Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 7 Predictions, Odds, Player Props & Injury Reports (May 5)

• The Orlando Magic visit the Cleveland Cavaliers in a decisive Game 7 of their first-round series on Sunday afternoon
• The home team is 6-0 so far in the series and 5-1 against the spread but Orlando has covered four straight ATS
• Below, see the Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions, odds, player props and injury reports for May 5

The lone Game 7 of the first round of the 2024 NBA playoffs goes on Sunday afternoon when the Orlando Magic (48-38, 18-26 away, 54-34 ATS) visit the Cleveland Cavaliers (52-36, 29-15 home, 40-46-2 ATS) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 1:10 pm ET.

The home team is a perfect 6-0 so far in the best-of-seven series and 5-1 against the number. But Orlando has covered each of the last four games, including a narrow 104-103 Game 5 loss in Cleveland on Tuesday as five-point underdogs. Oddsmakers have taken notice of Orlando’s ATS run and set the Magic vs Cavaliers odds for Game 7 at Cleveland -3.5.

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Predictions for Game 7

On the whole, the Magic have been the better team in the series, and it’s not particularly close. Orlando has a +26 point differential over the first six games (+4 average margin per game) and a massive +8.1 Net Rating (107.0 D-Rating and 98.9 D-Rating). Orlando’s Defensive Rating is second-best in the postseason, trailing only OKC (93.5).

The Cavaliers played their best 36 road minutes of the playoffs in Game 6 and took a five-point lead into the fourth quarter with a chance to close out the series. But the Magic roared back, winning the final 12 minutes 30-18 and emerging with a 103-96 victory as 4.5-point favorites.

Donovan Mitchell was phenomenal in a losing effort for the Cavs. “Spida” dropped 50 points (52.1% of Cleveland’s output) on 22-of-36 from the field (61.1%). But the rest of the Cavaliers went just 20-of-50 from the floor (40%) and Cleveland was badly outrebounded again (49 to 38), hampered by the absence of leading rebounder Jarrett Allen (16.5 PPG, 10.5 RPG), who missed Game 6 with a rib contusion. . Orlando has now grabbed 52.4% of all rebounds in the series.

Allen is questionable to play in Game 7, and even if he does, Orlando is still likely to get the better of the battle on the glass. The Magic have looked faster and more athletic throughout the series, and their entire front line is 6’10.

Orlando was the best ATS team in the regular season and, after some early jitters on the road from the young Magic in Games 1 and 2, have otherwise picked up where they left off. I don’t expect that to stop in Game 7 despite Cleveland’s obvious experience advantage.

ORL vs CLE Game 7 pick: Magic +3.5 (-110)

Magic vs Cavaliers Odds

Odds as of May 4 at DraftKings. Claim one of the DraftKings promos to bet on Magic vs Cavaliers Game 7 on Sunday. 

As mentioned, the Cavaliers are 3.5 point favorites against the spread in Game 7. (The line is as low as +3 at FanDuel but most books have it at 3.5.) Sunday’s NBA odds also list Cleveland at -162 on the moneyline, which equals a 61.54% implied win probability.  The Magic come back at +136 to advance, a 42.37% implied win probability.

The game total is at a series-low 194.5. Every other game in the series has had a total of at least 200.5, but Orlando and Cleveland are averaging just 195.5 points per game and four of the first six games in the series cashed for under bettors.

The winner of Sunday’s matchup in Cleveland will advance in the NBA playoff bracket to face the #1 Boston Celtics, who are already -273 favorites to win the East in the NBA conference odds.

Orlando vs Cleveland Game 7 Injury Reports

Both teams’ Game 7 injury reports are identical to Game 6. For the Cavs, Allen is listed as questionable with the same rib issue that kept him out of Game 6. Allen is joined on the injury report by a trio of players who haven’t played at all in the postseason: Craig Porter, Dean Wade, and Ty Jerome. They combined to average just 13 PPG in the regular season.

The only player on Orlando’s injury report is Gary Harris, who’s questionable with a hamstring injury. Harris averaged just 6.9 PPG in 54 regular-season games.

ORL vs CLE Game 7 Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on May 4, 2024.

The Orlando/Cleveland player props for Game 7 have Donovan Mitchell at a game-high 28.5 points per game, which is three points higher than his total for Game 6 and four higher than Game 5, the last Cleveland home game in the series. Mitchell was only averaging 22.4 PPG in the first five games of the series before his 50-point outburst in Game 6.

Banchero, who’s averaging a team-high 25.2 PPG in the playoffs (up from 22.4 PPG in the regular season), has the highest point total for the Magic at 24.5.

ORL vs CLE player prop picks:

• Mitchell under 28.5 (-108)
• Mobley under 9.5 rebounds (+105)

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