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Tigers vs Astros Predictions & Prop Picks

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in MLB Baseball

Published:


Apr 28, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize (12) throws against the Atlanta Braves in the second inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
  • The Detroit Tigers visit the Houston Astros in the rubber match of their three-game series Wednesday afternoon
  • The pitching matchup features Casey Mize vs Peter Lambert
  • See the Tigers vs Astros odds, prediction and MLB player props along with public betting splits

The Houston Astros (34-41) and Detroit Tigers (30-43) complete their three game set Wednesday afternoon, with the winner taking the series. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 PM ET / 11:20 AM PT at Daikin Park. This game is set up as a pick’em in the MLB odds, with Detroit featuring the strong starting pitcher this season. Tuesday, Houston won for the first time in their last six against Detroit, taking it 4-2.

Continue reading for my preview for this Tigers vs Astros game in a duel between two clubs who have underachieved so far this season and I offer up my favorite player prop to wager on.

Tigers vs Astros Picks and Predictions

  • The Pick: Astros Moneyline (-104 at FanDuel)
  • MLB Player Prop Pick: James Outman Under 0.5 Hits (-133 at DraftKings)

I am backing the Astros Moneyline (-104) as my primary game projection. Houston holds a notable offensive advantage over Detroit, boasting a .728 team OPS compared to the Tigers’ .709 mark.

Houston starter Peter Lambert has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of his ten starts on the campaign. The Astros are third in the majors with 98 home runs (compared to Detroit being 17th with 81). The Astros are 15th in average and Detroit 25th on the season as well. Give me the slight underdog value for this one.

For the MLB player props, my selection is James Outman Under 0.5 Hits (-133). Outman is hitting a dismal .151 this season, struggling mightily. He was just claimed off waivers from the Twins, and hasn’t had a hit in eleven of twelve outings.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

StatisticPeter Lambert (HOU)Casey Mize (DET)
W-L Record5-42-3
ERA3.472.27
WHIP1.210.97
FIP3.912.41
K/98.379.25
BB/93.952.27
Opponent BA.212.200
IP per Start5.705.30

Tigers vs Astros Odds & Public Betting Splits

Bet TypeDetroitHouston
Moneyline-110-110
Runline-1.5 (+143)+1.5 (-170)
Total RunsOver 8.5 (-105)Under 8.5 (-115)

Odds as of June 17 from Caesars Sportsbook. Click here for a Caesars Sportsbook promo code before betting on Tigers vs Astros.

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In the MLB public betting splits, it’s an even 50-50 split in terms of the tickets in the moneyline market, with 54% of the cash on Detroit. As for the runline, 65% of the money has been directed towards the Tigers. The public is bullish on the over 8.5 runs market, with 66% of both the handle and bets on the Over.

Tigers vs Astros Injury Report

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatus
TigersColt Keith3BWristQuestionable
TigersGleyber Torres2BUndisclosedQuestionable
TigersJavier BáezSSAnkleD60
TigersParker MeadowsCFHead/ArmD60
TigersJack FlahertySPLegD15
TigersJustin VerlanderSPHipD60
AstrosCarlos CorreaSSAnkleD60
AstrosLaMonte Wade Jr1BHamstringD10
AstrosNick AllenSSHamstringD10
AstrosBraden ShewmakeSSGroinD10
AstrosLance McCullers JrSPShoulderD15
AstrosCristian JavierSPShoulderD60
AstrosRonel BlancoSPElbowD60

How to Watch Tigers vs Astros

TV Network: Detroit SportsNet and Space City Home Network

Away Team: Detroit Tigers

Home Team: Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, June 17th

Game Time: 2:10 PM ET / 11:20 AM PT

Venue: Daikin Park

Location: Houston, Texas

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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