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Clippers vs Nuggets Game 7 Picks, Predictions & Odds

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Published:


Jamal Murray layup contested by Kawhi Leonard
May 1, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) shoots the ball against LA Clippers forward Kawhi Leonard (2) in the second half during game six of first round for the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Intuit Dome. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
  • The Denver Nuggets are 1.5-point home favorites in Game 7 of their Round 1 series vs the LA Clippers
  • Los Angeles evened the series at 3-3 with a win in Game 6
  • See my Clippers vs Nuggets Game 7 predictions, player props, and odds on May 3

It’s down to a winner-take-all Game 7 between the visiting LA Clippers and the host Denver Nuggets, in what has been the most entertaining Round 1 series in these NBA Playoffs.

Denver is pegged as a slight 1.5-point favorite in the NBA odds, as they try to exorcise last year’s Game 7 collapse in Round 2, blowing a 20-point second-half lead to the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Clippers? They’re trying to win their first Game 7 on the road since 1978.

Game 7 tips off Saturday night at 7:30pm ET from Ball Arena in Denver, with TNT carrying the broadcast.

Clippers vs Nuggets Odds

Bet TypeClippersNuggets
Spread+1.5 (-106)-1.5 (-114)
Moneyline+108-126
TotalO 207 (-112)U 207 (-108)

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LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Picks

  • Clippers vs Nuggets pick: Over 207 points (-112)

While the results have not all been close, the teams have split the most important stat: winning. Denver and LA split the regular season series 2-2, and with the Clippers’ 111-105 win in Game 6 at home, these teams have split the first six games of this series.

For the Clippers, Kawhi Leonard has been everything he was billed to be (finally) when he came over from the Toronto Raptors, fresh off a title and Finals MVP. He’s averaging 25.5 points on a crisp 54.5% shooting against Denver, adding eight boards and 5.2 assists.

YouTube video

James Harden has had his ups and downs in offensive support. After scoring in the teens in three of the last four games, he broke out in Game 6 with 28 points and eight dimes.

The big question will be who supports them? Ivica Zubac has averaged 18.7 points this series, but his priority in Game 7 is to body up Nikola Jokic. Norman Powell is coming off a series-best 24, but he’s only averaging 12.3 points on under 40% shooting in Denver.

Clippers vs Nuggets Statistical Matchup

ClippersStatisticNuggets
109.5PPG105.7
48.8%FG%747.5%
37.3%3PT%39.1%
40.0RPG42.8
11.5TPG14.2

The same question lurks for Denver behind Jokic, who we know will show up. Jamal Murray has done a reasonably good job in supporting his MVP teammate, putting up 24 points a game, and Russell Westbrook has been the only consistent scoring option off the bench, but he’s doing so with a high-shooting volume.

It’s been a disaster of a series for Michael Porter Jr, who’s gutting it out with a shoulder injury, but he’s only at 10.2 points per game. The best option might be Aaron Gordon, who has a game-winner on his resume, while averaging 18.3 points on 50.6% shooting.

These teams have hit the Over in two straight matchups, and they’ve crossed the 207 scoring line in all three games in the Mile High City.

There’s a chance for a slugfest, but I’m banking on some premier shot making and excellence of execution between a pair of teams that will leave it all out there for the chance to play the Thunder in Round 2.

Clippers vs Nuggets Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThrees Made
Nikola Jokic (DEN)28.5 (O -110 | U -120)12.5 (O -110 | U -120)9.5 (O -110 | U -120)1.5 (O -160 | U +124)
Kawhi Leonard (LAC)25.5 (O -120 | U -110)7.5 (O -130 | U +100)4.5 (O +110 | U -140)2.5 (O +135 | U -166)
James Harden (LAC)20.5 (O -115 | U -115)5.5 (O -125 | U -105)9.5 (O +110 | U -140)2.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Jamal Murray (DEN)22.5 (O +100 | U -130)4.5 (O -105 | U -125)5.5 (O -145 | U +114)2.5 (O +145 | U -188 )
Norman Powell (LAC)16.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O +100 | U -130)1.5 (O -145 | U +114)2.5 (O +130 | U -166)
Ivica Zubac (LAC)16.5 (O -120 | U -110)11.5 (O -110 | U -120)2.5 (O -110 | U -120)OFF
Michael Porter Jr. (DEN)10.5 (O +100 | U -130)5.5 (O +130 | U -166)1.5 (O +175 | U -230)1.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Aaron Gordon (DEN)14.5 (O -130 | U +100)5.5 (O -105 | U -125)2.5 (O +105 | U -135)1.5 (O +175 | U -230)
Christian Braun (DEN)11.5 (O -110 | U -120)5.5 (O +110 | U -140)2.5 (O +114 | U -145)0.5 (O -188 | U +145)
Russell Westbrook (DEN)11.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O +100 | U -130)3.5 (O +120 | U -154)1.5 (O +124 | U -160)
Bogdan Bogdanovic (LAC)6.5 (O -115 | U -115)1.5 (O -175 | U +135)OFFOFF

NBA props from DraftKings Sportsbook on May 3. Download the top NBA betting apps before the NBA playoffs.

Playing at home, Denver should be hopeful for an unlikely source coming through for them, and I’m targeting Porter Jr.

For all his struggles, the seventh-year man is still shooting a crisp 46.2% from 3-point range in this series, and he’s been solid at home, going 7-for-11 from behind the arc.

He’s topped his 1.5 make line three times in this series, with a triple away from going Over in the three other games. With nice +175 odds to nail two moneyballs, we’ll take the plunge on him connecting twice in the biggest game of Denver’s season.

  • Clippers vs Nuggets player prop bet: Porter Jr Over 1.5 3-point makes (+175)
Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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