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UFC 330 Prelims Picks & Predictions – Best Bets Include Luque vs Gore

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in Mixed Martial Arts News

Published:


Tresean Gore throws a punch during a UFC 314 fight.
Apr 12, 2025; Miami, Florida, UNITED STATES; Tresean Gore (red gloves) fights against Marco Tulio (blue gloves) during UFC 314 at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
  • UFC 330 Prelims bring strong betting angles before the main card begins in Philadelphia
  • Tresean Gore offers a sharp moneyline angle against Vicente Luque
  • Read below for my UFC 330 Prelims picks, predictions and best bets including Luque vs Gore

UFC 330 brings a deep prelim slate to the Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA, with early action scheduled to begin tonight at 5:45 PM ET on Paramount+. Rather than focusing on the championship headliner, this breakdown is centered strictly on the preliminary-card spots that present the clearest betting value.

My favorite target sits in the Luque vs Gore matchup, where Tresean Gore’s finishing upside and two-way offense make him live at a near pick’em price. I am also looking at Myktybek Orolbai’s grappling dominance, Ramiz Brahimaj’s submission threat and Joel Alvarez’s finishing ability as key prelim betting angles.

Let’s dive into my favorite UFC 330 Prelims picks, predictions and best bets headlined by Luque vs Gore.

UFC 330 Prelims Odds

FighterMoneyline
Jeremiah Wells+725
Myktybek Orolbai-1200
FighterMoneyline
Neil Magny+120
Ramiz Brahimaj-145
FighterMoneyline
Rafael Tobias+240
Lucas Fernando-300
FighterMoneyline
Vicente Luque-105
Tresean Gore-115
FighterMoneyline
Donte Johnson-300
Eric McConico+240
FighterMoneyline
Charles Johnson-108
Eduardo Henrique Da Silva+108
FighterMoneyline
Chidi Njokuani+250
Joel Alvarez-300

Odds as of fight week at BetMGM. Check out the best UFC betting apps for UFC 330 on Saturday.

Orolbai is the heaviest chalk anywhere on the early card at -1200, with Lucas Fernando and Joel Alvarez next in line at -300 apiece. Those prices are far too steep for a straight moneyline, so the value in those spots has to come from the method markets.

The two tightest UFC 330 prelims odds sit in Luque vs Gore at -105/-115 and Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Henrique Da Silva at -108/+108. Magny vs Brahimaj is the other bout close enough to a coin flip to play straight, with Brahimaj at -145.

UFC 330 Prelims Predictions

MatchupPredicted Winner
Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek OrolbaiMyktybek Orolbai
Neil Magny vs Ramiz BrahimajRamiz Brahimaj
Rafael Tobias vs Lucas FernandoLucas Fernando
Vicente Luque vs Tresean GoreTresean Gore
Donte Johnson vs Eric McConicoDonte Johnson
Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Henrique Da SilvaCharles Johnson
Chidi Njokuani vs Joel AlvarezJoel Alvarez

UFC 330 Prelims Prediction: Myktybek Orolbai by Submission

  • UFC 330 Prelims Pick #1: Myktybek Orolbai by Submission (+190 at BetMGM)

With no previous meetings between these two welterweights, I have to look closely at their recent cage performances. Myktybek Orolbai enters this bout with a stellar 16-2-1 record and has been an absolute force on the mat.

In his recent unanimous decision victory over Chris Curtis, Orolbai secured an incredible 19 takedowns out of 24 attempts, racking up 12:33 of control time. When he isn’t grinding opponents out, he is turning out the lights quickly, evidenced by his swift Round 1 finish over Jack Hermansson.

Jeremiah Wells sits at 13-4-1. While he is capable, his recent split-decision loss to Max Griffin showed glaring vulnerabilities.

Orolbai’s relentless wrestling pace is perfectly equipped to exploit those gaps. Since he is a massive -1200 favorite, I am targeting the submission prop to avoid eating that juice.

Magny vs Brahimaj Best Bet: Ramiz Brahimaj Moneyline

  • UFC 330 Prelims Pick #2: Ramiz Brahimaj Moneyline (-145 at BetMGM)

The recent trajectories of these two fighters point heavily in one direction. Ramiz Brahimaj (13-6) has proven to be a lethal submission specialist inside the distance.

He recently secured a Round 1 submission over Billy Goff and a Round 2 tap-out against Austin Vanderford. On the other side of the cage, veteran Neil Magny (31-15) looks like his durability has fallen off a cliff.

He has struggled to survive the early rounds in his latest outings. Magny recently suffered a brutal Round 1 submission loss to Yaroslav Amosov, followed by a Round 1 knockout defeat to Carlos Prates.

Brahimaj’s aggressive early submission hunting makes him my clear pick to catch a vulnerable Magny on the moneyline.

Luque vs Gore Pick: Tresean Gore Moneyline

  • UFC 330 Prelims Pick #3: Tresean Gore Moneyline (-115 at BetMGM)

These middleweights have never crossed paths, but Tresean Gore (7-4) offers a dual-threat offense that makes him an incredibly dangerous matchup. He is riding the momentum of a third-round submission victory over Azamat Bekoev.

In that grueling fight, Gore also landed 98 significant strikes. He followed that up with a lightning-fast Round 1 submission over Antonio Trocoli.

Vicente Luque brings a wealth of experience (24-12-1), but his defense is fading quickly. Luque showed massive defensive gaps in a unanimous decision loss to Joel Alvarez, where he absorbed 89 significant strikes.

Gore’s ability to maintain high striking volume while always threatening the neck gives him a distinct stylistic edge.

UFC 330 Prelims Prediction: Joel Alvarez by KO/TKO

  • UFC 330 Prelims Pick #4: Joel Alvarez by KO/TKO (+250 at BetMGM)

Joel Alvarez (23-4) has been putting on absolute striking clinics. His recent resume justifies backing him in this first-time matchup against Chidi Njokuani (25-12).

Alvarez recently cruised to a unanimous decision over Vicente Luque by out-landing him 89 to 30 in significant strikes. Furthermore, Alvarez possesses immediate finishing power.

This was perfectly showcased by his Round 1 stoppage against Drakkar Klose and a third-round KO/TKO against Elves Brener. Njokuani has found himself on the wrong end of the scorecards lately, dropping a unanimous decision to Carlos Leal Miranda and suffering a quick Round 1 submission defeat to Jake Matthews.

With Alvarez sitting at -300, the knockout prop offers the best overall value.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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