Props & Picks for Red Sox vs Marlins on Aug 25

• The Red Sox continue their series against the Marlins tonight
• I am backing Nick Sogard and Mickey Gasper to stay hot at the dish
• Check out the props and picks for Red Sox vs Marlins on Aug 25, below

The Red Sox (72-59) and Marlins (67-65) continue their series at loanDepot park tonight, with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. Boston carries solid momentum into tonight following a tight 4-2 victory over Miami yesterday.

Tyler Phillips will take the ball for Miami. He boasts a 3.67 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 79 strikeouts across 100.2 innings. Payton Tolle meanwhile, will toe the rubber for Boston.

The Red Sox enter the contest as sizeable favorites in the MLB odds. I’m avoiding any side or total bet however, and focusing on MLB player props instead. Keep reading for my favorite props and picks for Red Sox vs Marlins on Aug. 25, below.

Props & Picks for Red Sox vs Marlins

Here are my three favorite targets for tonight, featuring the best available prices from top sportsbooks.

Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115 at BetMGM)

There are virtually no MLB batter vs pitcher stats for Boston against Phillis, so I am focusing on Sogard’s phenomenal form. Over his last 10 games, he boasts a 1.088 OPS and a .368 batting average. He is also averaging 1.4 hits per game, which matters for a 1.5-total-bases ticket because multiple singles can cash the over even if he does not record an extra-base hit. Of course, two singles are not the only path: one double, triple or home run is enough by itself.

The key risk is opportunity. Total-bases props are highly dependent on plate appearances, and a lineup spot near the bottom can leave a hitter with only three trips to the plate. Even so, a .368 average over the last 10 games suggests that Sogard has been consistently reaching balls he can drive, while the 1.088 OPS points to more than empty singles. At +115, the payout compensates for the uncertainty around how Phillips handles Boston’s lineup.

Mickey Gasper Over 0.5 RBIs (+150 at bet365)

Mickey Gasper’s current offensive tear is impossible to ignore. In his last 10 games, Gasper has left the yard three times with 11 runs driven in. He is maintaining a staggering 1.224 OPS and a .308 average, and he is averaging more than one RBI per game lately. Those numbers point to both contact and impact: the batting average supports his ability to put the ball in play, while the OPS and home-run total show that he can cash the prop with one swing.

An RBI bet is more dependent on lineup context than a hit or total-bases bet. Gasper needs runners on base, so his lineup position and the performance of the hitters in front of him deserve a final check. Phillips’ 42 walks this season could help Boston create baserunners, although walks alone do not guarantee an RBI opportunity. At +150, Gasper does not need to be the most likely RBI candidate to offer value; he only needs a reasonable chance to drive in one run at a strong return. Claim your bet365 bonus code now to secure the best available price on this prop.

Payton Tolle Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Tolle brings a highly reliable season-long profile to the mound for the World Series odds contender. He boasts a sharp 3.07 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP and 120.0 innings pitched. Those figures describe a pitcher who has limited both scoring and baserunner traffic over a meaningful workload, giving him a strong foundation for a strikeout prop. His elite 10.05 K/9 rate is the most important number for this wager: over a full nine innings, that rate equates to slightly more than 10 strikeouts, although he does not need to pitch nine frames to clear 6.5.

The workload is the main counterpoint. Tolle averages 5.7 innings per start, so he may need an efficient six-inning outing and a favorable strikeout distribution to reach seven. That makes Miami’s contact profile and pitch count important, but the strikeout rate gives him legitimate upside whenever he works through the lineup multiple times. At -110, the price asks for a fairly balanced outcome rather than a dominant performance. Compared with the hitter props, this is the pick most directly supported by a stable season-long metric.