Red Sox vs Yankees Player-Prop Picks & Predictions (Aug 28)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Red Sox and Yankees renew baseball’s most storied rivalry tonight in the Bronx
- I am backing Willson Contreras to stay hot at the plate
- Get the top Red Sox vs Yankees player-prop picks and predictions for Aug 28, below
The New York Yankees (75-58) welcome their bitter rivals, the Boston Red Sox (73-60), to the Bronx as these American League East contenders kick off a crucial series at Yankee Stadium tonight at 7:15 PM EDT on AppleTV. Both squads are looking to bounce back after dropping their previous matchups to the Astros and Marlins.
I am looking closely at the home favorites in the MLB odds for this contest. New York hands the ball to right-hander Cam Schlittler, who boasts an 11-6 record on the mound. He will be opposed by Boston’s Patrick Sandoval (1-2), as the Red Sox attempt to pull off an upset as road underdogs.
I’m avoiding the side and total markets for this matchup, choosing to focus on MLB player props instead. Get my favorite Red Sox vs Yankees player-prop picks and predictions for Aug 28, below.
BOS vs NYY Player-Prop Odds
Odds via Kalshi. Claim the Kalshi promo code now to get in on the action.
Wilyer Abreu presents an intriguing matchup angle to consider for your bet slip. Abreu has been a reliable source of power for Boston, and his home run prop is priced at 16¢ for a “Yes” on Kalshi to hit one out of Yankee Stadium.
On the New York side, Ben Rice (Yes 16¢) boasts short odds to go deep. For contact hitters, Cody Bellinger is overwhelmingly favored to find his way aboard safely, sitting at a steep 67¢ for a “Yes” to register a hit.
On the mound, the prediction markets expect a longer leash for Cy Young odds candidate Cam Schlittler. His total outs prop requires him to finish the sixth inning to cash the over, priced at 57¢ for a “Yes” on Kalshi. Schlittler also owns a higher strikeout projection (Ov 6.5) than his counterpart.
For the visiting Red Sox, Patrick Sandoval’s out market sits at a more modest 15.5. His strikeout number sits at 5.5. Given New York’s powerful lineup, keeping Sandoval’s prop below six strikeouts reflects the expected difficulty of the matchup.
Tonight’s clash takes place at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. While often viewed primarily as a home run haven due to its notoriously short right-field porch, checking the MLB park factors reveals the overall run environment sits closer to the middle of the pack.
Through 64 games this season, here is how Yankee Stadium is playing:
- Runs per game: 8.81 (14th overall)
- Hits per game: 15.39
- Home Runs per game: 2.70
- Extra-Base Hits per game: 6.16
Red Sox vs Yankees Player-Prop Picks & Predictions
I’ve narrowed down my betting card for this clash of World Series odds contenders to three selection based on recent performance, batting metrics, and specific situational trends. Here they are:
My Pick: Willson Contreras Ov 0.5 Hits (59¢ at Kalshi)
Willson Contreras has been locked in at the plate and represents my top target in the hits market. The Boston infielder is currently hitting a solid .281 on the season with 118 hits across 420 at-bats.
Contreras is 6-2 versus a total hits line of 0.5 in his last eight games per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, translating to a strong 75% cover rate. He has gone Ov 0.5 hits in 3 of 3 games straight up against New York this season (100% cover rate). You can grab his hit prop at 59¢ on Kalshi for a “Yes”, which presents incredible value.
My Pick: Andruw Monasterio Ov 0.5 Hits (-145 at bet365)
Another Boston bat I am backing tonight is shortstop Andruw Monasterio. While his .255 overall batting average might not jump off the page, his recent splits away from Fenway Park are impossible to ignore.
Monasterio is 7-1 versus a total hits line of 0.5 in his last eight road games (88% cover rate). He has also gone Ov 0.5 hits in 3 of 4 games recently across all matchups (75% cover rate). At -145 on bet365, you are getting excellent value for a player riding an 88% success rate as a visiting batter. Claim the bet365 bonus code now before making a wager in this market.
My Pick: Trent Grisham Ov 0.5 Hits (-165 at BetMGM)
Flipping to the Yankees dugout, Trent Grisham is in a prime spot to produce against Boston pitching. Grisham’s recent form and flawless track record against the Red Sox make him a highly reliable option to find his way aboard.
Grisham has gone Ov 0.5 hits in 11 of his last 16 games overall, cashing at a 69% rate. More importantly, he is a perfect 5-0 versus a total hits line of 0.5 in his last five matchups against the Red Sox (100% cover rate). Backing the New York outfielder here is an easy decision.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
