ERA and a 0.75 WHIP
- See the predictions, prop picks and how to watch Cubs vs Brewers on June 26, below
The Milwaukee Brewers (49-29) welcome the Chicago Cubs (43-37) to American Family Field for the opening game of a divisional series tonight. Both teams enter play riding four-game winning streaks, and online sportsbooks expect the Brewers success to continue. They’ve pegged Milwaukee as sizeable favorites in the MLB odds, which is sentiment I fully endorse.
Below, you’ll find my favorite predictions, prop picks and how to watch the Cubs vs Brewers matchup on June 26th.
Predictions for Cubs vs Brewers
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I’m betting the Brewers moneyline and Under 7 runs tonight. When analyzing this matchup in the MLB starting lineups, the pitching disparity immediately jumps off the page. Milwaukee sends NL Cy Young odds contender Jacob Misiorowski to the mound, and his numbers are dominant. Over 93.0 innings, he has posted a 1.45 ERA and a 0.75 WHIP.
Misiorowski holds opponents to a .146 batting average. On the other side, Colin Rea has struggled for the Cubs, pitching to a 4.91 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP across 79.1 innings. With an elite bullpen backing them, Milwaukee owns a significant run-prevention edge from the first pitch.
The Chicago lineup hits just .243 overall with a .740 OPS. They will likely struggle to string base hits together against Misiorowski. Furthermore, both teams possess average slugging percentages, pointing toward a lower-scoring affair.
Colin Rea vs Jacob Misiorowski Stats
Misiorowski’s season statistics are remarkable. His 1.66 FIP indicates his 1.45 ERA is entirely earned. He provides length, averaging over six innings per outing. Meanwhile, Rea is having a turbulent campaign. Opposing batters are hitting .265 against the right-hander.
Over his last 10 starts, Misiorowski has hit another gear. He logged 66.1 innings, posting a 0.81 ERA and a 0.61 WHIP. Rea continues to scuffle during that same span. His ERA has crept up to 5.19, accompanied by a concerning 3.29 BB/9 walk rate.
Odds for Cubs vs Brewers
SPORTSBOOK
Betting Splits for Cubs vs Brewers
A dive into the MLB public betting splits reveals overwhelming consensus in both the moneyline and game total markets. Currently, 91.3% of moneyline tickets are backing Milwaukee. More importantly, 88.2% of the total moneyline stake is riding on the home favorite. This lopsided action perfectly aligns with my official prediction. Big-money players are clearly responding to the vast starting pitching disparity.
While my moneyline pick aligns with the public, my stance on the total fades the masses. The public is hammering the Over, with 91.1% of betting tickets expecting a high-scoring affair. The handle is even more aggressive, with 91.7% of the total stake backing the Over. Despite bettors expecting fireworks, I am trusting Misiorowski’s metrics and both teams’ middling slugging numbers to keep the run count in check.
Prop Picks for Cubs vs Brewers
- Jacob Misiorowski Over 8.5 Strikeouts (+106 at DraftKings)
- Colin Rea Under 15.5 Outs (-116 at DraftKings)
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My favorite angle lies in the MLB props market, where I’m targeting Misiorowski Over 8.5 Strikeouts. He averages an elite 13.36 strikeouts per nine innings per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, while Chicago has struck out 682 times this season.
My secondary prop looks at Rea Under 15.5 Outs (-116). Rea has struggled to efficiently navigate opposing lineups. The patient hitters at the top of the Milwaukee order should elevate his pitch count, forcing an early exit before he reaches 16 outs.
How to Watch Cubs vs Brewers
First pitch of this Cubs vs Brewers is set for 7:45 pm ET and can be streamed on Apple TV. The MLB weather forecast is predicting a chilly night for baseball, with 65 degree temperatures on deck.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.