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Hokit vs. Lewis Prediction & Odds for UFC White House Card

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in Mixed Martial Arts News

Published:


Jun 13, 2026; Washington, D.C., USA; Josh Hokit (center) and Derrick Lewis face-off during weigh-ins for the UFC Freedom 250 at The Ellipse. Mandatory Credit: Amber Searls-Imagn Images
  • Josh Hokit takes on Derrick Lewis in a heavyweight bout at the UFC White House card on Sunday, June 14th
  • The undefeated Hokit is a clear favorite over the UFC’s all-time knockout king
  • Keep reading for my Hokit vs. Lewis prediction, odds and pick

Youth meets experience in one of the more fun heavyweight scraps on the card. Josh Hokit faces Derrick Lewis at UFC Freedom 250 on the South Lawn of the White House, and the matchup is a classic puncher-versus-pressure clash.

Hokit earned this spot with a wild 15-minute war against Curtis Blaydes. Lewis got the call to fight on the White House lawn off the strength of his name and his knockout power. Here’s my Hokit vs. Lewis prediction.

Hokit vs Lewis Prediction

Lewis is the most dangerous one-shot puncher in heavyweight history, but his blueprint is simple. He either flattens you early or he fades and loses the later minutes. Once the finish doesn’t come, he tends to shell up and stop working.

YouTube video

Hokit is the wrong style for that. He’s a two-sport athlete and an All-American wrestler who walks through shots and keeps coming. His cardio held up against Blaydes for a full 15 minutes, and that kind of pace is what wears an older fighter down.

The wrestling tilts the fight too. Hokit can change levels and put Lewis on his back, and Lewis has always been uncomfortable fighting off his hips. Time spent grappling is time Hokit isn’t standing in front of that power, and it drains Lewis’s gas tank in the process. That’s the smart version of this game plan.

In my early card preview I had Hokit grinding out the win, and the cleanest version of that is a late stoppage once Lewis empties the tank. The 41-year-old can crack anyone for the first few minutes, but surviving Hokit’s pace into round two or three is the real ask.

Laying -455 on the moneyline makes no sense. Hokit by KO/TKO/DQ at -143 is the better price and the likely ending, with Lewis fading and getting overwhelmed late. You’re getting a fair number on the most probable way this plays out.

Hokit vs Lewis Odds

FighterMoneylineMethod of Victory
Josh Hokit-455KO/TKO/DQ -143
Derrick Lewis+340KO/TKO/DQ +375

Hokit is a -455 favorite, an implied probability of about 82%. Lewis comes back at +340, or roughly 23%. Both fighters are priced as live to score the knockout, which fits Lewis’s power and Hokit’s relentless pace.

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Odds as of June 14th at BetMGM. Register with a BetMGM promo code for the card or browse UFC betting apps.

Hokit vs Lewis Tale of the Tape

Josh HokitStatisticDerrick Lewis
9-0Record29-13
28Age41
6’1″Height6’3″
73″Reach79″
5KO Wins24

Lewis owns the size, the reach, and a knockout record nobody in UFC history can match. Hokit gives up six inches of reach but brings 13 years of youth and a far better gas tank. That tradeoff is the whole fight. If Hokit can weather the opening exchanges, the math swings hard in his favor.

Josh Hokit Recent Fights

  • Win vs Curtis Blaydes – Decision (April 2026)
  • Win vs Denzel Freeman – KO/TKO (January 2026)
  • Win vs Max Gimenis – KO/TKO (November 2025)

Derrick Lewis Recent Fights

  • Loss vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta – TKO (January 2026)
  • Win vs Tallison Teixeira – KO/TKO
  • Win vs Rodrigo Nascimento – KO/TKO

How to Watch Hokit vs. Lewis

UFC Freedom 250 streams exclusively on Paramount+ in the United States, with no separate pay-per-view purchase needed. The card starts at 8:00 pm ET / 5:00 pm PT, and Hokit and Lewis should hit the cage around 9:50 pm ET / 6:50 pm PT.

You can find my reads on the rest of the lineup in the early UFC Freedom 250 odds and predictions.

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    BET $5 FOR 7 DAYS & GET $350 IN BONUS BETS

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    USE CODE SBDDYW & DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 WAGERS!

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    USE CODE DIMEFAN & GET $10 x $100 BET MATCHES IN FANCASH!

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Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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