NBA Picks Today – Best Bets for All 3 Games on Monday, April 27

• Oklahoma City and Minnesota can clinch their respective NBA playoff series tonight
• Anthony Edwards’ injury impacts Minnesota’s chances
• See today’s top NBA playoff picks against the spread and over/unders

Oklahoma City and Minnesota have a chance to close out their respective first-round series tonight in the NBA playoffs.

The defending champion Thunder lead Phoenix 3-0. The Timberwolves lead Denver 3-1, but now must win without injured star Anthony Edwards. In the East, Orlando hosts Detroit in Game 4. The Magic lead that series 2-1.

We break down all 3 NBA playoff games and deliver the best bets ATS and on the total for each.

Best Bets ATS & Total for NBA Playoff Games Tonight

Detroit at Orlando Picks & Analysis

The graphic above shows the best available odds and is subject to change

Series: Orlando leads 2-1

Tip-off/TV: 8 pm, ET/NBC, Peacock

Detroit heads into the Kia Center as a consensus 2.5-point road favorites against a Magic team that has been highly profitable on their home floor.

Team Form & Player Performance: The Pistons have struggled to execute their half-court offense, going 1-2 straight up and against the spread (ATS) over their last three playoff games. Despite the collective struggles, Cade Cunningham has been spectacular, averaging 27.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 9.0 assists per game on the road, while Tobias Harris is adding 23.0 points away from home. Orlando is heavily reliant on Paolo Banchero (25.0 points, 12.0 rebounds, and 9.0 assists per game at home), with Franz Wagner contributing 17.0 points per game in his own building.

Betting Splits & Angles: The ticket counts for the spread are incredibly tight, with Orlando taking 51.5% of the tickets and 52.0% of the overall handle. However, looking at the moneyline, 60.3% of the bets and 65.2% of the cash are backing Detroit (-154) to win outright. Meanwhile, the total market is seeing massive public action, with 82.9% of bettors heavily backing a fast-paced game to push the OVER.

Value Play: There is immense value in backing the home underdog based on raw situational data. Orlando is a stellar 5-1 ATS at home as an underdog over their last six games. Betting on the Magic +3.0 aligns perfectly with the situational trends of Orlando protecting their home court and getting defensive stops when it matters most.

The Magic are a highly profitable 5-1 ATS (83.3%) at home as an underdog over their last six games, and they are 5-1 straight up at home following a win over that same stretch. We are happily backing the data and taking the points. Additionally, looking at the total, the over has hit in 13 of Detroit’s last 19 games as a favorite (68.4%), setting the stage for a higher-scoring affair as the Pistons push the pace.

The Pick (Spread): Orlando +3.0 (-110 at Bet365)

The Pick (Total): OVER 214.5 (-110 at Bet365)

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Oklahoma City at Phoenix Picks & Analysis

The graphic above shows the best available odds and is subject to change

Series: OKC leads 3-0

Tip-off/TV: 9:30 pm, ET/NBCSN, Peacock

The Thunder enter the Footprint Center as massive consensus 10.5-point road favorites, looking to dictate the tempo and eliminate the Suns.

Team Form & Player Performance: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 34.5 points in the series. Chet Holmgren is anchoring the interior defense while adding 10.0 points per game away from home. For Phoenix to keep this close, it will need continued heroics from Dillon Brooks, who scored 33 in Game 3, and Devin Booker, who is facilitating with 16.0 points and 7.0 assists per game.

Betting Splits & Angles: This game presents a fascinating sharp money indicators on the slate. The public is hammering Oklahoma City, commanding 66.6% of the spread bets and 65.0% of the ATS stake. However, the moneyline tells a different story. Phoenix (+375) is only drawing 12.0% of the total moneyline tickets, yet they account for a staggering 44.5% of the moneyline handle. This reverse polarization indicates that serious sharp syndicates are taking a flier on the home side to pull off the outright upset.

Value Play: While laying the points with Oklahoma City seems like the public consensus, the sharp money on the Phoenix moneyline suggests hidden value on the home side. The safest angle is attacking the total: the OVER has hit in four of Phoenix’s last five games against the Thunder, as both teams prefer to get up and down the court rather than grinding out possessions.

The historical trends heavily support a Thunder blowout in a high-scoring environment. Despite playing at home, Phoenix is 2-7 ATS (22.2%) against opponents with a winning record over their last nine games. Oklahoma City is 3-1 ATS (75.0%) away from home over their last four contests. We are laying the heavy points. When it comes to the total, multiple converging trends scream for the OVER. The over has hit in four of Phoenix’s last five games against Oklahoma City (80.0%) and in three of their last four games following a loss (75.0%). For the Thunder, the over has cashed in four of their last five games as a favorite (80.0%).

The Pick (Spread): Oklahoma City -10.5 (-110 at Bet365)

The Pick (Total): OVER 213.5 (-110 at Bet365)

Minnesota at Denver Picks & Analysis

Series: Minnesota leads 3-1

Tip-off/TV: 10:30 pm, ET/NBC, Peacock

The Nuggets return to Ball Arena as consensus 11.5-point home favorites, trying to extend their first-round series against a Minnesota team suddenly dealing without star Anthony Edwards.

Team Form & Player Performance: Denver’s dynamic duo has been a bright spot. Nikola Jokić is nearly averaging a triple-double: 24.5 points, 14.0 rebounds, and 9.5 assists, while Jamal Murray has averaged 30.0 at home in the series.

Minnesota now must find a way to close out the series without Anthony Edwards, who hyperextended his left knee and is expected to miss weeks. Donte DiVincenzo suffered a torn right Achilles tendon on Saturday and is OUT for the remainder of the season.

Betting Splits & Angles: This game is a prime candidate for fading the public. The spread tickets favor Minnesota heavily (59.4%), but the actual ATS handle is essentially a coin flip, with Denver holding a slight 50.3% edge. Furthermore, Denver’s spread has seen a positive line movement surge over time. The moneyline splits are even more telling. The public is overwhelmingly backing Denver’s moneyline (-500) at a 76.3% ticket clip, but a commanding 56.2% of the total moneyline stake is backing Minnesota (+375).

Value Play: We’re setting aside the metrics — Denver is 3-8 ATS as a favorite — and leaning in on the Timberwolves’ having to adjust to life without Edwards against a desperate and proud Nuggets team fighting for its playoff life.

The Pick (Spread): Denver -10.5 (-115) at DraftKings

The Pick (Total): UNDER 222.5 (-115 at Caesars)