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Cavs vs Pistons Predictions, Best Bets & Splits (Game 2)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Published:


Cade Cunningham is guarded by Donovan Mitchell in Game 1 of their 2nd Round series.
May 5, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Pistons guard Cade Cunningham (2) dribbles defended by Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) in the second half during game one of the second round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
  • Detroit is laying 3.5 points versus Cleveland in Game 2 of their 2nd Round series
  • The Cavs enter play ranked 10th out of 16 playoff teams in defensive rating
  • Keep reading for my favorite Cavs vs Pistons predictions and best bets, along with the latest betting splits for Game 2, below

After a convincing Game 1 win, the Pistons return to the court tonight looking to take a 2-0 series lead over the Cavs in their 2nd Round playoff series. Online sportsbooks like their chances, pegging Detroit as 3.5-point favorites in the latest NBA odds. Tip-off for Game 2 is set for 7:00 PM ET from Little Caesars Arena, with Amazon Prime Video handling the national broadcast.

Cleveland enters play staring down an early hole and needs elite guard Donovan Mitchell to put the fast-paced offense on his back to steal home-court advantage. The Pistons will counter by leaning on their star playmaker, Cade Cunningham, to slice through the opposition in a methodical halfcourt offense.

Below, you’ll find my top Cavs vs Pistons predictions and best bets, along with the latest betting splits for Game 2.

Cavs vs Pistons Predictions

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I am backing Detroit to cover the -3.5 spread at home. Cleveland has completely fallen off a cliff in hostile environments during this postseason, going 0-4 straight up on the road. Furthermore, the Cavaliers are a dismal 1-6 ATS as the visiting team against top-10 scoring defenses over their last seven games. Given that the Pistons boast the best defensive rating in the playoffs, laying the points with the home side is the most logical bet to make.

Moving to the total, I love the Over at 215.5 points. Desperation should force a track meet that opens up the floor. Historically, a deficit pushes the tempo for the Cavs; the Over has hit in three of Cleveland’s last four games following a loss.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Playoff Stats

StatisticCavaliersPistons
Points Per Game110.5 (5th)103.5 (10th)
Points Allowed110.2 (10th)98.1 (1st)
Offensive Rating110.4 (5th)106.1 (10th)
Defensive Rating108.6 (10th)99.5 (1st)
Pace96.7 (4th)95.1 (11th)
Field Goal %46.6% (5th)44.0% (10th)
3-Point %34.4% (7th)33.3% (11th)
Opponent 3-Point %35.9% (12th)33.3% (6th)
Assist to Turnover Ratio1.2 (16th)1.4 (12th)
Rebound %52.0% (6th)53.0% (4th)
Second Chance Pts/Game14.1 (10th)16.4 (4th)

The most glaring mismatch emerges when Cleveland is forced to defend. They rank a vulnerable 10th in defensive rating, which provides the perfect environment for Detroit to score efficiently. The Pistons also possess a crucial advantage in the margins. They control the boards with a 53.0% rebound percentage and translate that physicality into 16.4 second-chance points per game. During their 111-101 Game 1 victory, Detroit imposed their will by racking up 12 steals and 19 turnovers, turning those giveaways into 31 points. If they can continue their defensive dominance, and receive reliable secondary scoring behind Cunningham, they have a chance to make some noise in the NBA Championship odds.

Cavs vs Pistons Best Bets

  • Cade Cunningham Over 9.5 Assists (-142 at DraftKings)
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In the NBA props market, I am targeting Cunningham Over 9.5 Assists. Detroit’s lead guard lit the lamp as a distributor in Game 1 and he is positioned to carve up a defense that yields a generous 35.9% shooting percentage to opponents from beyond the arc. Reaching double-digit dimes is a lofty goal, but despite the high number it still shows up a strong value in our NBA player prop analyzer.

Cavs vs Pistons Odds

Odds as of May 7. Claim the Bet365 promo code to bet on the NBA Playoffs tonight.

Cavs vs Pistons Splits

Moving over to the NBA public betting splits, where the market is in line with both my pick of Detroit -3.5, and over 215.5. The Pistons are currently drawing 59% of the spread tickets and 58% of the ATS handle, while 86% of the wagers and money is on the over for Game 2.

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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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