Skip to content

March 5 NBA Player Props – Over/Unders and Picks for Heat vs 76ers, Warriors vs Lakers

Sam Cox

By Sam Cox in NBA Basketball

Published:


Steph Curry reacting on the court during a NBA game.
Mar 3, 2022; Dallas, Texas, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) reacts during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
  • Six games are on Saturday’s NBA schedule
  • The top team in the Eastern Conference meet with the Sixers in Miami
  • The slumping Lakers take on Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors in Los Angeles

It’s a relatively early start for NBA fans on Saturday with the Kings and Mavericks tipping off at 5:10pm ET. Dallas is coming into this one on a three-game winning run, and is favored comfortably. Struggling Charlotte host the Spurs a couple of hours later before a trio of 8:10pm ET tip offs.

Philadelphia and Miami, the top two teams in the Eastern Conference, meet in Florida with the Sixers on the second night of a back-to-back. Memphis is eyeing the two seed in the Western Conference as they face the Magic, a game they are listed as 15.5-point favorites for. Minnesota, who hold top six aspirations, take on the tanking Blazers.

The night is wrapped up with the latest edition of the Steph Curry versus LeBron James rivalry, albeit in very different circumstances to previous iterations. The Dubs are six-point favorites in Los Angeles with the Lakers having lost four in a row.

NBA Player Props – March 5th

SAS @ CHA Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Terry Rozier (CHA) 21.5 (O -104 | U -118) 4.5 (O -150 | U +122) 4.5 (O -150 | U +122) 3.5 (O +126 | U -162)
LaMelo Ball (CHA) 19.5 (O -110 | U -110) 5.5 (O -124 | U +102) 7.5 (O +112 | U -138) 2.5 (O -111 | U -115)
Miles Bridges (CHA) 19.5 (O -104 | U -118) 7.5 (O +104 | U -128) 3.5 (O -158 | U +128) 1.5 (O +106 | U -136)
ORL @ MEM Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Ja Morant (MEM) 32.5 (O -106 | U -116) 5.5 (O -140 | U +114) 5.5 (O -130 | U +106) 1.5 (O -136 | U +106)
Desmond Bane (MEM) 17.5 (O -112 | U -108) 4.5 (O +100 | U -122) 2.5 (O -134 | U +110) 2.5 (O -122 | U -104)
Jaren Jackson Jr (MEM) 16.5 (O -120 | U -102) 6.5 (O +110 | U -134) OFF 1.5 (O +140 | U -180)
GSW @ LAL Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Steph Curry (GSW) 24.5 (O -116 | U -106) 5.5 (O +106 | U -130) 7.5 (O +102 | U -124) 3.5 (O -156 | U +122)
Klay Thompson (GSW) 17.5 (O -118 | U -104) 4.5 (O +124 | U -152) 2.5 (O -134 | U +110) 2.5 (O -130 | U +102)
Andrew Wiggins (GSW) 16.5 (O -104 | U -116) 4.5 (O +100 | U -122) 2.5 (O +138 | U -172) 1.5 (O -200 | U +154)
Kevon Looney (GSW) 7.5 (O -128 | U +104) 8.5 (O -122 | U +100) 2.5 (O +116 | U -142) OFF
LeBron James (LAL) 29.5 (O -118 | U -104) 8.5 (O -122 | U +100) 5.5 (O -124 | U +102) 2.5 (O +124 | U -156)

Odds as of March 5th at FanDuel.

Ja Morant, who is surging in NBA MVP odds, has the highest points line in Saturday’s games at 32.5 against the rebuilding Magic.

Lakers Can’t Stop Steph

The Lakers have a below-average defense over the last 10 games. They are a team in disarray, where even the concept of chemistry is long gone. Defensive effort has been particularly woeful over the last few games, leading to brutal blowout wins at the hands of the Pelicans and Clippers.

YouTube video

This should be a good time to face the Warriors. There’s still no Draymond Green, and the Dubs are enduring their own slump of sorts. Steph Curry is having the worst shooting season of his career.

Despite that, the points line of 24.5 seems low for the two-time MVP. Curry has scored 25+ in five of his last eight. While the Lakers have kept him to 24 and 21 in the previous meetings, their aggressive defensive schemes against Curry are not going to be effective if their effort is as lackluster on Saturday evening.

YouTube video

Curry is averaging 27.1 points per game over the last eight. He could easily cash this over in the three quarters.

  • Pick: Steph Curry over 24.5 points (-116)

Bane’s Continued Struggles

Desmond Bane is averaging exactly 17.5 points for the season. That number drops to 15.2 over the last 10, however, with Ja Morant’s points scoring explosion seeing Bane take a bit of a back seat. He’s also in a slump by his high standards, shooting under 37% from the field in that period.

Memphis is heavy favorites on Saturday against the Magic, and understandably so. Orlando has sneakily been a top eight defense over the last eight, though, and they have some decent defensive options on the perimeter to trouble Bane’s shot. Despite draining five threes against Boston a couple of days ago, there are some concerns that Bane is suffering from a bit of fatigue after such a heavy workload this season.

YouTube video

Bane has scored 17 or fewer in the last four and eight of the last 11. A potential Memphis blowout would limit his minutes and scoring or it could just be another cold shooting night.

There’s good reason to go with the under here — Bane only scored seven when these teams last met.

Pick: Desmond Bane under 17.5 points (-112)

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $10, GET $100 IN FANCASH + GAMEDAY GUARANTEE

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS + 3 MONTHS OF NBA LEAGUE PASS

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IF YOUR BET WINS

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD20X & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 20 WAGERS!

  • ESPN BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO UNLOCK BET $10, GET $100 BONUS & ESPN+

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY).

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

Sam Cox
Sam Cox

Sports Writer

Sam Cox is a freelance writer and sports junkie, who has spent the past several years immersed in the online gaming industry. He has worked with 888sport, Oddschecker, and Colossus Bets to name a few. Based in the UK, Sam also runs Franchise Sports with his brother.

NBA MLB Soccer

Recommended Reading