Predictions, Best Bets & Splits for Spurs vs Knicks Game 3

• I’m backing the Knicks to take a 3-0 series lead in the NBA Finals tonight
• New York is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games
• See the predictions, best bets and splits for Spurs vs Knicks Game 3, below

The stage is set for Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Finals tonight, as the New York Knicks host the San Antonio Spurs at 8:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden. ABC and ESPN will broadcast the action, with the Knicks listed as small favorites in the latest NBA odds.

The Knicks are looking to take a 3-0 stranglehold, relying on Jalen Brunson’s elite shot-making. Meanwhile, the Spurs arrive as a desperate team, anchored by Victor Wembanyama’s generational rim protection.

Keep reading for the top predictions, best bets and splits for Spurs vs Knicks Game 3, below.

Predictions for Spurs vs Knicks Game 3

• Knicks -1.5 (-115 at DraftKings)
• Over 216.5 (-105 at DraftKings)

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With New York returning to the friendly confines of Madison Square Garden, my top two bets tonight are the Knicks -1.5 and Over 216.5 points.

New York is a blistering 9-1 against the spread (90%) over their last 10 postseason games. They have also won five consecutive home matchups.

As for the total, San Antonio is an automatic Over machine in this exact spot. The Over has hit in each of their last four road games as an underdog. Given their ability to push the pace in hostile environments, backing the Over provides a massive situational edge.

To fully grasp the betting dynamics of this championship clash, I have to look under the hood. The tale of the tape reveals a fascinating stylistic battle between the historically efficient half-court execution of New York and the high-variance, fast-paced attack of San Antonio.

New York is an absolute offensive juggernaut, leading the playoffs in Offensive Rating and 3-Point Percentage. Their ability to reliably manufacture clean looks makes their baseline efficiency incredibly difficult for any defense to weather over four quarters. Conversely, San Antonio dictates the flow, playing at the third-fastest playoff Pace (97.9).

A major discrepancy in the NBA starting lineups over their recent meetings has been ball control. New York boasts a brilliant 2.0 assist-to-turnover ratio, protecting the rock beautifully. San Antonio has struggled against ball pressure, turning it over 29 times across the first two games. I expect this ball security mismatch to persist in Game 3 and lead the Knicks to another victory.

As for the NBA Championship odds, New York is now a massive -500 favorite to win the title, with San Antonio coming back as +380 underdog.

Best Bets for Spurs vs Knicks Game 3

• Victor Wembanyama Over 27.5 points (-123 at Caesars)

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For player props, my top selection is Wembanyama Over 27.5 points. Given his immense offensive usage and New York’s stout interior defense forcing high-volume shooting, he will get his requisite touches to eclipse this number. Wembanyama is fresh off a 29-point effort in Game 2, and is showing up as a value according to our NBA player prop analyzer.

Odds for Spurs vs Knicks Game 3

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Splits for Spurs vs Knicks Game 3

When looking at the NBA public betting splits, the moneyline market presents a textbook sharp versus public setup. The general public heavily backs the home favorites, with New York commanding 67.3% of tickets. However, a massive 70.6% of the overall stake backs San Antonio to pull off the outright upset. This definitive sharp money indicator suggests immense respect for the desperate road underdogs. While it stings going against the professional money, my conviction on New York is too strong to ignore.

For the game total, the market aligns seamlessly with my official prediction. Both the public and larger bankrolls agree on a high-scoring affair. The Over has drawn 58.3% of betting slips and is backed by 59.3% of the total money stake. Bettors can feel confident that market sentiment supports an offensive battle.