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Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers Odds, Player Props & Predictions (March 10)

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 11, 2024 · 7:17 AM PDT

Milwaukee Bucks guard Damian Lillard drives against LA Clippers forward Paul George
Mar 4, 2024; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks guard Damian Lillard (0) drives for the basket against Los Angeles Clippers forward Paul George (13) in the fourth quarter at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Milwaukee Bucks visit the LA Clippers on Sunday afternoon
  • Milwaukee has lost two in a row while LAC has won two straight
  • See the Bucks vs Clippers odds, player props, and predictions for March 10

Two of the top-five favorites in the NBA title odds square off on Sunday afternoon when the Milwaukee Bucks (41-23, 19-11 away, 27-36-1 ATS) visit the LA Clippers (41-21, 22-8 home, 32-30 ATS) at crypto.com Arena at 12:10 pm PT/3:10 pm ET.

The Bucks come in on a rare two-game losing streak but, with the Clippers playing their second game in as many days, Milwaukee is nonetheless a 5.5-point road favorite over LA in Sunday’s Bucks vs Clippers odds.

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 (-110) -210 Over 222.5 (-110)
LA Clippers +5.5 (-110) +180 Under 222.5 (-110)

The Bucks, who beat LAC 113-106 at home last week without Giannis Antetokounmpo, should have their star forward in the lineup on Sunday. Giannis (right knee tendinitis) is listed as probable.

In addition to being 4.5-point ATS favorites, Milwaukee is also -200 on the moneyline to win straight-up, while the Clippers come back at +170. The over/under is sitting at 222.5 with -110 odds both ways.

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Odds as of March 10 at ESPN Bet. Claim the ESPN Bet North Carolina promo before launch tomorrow!

The Clippers are currently the third-favorite in the NBA championship odds at +490, followed by the Bucks in fourth at +700. Residing in the East with the favored Celtics, Milwaukee is perceived to have a tougher road to the NBA Finals.

Bucks Drop Back-to-Back Games

Milwaukee enters Sunday on a two game skid, losing a lopsided 125-90 decision to Golden State before falling by a point (123-122) to the Lakers at crypto.com Arena on Friday. Giannis had a team-high 34 points, 14 rebounds, and 12 assists in the loss while shooting an efficient 14-of-23 from the floor.

A not uncommon occurrence this season, Milwaukee’s perimeter defense was subpar. D’Angelo Russell dropped 44 points for the Lakers who shot 47.1% from beyond the arc as a team.

YouTube video

During their two-game slide, the Bucks have dropped to 15th in Defensive Rating (115.0) during their first season with Damian Lillard. Last year, with Jrue Holiday running the point, Milwaukee finished fourth in the NBA in D-Rating (110.7).

The offense, of course, remains one of the best in the league. The Bucks are currently fifth in O-Rating at 118.6 with Giannis averaging over 30 points per game (30.8) and Lillard at 24.5 PPG.

Milwaukee will once again be without Khris Middleton (14.8 PPG, 5.0 APG, 4.3 RPG) due to an ankle injury. Middleton hasn’t played since Feb. 6.

Clippers Down Bulls on Saturday

LA made it two straight wins last night by defeating the Chicago Bulls 112-102, overcoming an 11-point halftime deficit in the process. Paul George scored a team-high 22 points with nine assists on 8-of-16 shooting from the field while the Clippers dominated the glass (45 to 38) and held the Bulls to just 43% shooting from the floor.

The win improved LAC to 20-8 at home this season.

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The Clippers were poised to knock off the Bucks in Milwaukee when the teams met on March 4, opening an 81-68 lead late in the third quarter against a Bucks team without Giannis. But Damian Lillard played arguably his best game in a Milwaukee uniform, scoring 41 points on 12-of-22 shooting and a perfect 13-of-13 performance from the stripe.

The Clippers still rate slightly above the Bucks in both O-Rating (118.9, fourth) and D-Rating (114.3, 13th).

The only player certain to be missing from Sunday’s NBA lineups for LAC is Russell Westbrook, who remains out with a fractured hand. But playing their second game in as many nights, oddsmakers are clearly expecting the Clippers to be less than full strength.

MIL vs LAC Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Bobby Portis (MIL) 13.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 7.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) OFF 1.5 (Ov +175 | Un -230)
Brook Lopez (MIL) 10.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) OFF 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Damian Lillard (MIL) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130) 6.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 2.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130)
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) 31.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 12.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) 6.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 0.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Malik Beasley (MIL) 12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 3.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) OFF 3.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160)

Player props from DraftKings on March 6. Claim a DraftKings North Carolina promo prior to launch in NC on March 11. 

With LAC’s lineup unclear, only Milwaukee player are listed in the NBA player props for Bucks vs Clippers. Giannis has a game-high point total of 31.5 while Lillard, who went off for 41 against the Clippers a week ago (when Giannis was out of the lineup) is next at 23.5.

Bucks vs Clippers Prediction

The spread for this game suggests that oddsmakers believe Kawhi Leonard (24.0 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 3.8 APG, 1.7 SPG) is at real risk of sitting out. Kawhi has missed five games this season but has played in eight straight, including 35-plus minutes in six of those eight.

While the Clippers are currently fourth in the West in the NBA playoff bracket, they are only 2.5 games behind conference-leading OKC. There ought to be some sense of urgency to make a push for the top seed in a season when home-court advantage will be massive.

In other words, I wouldn’t be surprise in the slightest if the Clippers played a full-strength lineup tonight, in which case, getting them as +170 home underdogs is an absolute steal.

 

MIL vs LAC pick: Clippers moneyline (+170)

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

  • 17-21 moneyline (+4.06 units)
  • 19-17-2 ATS (+1.41 units)
  • 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
  • 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

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