UFC Winnipeg Odds & Main Card Predictions – Burns vs Malott

• Tonight’s UFC Winnipeg is headlined by the Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott welterweight fight
• This bout will mark Burns’ sixth straight five round fight, and the first for Malott
• See the UFC Winnipeg odds below, plus my main card predictions for Burns vs Malott and more

The UFC is back in Canada tonight, so it’s only fitting that a Canuck is headlining UFC Winnipeg. The honor goes to Ontario native Mike Malott, who’s a sizeable favorite over Gilbert Burns in their welterweight bout. Personally, I think the price on Burns is a slap in the face, and I’ll be looking to back him on the moneyline as a result.

The UFC Winnipeg prelims are already underway on Paramount+, with the main card fights scheduled to start at 8:15 pm ET, also on Paramount+.

Here are the UFC Winnipeg odds, plus main card predictions for Burns vs Malott and more.

UFC Winnipeg Main Card Odds

Odds as of April 18 at DraftKings. Check out the best UFC betting apps for UFC Winnipeg on Saturday.

Malott is currently a heavy -270 moneyline favorite, with Burns coming back as a +220 underdog. The total rounds is set at 2.5 with the juice slightly shaded to the under, and I think betting the over also makes sense given Burns’ pedigree and Malott’s questionable grappling defense.

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UFC Winnipeg Main Card Predictions: Gilbert Burns Moneyline

Although tempted by over 2.5 rounds, I’ll stick with Burns’ moneyline as my official UFC Winnipeg main card prediction. Burns is a former top title contender in the welterweight division, and although he’s dropped three straight fights, all have been to either current or former champions.

At age 39, he’s getting a little long in the tooth, but there are a couple reasons to grab his moneyline in this matchup. Let’s start with his grappling prowess. He is a former BJJ World Champion, and averages double the amount of takedowns as his opponent. Once on the mat, he has the skill to keep Malott there, and on the ground is typically where Malott racks up the bulk of his points.

Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott Tale of the Tape

Then there’s the stamina advantage that Burns brings into the octagon. He boasts a significantly better engine than Malott, who’s looked gassed every time he’s exceeded 2 rounds let alone 4. His lone loss in the promotion came when he could barely stand up in the final round, and this fight will be a five-round battle.

Burns has plenty of experience at that distance while Malott has none. Each of Burns’ last six fights have been headline or five round bouts, while this will be the first of Malott’s career. Yes, the Canadian is younger and faster than his opponent, but unless he catches Burns early his cardio is going to get exposed. Burns is too savvy for that to happen, and I expect him to grind out a decision victory, mostly from points racked up on the mat.

• UFC Winnipeg Pick #1: Gilbert Burns Moneyline (+220 at DraftKings)

UFC Winnipeg Main Card Predictions: Charles Jourdain Moneyline

While I’m betting against Malott in the headline bout, I’m backing Canadian Charles Jourdain versus Kyler Phillips. Jourdain has looked like an absolute wrecking ball since dropping down to 135 pounds, completely destroying his first two opponents.

The Canadian is a dynamic striker who isn’t afraid to slug it out on his feet, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he simply dropped Phillips. The American has looked lifeless in back to back losses to bottom tier opponents, and is fight IQ has never been his strength. Jourdain’s physicality and aggressiveness should overwhelm Phillips, and I don’t mind taking the Canadian to win by KO, TKO or submission at +250 as well.

• UFC Winnipeg Pick #2: Charles Jourdain Moneyline (-125 at Bet365), Jourdain by KO, TKO or Submission (+250 at Bet365)