UFC 309 Predictions, Picks & Odds: Jones vs. Miocic (Nov. 16)

• UFC 309 odds are live
• Heavyweights Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic square off in the main event
• Check out all the UFC 309 odds and our best bets, below

UFC 309 is sure to entertain fight fans across the globe. A card headlined by Jon Jones (27-1 MMA, 21-1 UFC) and Stipe Miocic (20-4 MMA, 14-4 UFC) gets underway from the hallowed halls of Madison Square Garden on Saturday, November 15.

Explore all our best bets and the UFC 309 odds, below.

How to Watch UFC 309

• What: UFC 309
• When: Saturday, November 16, 2024
• Where: Madison Square Garden, New York
• TV: ESPN +, Pay-Per-View
• Start Times: 6 pm ET (Prelims) | 10 pm ET (Main Card)

UFC 309 Odds

The UFC 309 odds have former Penn State wrestler Bo Nickal as a huge -1350 favorite, with his opponent Paul Craig coming back as a +800 underdog.

Odds as of November 15, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Look for a Draftkings promo code for all your MMA betting action. 

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Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic Prediction

Jon Jones returns to the Octagon to take on former UFC heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic at UFC 309. Jones enters the cage for the first time since March 2023 on Saturday night after a bicep injury forced him out of this fight a year ago.

The heavyweight champ has won 18 straight fights. His last loss was after downward 12-6 elbows against Matt Hamill led to a disqualification loss at the Ultimate Fighter 10 Finale in December of 2009.

Meanwhile, 42-year-old Stipe Miocic enters the Octagon for his first bout since a knockout loss to Francis Ngannou way back in March of 2021. The former Golden Glove boxer utilized incredible jabs and lateral movement to make mince meat out of the UFC heavyweight division en route to the title. On top of that, he was a Division 1 wrestler at Cleveland State, and has the size and strength to go toe-to-toe with Jones.

Jon Jones OBLITERATED Ciryl Gane Like it was NOTHING pic.twitter.com/YwTLGjsJyv

— The Consumer (@OneTrueConsumer) November 12, 2024

Miocic is a big man, but Jones will still have a four-and-a-half-inch reach advantage in the cage. Word of out Jones’ camp is the Rochester native has put a ton of his work into his boxing. His incredible athleticism and anticipation skills have made him an all-time great. Jones use of timely hand-fighting, along with jabs and front kicks to keep his opponents’ off balance make him an MMA goliath. He’s a powerful, stance-switching enigma, with the poise and patience to break down even his most fearsome challengers.

Ultimately, Jones’ incredible athleticism and diverse striking ability gives him the nod here. Stipe is well past his prime and has shown the wear and tear of a number of wars in the heavyweight division. Expect Jones to control the pace, using his length to keep Miocic at bay and finish him as the fight wears on.

• UFC 309 Main Event Pick: Jon Jones to win by submission (+220)

Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler Prediction

Charles Oliveira (34-10 MMA, 24-10 UFC) and Michael Chandler (23-8 MMA, 2-3 UFC) go to war in a rematch of the UFC 262 scrap for the then vacant lightweight title. After a slow start, Oliveira finished the former three-time Bellator champ with a vicious left hook to take home the belt.

Since then, Oliveira has won three of five fights. The experienced Brazilian last took to the cage in April and lost a split decision to Arman Tsarukyan.

🤝🫂 Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler hugged it out at the final face off!

Nevertheless, it’s going to be a war 💥
🎥 @ufc pic.twitter.com/I2BBUQF1Fh

— Home of Fight (@Home_of_Fight) November 15, 2024

On the other hand, Chandler has spent most of the past two years waiting around to fight Conor McGregor. The Highridge, Missouri native has lost three of his past four fights. Chandler lost by rear naked choke to Dustin Poirier in November of 2022 and hasn’t stepped foot in the cage since.

With all of Chandler’s ring rust, and Oliveira’s slippery athleticism beginning to wane as he ages, the over 1.5 rounds is the play for the UFC 309 main event. Each of these men is far too experienced to be caught with a quick punch. After all, Chandler and Oliveira have only three combined first-round finishes in their last 10 bouts combined.

• UFC 309 Co-Main Event Pick: Over 1.5 rounds (-110)