AI Super Bowl Picks – Who Does AI Have Winning Super Bowl 60? Who’s the Best/Worst Betting Value?

• Sportradar’s AI ran 50,000 simulations of the upcoming NFL season
• See which team our AI says is most-likely to win Super Bowl 60
• How do the Super Bowl 60 odds stack up against our AI simulations?

Sportradar’s AI has performed 50,000 simulations of the upcoming NFL season and tallied the results. According to our AI model, the Baltimore Ravens are the most-likely team to win Super Bowl 60, which aligns with their status as favorite in the current Super Bowl odds.

Baltimore’s Super Bowl win probability (13.3%, according to our AI simulations) exceeds the implied win probability of their longest odds (+700, 12.5% implied probability), which, as you will see below, is a rarity.

In the following table, I have set out each team’s Super Bowl win probability per our AI simulations alongside the implied win probability of their longest odds. In the final column, I have also noted which sportsbook is currently offering the best Super Bowl odds on each team.

I have bolded the teams whose AI probability is greater than the implied win probability (“IWP”) of their odds.

AI Super Bowl Picks & Probabilities

Note that AI win probabilities are rounded to the nearest tenth, which leads to the cumulative probability slightly exceeding 100%.

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Rams, Ravens Have the Best Super Bowl Betting Value, According to AI

There is only one team whose AI win probability is more than three-tenths greater than the implied win probability of their longest odds, and that’s the Baltimore Ravens.

Baltimore’s 13.3% AI-generated probability is 0.8% higher than the win probability of their +700 odds (12.50%). That’s not a big difference, to while it’s a +EV wager, it’s not something to break the bank chasing.

Only one other team has an AI win probability that’s more than one-tenth greater than their odds: the LA Rams have a 4.7% chance to win the Super Bowl according to our AI simulations. Their longest Super Bowl 60 odds (+2200) carry just a 4.35% implied win probability.

Percentage-wise, the Rams are actually the best Super Bowl bet. Their AI probability is 8% higher than their IWP, compared to Baltimore at 6.4%. The Denver Broncos (2.1%) are the only other team over 1%.

The Worst Super Bowl Bets, According to AI

Coming off a horrendous 4-13 season, the New England Patriots have the worst Super Bowl betting value according to our AI. The Pats have just a 0.60% chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy according to our simulations. Yet, their longest Super Bowl odds are +8000, which carries a 1.23% implied win probability – more than double their AI probability.

The Tennessee Titans, who boast #1 pick Cam Ward at QB, are the second-most overpriced team, according to our simulations. Tennessee’s +25000 odds carry a 0.40% IWP, which is exactly double their 0.20% AI win probability.

The remainder of the bottom-five value bets are:

• New York Giants (0.50% IWP vs 0.30% AI win probability)
• Miami Dolphins (0.83% IWP vs 0.50% AI win probability)
• Indianapolis Colts (0.66% IWP vs 0.40% AI win probability)

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