Baylor vs Kansas State Odds & Picks (Feb. 21)
- The Baylor Bears are 2-point road favorites as they visit the Kansas State Wildcats Tuesday
- Kansas State won the previous matchup between these two teams on January 7
- See below for the latest Baylor vs Kansas State odds, plus analysis and best bets
There’s literally no time for the 9th-ranked Baylor Bears (20-7, 9-5 Big 12) to lick their wounds from a total collapse in a loss to Kansas last time out.
They’ve got another heavy looming, as they hit the road to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (20-7, 8-6, Big 12), the 14th-ranked team in the nation, who’s already beaten the Bears earlier this season.
Each at 20-7 overall, Baylor is third in the conference, just a game up on KState. They are chasing both Texas and Kansas.
The college basketball odds have Baylor as 2-point road favorites, featuring a total of 145.5.
Baylor vs Kansas State Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | -2 (-110) | -125 | O 145.5 (-110) |
| Kansas State Wildcats | +2 (-110) | +105 | U 145.5 (-110) |
Odds as of February 20th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on the Baylor vs Kansas State game.
It all gets underway Tuesday (Feb 21) at 7pm ET from Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas. You can watch the game live on ESPN2.
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Baylor vs Kansas State Betting Analysis
Nothing like a late-season collapse to throw a wrench into your confidence. That’s what the Baylor Bears are facing after blowing a 13-point halftime lead to lose 87-71 to Kansas, snapping a 4-game win streak.
The Jayhawks outscored them 55-26 in the final 20 minutes to win going away, and vault to the top of the Big 12 standings.
Adam Flagler lead the way with 22 points and seven assists, while Keyonte George had 20 points, with five hits from downtown and a monster spike.
KEYONTE GEORGE IS ON ANOTHER LEVEL RIGHT NOW 🔥
(via @BaylorMBB)
— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) February 18, 2023
A team that shoots 36.5% from downtown (63d in the NCAA), the Bears couldn’t miss in the first half, drilling 9-of-14, but they hit just one in 11 attempts in the second half.
Since a 97-95 OT loss to KState on January 7, Baylor had been lights out, ripping off 10 wins in 11 games prior to this setback.
The Wildcats got a much-needed 61-55 win against no. 19 Iowa State last time out, snapping a 2-game slide and a stretch where they had lost four of their previous five. In fact, since beating Baylor, State has gone 6-6 over their next 12.
Dance, Dance Revolution#KStateMBB x @MrNewYorkCityy pic.twitter.com/6BpcyepZD6
— K-State Men's Basketball (@KStateMBB) February 18, 2023
Markquis Nowell was the leading scorer for the Wildcats with 20 points, adding six boards and five dimes. He was the star in the last head-to-head, erupting for 32 points and 14 assists. He’s averaging 16.9 points and 7.5 assists on the year.
Keyontae Johnson was the only other teammate to hit double digits, scoring 15 points with six boards. He leads the team with 17.4 points and 7.4 rebounds on the season.
Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction
These teams are among the best-ranked schools in the nation, according to KenPom. The Bears are 14th overall, while KState is 25th.
Baylor is an offensive juggernaut, ranking second in adjusted offensive efficiency, scoring 122 points per 100 possessions, trailing only the Gonzaga Bulldogs. They’re 38th in the nation at 78.5 points per game.
The Wildcats are 59th in offensive efficiency, and rank 91st in scoring at 75.4 points per game.
KState is the much stronger defensive unit, however, 18th in KenPom’s adjusted defensive rating, with Baylor down at 85th. The Bears are susceptible: their opponent effective FG% (51.1) is a distant 213th, while Kansas State is solid in 41st, holding teams to 47%.
Baylor vs Kansas State Head-to-Head
| 9 | Rank | 14 |
| 20-7 | Record | 20-7 |
| 78.5 | Points per Game | 75.4 |
| 69.7 | Points Against per Game | 68.1 |
| 53.1% | Effective FG% | 50.9% |
| 51.1% | Opponent Effective FG% | 47.0% |
If you can take a step back and look big picture, Baylor is actually 4-1 against the spread in their last five contests, but that one is a glaring loss. They’re also 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning record.
The Wildcats have been a solid home bet lately, running a 7-1 ATS mark in their last eight at Bramlage, and they’ve also covered 12 of their last 15 against teams with a winning record.
Despite that, the betting favorite has gone 5-2 ATS in the previous seven head-to-head matchups, and the road team is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
Look for Baylor to bounce back in a prove-it game, against a team battling consistency — it’s one that they need as the season winds down and the stakes rise.
Pick: Baylor -2 (-110)
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
