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Best Chiefs vs Chargers Same-Game Parlay for SNF

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Mar 16, 2023 · 1:51 PM PDT

Justin Herbert and Patrick Mahomes embrace
Sep 15, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) meets with Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) following the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
  • Feast your eyes on this four-leg Chiefs vs Chargers same-game parlay for Sunday Night Football in Week 11 that pays out +300 odds
  • Can the Chargers cover 6.5 points at home? Will Justin Herbert throw at least 2 TD passes?
  • Keep reading for all of our Chiefs vs Chargers same-game parlay picks

The NFL did the right thing in Week 11 by moving the slate’s best game to the most coveted time slot. Instead of seeing the AFC North slugfest between the Bengals and Steelers on Sunday Night Football, we get Round two of the Chiefs (7-2, 3-1 away) versus the Chargers (5-4, 2-2 home).

KC took the first game of the season series back in Week 2, although LA controlled the play and the scoreboard for a good portion of the game.

Bettors quickly saw value on Justin Herbert and company in the Chiefs vs Chargers public betting splits, which the spread moving from KC -6.5 to -5.5.

Our Chiefs vs Chargers same-game parlay is also bullish on LA in this spot, and on Herbert in particular.

Chiefs vs Chargers Same-Game Parlay

Pick Odds
Chargers +6.5 -130
Justin Herbert 2+ TD Passes -180
Justin Herbert Over 254.5 Passing Yards -185
Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 Passing Yards -270
PARLAY ODDS  +300

Odds as of November 19th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code where you can get a profit boost of up to 100% on any SGP in Week 11.

Our KC-LAC same-game parlay features four legs, and pays out +300 odds if it hits. The first leg is a bet on the Chargers covering, while the final three legs are on individual player performances.

 

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SGP Pick #1: LA Chargers +6.5

We’re gonna opt to take the Chargers at +6.5 with slightly higher juice, as 5.5 is typically a dead number. LA has covered in both of their contests as underdogs this season per the Chiefs vs Chargers picks, including back in Week 2 at Kansas City.

LA was only getting 3.5 points in that matchup on the road, which makes Sunday’s point spread simply too high. Yes, the Chiefs have won 13 straight road divisional games with Patrick Mahomes under center, but he boasts just a 28-31-1 career ATS mark when favored by 3.5 points or more.

Herbert meanwhile, is 4-1 against the spread in his career against the Chiefs and 2-3 straight up. The three losses were by 3, 3 and 6 points, with the latter outcome decided in overtime.

SGP Pick #2: Justin Herbert 2+ TD Passes

There’s no need to go too deep into the analysis on this one. The Chiefs have played nine different quarterbacks this season, and only one, Malik Willis, has failed to throw at least two touchdown passes. Willis threw the ball just 16 times in that matchup, completing only five passes.

Herbert meanwhile, has at least 2 TD passes in four of five career meetings against KC, throwing three or more three separate times.

SGP Pick #3: Justin Herbert Over 254.5 Passing Yards

Herbert has failed to clear 254.5 passing yards in back-to-back outings, but that’s largely due to the absence of his top-two receivers. Mike Williams and Keenan Allen have missed two and eight games respectively, but there’s a good chance both of them will be on the field on SNF per the Chiefs vs Chargers injury report.

Williams has already been given the green light, and Herbert has passed for at least 279 yards in five of the seven games Big Mike has played this season.

Justin Herbert Career Stats vs Chiefs

Date ATT-CMP YDS TD
09/15/2022 33-48 334 3
12/16/2021 22-38 236 2
09/26/2021 26-38 281 4
01/03/2021 22-31 302 3
09/20/2020 22-33 311 1

Herbert has exceeded 280 passing yards in four of five career starts against KC, while the Chiefs defense ranks 22nd against the pass this season per DVOA. Fire up overs on Herbert in the Chiefs vs Chargers player props.

SGP Pick #4: Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 Passing Yards

As for Mahomes, he’s been the NFL’s first half MVP so far. He leads the league in passing yards and TD, throwing for over 1,500 yards in his last four games alone.

Mahomes has passed for at least 249 yards in all but one game this season, and averages 298 passing yards over his career in primetime tilts.

LA does rank 12th against the pass per DVOA, but that’s largely due to the underwhelming cast of QB’s they’ve faced. Outside of Mahomes, they’ve squared off against only one other top-14 quarterback. That was Geno Smith, who torched them for a 74% completion rate and a 104.0 passer rating.

 

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