New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Predictions, Player Props & Odds (March 18)

• Back to full strength, the Golden State Warriors host the New York Knicks on Monday night
• The Knicks are still missing Julius Randle and Mitchell Robinson, while OG Anunoby is questionable
• See the Knicks vs Warriors player props, odds, and predictions for March 18

Still three games back of the top-six in the West with just 16 games remaining, the Golden State Warriors (35-31, 17-17 home, 36-29-1 ATS) host the New York Knicks (40-27, 18-14 away, 34-30-3 ATS) on Monday night at the Chase Center (7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET).

The Dubs, who got Steph Curry back from a three-game absence last time out, are listed as 5.5-point favorites in the Knicks vs Warriors odds for Monday, March 18.

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Odds

Monday’s NBA odds also show the Warriors as -210 moneyline chalk with the Knicks coming back at +175 to win straight-up. The game total is at just 211.5, which is 5.5 points lower than any other Warriors game this season.

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Odds as of March 18 at ESPN Bet. Claim the ESPN Bet promo to wager on Knicks vs Warriors.

If the postseason started today, the Warriors would be the #9 seed in the West in the NBA playoff bracket and would host the Lakers in the 9-vs-10 Play-In Game. The Knicks are clinging to the #4 seed in the East, half a game ahead of the Magic.

Warriors Get Back in the Win Column With Curry

Golden State went just 1-2 while Curry was sidelined with an ankle injury, including a loss to the Western Conference-worst San Antonio Spurs. But Curry showed no rust when he returned for a huge game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday, scoring a team-high 31 points in the Dubs’ 128-121 victory.

Draymond Green played arguably his best game of the season, with six points, 12 rebounds, 13 assists, and a steal. Green’s performance helped the undersized Warriors finish with a massive 45-39 edge on the glass, though it certainly helped that Anthony Davis managed just four rebounds in 12 minutes before exiting with an eye injury.

The Warriors won the first meeting of the season with the Knicks (110-99) in New York back on Feb. 29, with Curry once again scoring a team-high 31 points. They currently sit 11th in the NBA in O-Rating (116.8), 15th in D-Rating (115.4), and 14th in Net Rating (+1.4). Golden State’s +1.6 point differential is seventh-best in the West.

New York Rides Defense to Three-Game Win Streak

The Knicks have been playing absurdly good defense over the past two weeks. New York hasn’t allowed more than 93 points in its last five games, a ludicrous feat in the modern NBA. New York has won three straight against the 76ers (106-79 home), Trail Blazers (105-93 away), and Kings (98-91 away), the last as 3.5-point road underdogs.

All-Star Jalen Brunson has gone off the past two games, dropping 45 against the Blazers and 42 against the Kings and becoming the first Knick ever to score 40 in back-to-back games.

New York, which owns the best rebound percentage in the entire NBA (52.9%), crushed the Kings on the glass (52-42) while holding them to just 35.3% shooting from the field and 27% from beyond the arc.

After this absurdly good defensive streak, New York still only sits seventh in the NBA in D-Rating (111.9). Along with their O-Rating of 116.4 (14th), the Knicks have the sixth-best Net Rating at +4.5.

OG Anunoby, who has played the last three for the Knicks after missing nearly two months of action, is questionable for tonight’s game with an elbow injury. He managed just two points on 1-of-8 shooting in 33 minutes in the win over Sacramento on Saturday.

Warriors vs Mavericks Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on March 18. 

Coming off back-to-back 40-point games, Brunson (27.5 PPG) leads the Knicks/Warriors props with a point total of 29.5 O/U. Curry (27.0 PPG) is close behind at 26.5. Knicks guard Josh Hart, who has been on a rebounding tear, is listed with a rebound total of 10.5 O/U.  The 6’4 two-guard has grabbed at least 11 rebounds in four straight games and hit double-digits in seven of his last nine (including a pair of 19-rebound performances).

Knicks vs Warriors Prediction

New York’s current defensive streak is impressive, but it’s also been incredibly lucky. The Knicks’ opponents have been ice cold, and that’s something that will regress to the mean over the coming weeks, starting tonight in San Francisco. And opponents aren’t missing shots at the same alarming rate they have been, the opportunity for rebounds is going to be considerably lower. (Looking at you, Josh Hart.)

With New York playing at the single slowest pace in the NBA, 5.5 starts to look like a fairly big number, so I am going to back the Warriors at an alternate spread of -3.5, which has a price of -150 at ESPN Bet.

Knicks vs Warriors pick:

• Warriors -3.5 (-150)
• Hart under 10.5 rebounds (+110)

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-23 moneyline (+2.06 units)
• 20-17-2 ATS (+2.32 units)
• 0-1 over/under (-1.00 units)
• 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise