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Best Dolphins vs Bills Same-Game Parlay for Saturday Night Football

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in NFL News

Published:


Bills quarterback Josh Allen avoids tackle
Bills quarterback Josh Allen avoids the tackle by Jets Nathan Shepherd.
  • The Dolphins and Bills do battle on Week 15 NFL Saturday night
  • We’ve included Josh Allen and Devin Singletary in today’s SGP
  • See the +360 odds in this Dolphins vs Bills same-game parlay for Saturday, December 17th

A very important matchup concludes the Saturday slate of three games as the Miami Dolphins take on the Buffalo Bills. These AFC East rivals are jockeying for playoff position, with Miami at 8-5 and the Bills 10-3 and leading the AFC. It’s expected to be a heavy snowfall for this contest, which has influenced our picks for this Dolphins vs Bills same-game parlay.

Dolphins vs Bills Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Raheem Mostert Over 34.5 Rushing Yards -350
Josh Allen Over 44.5 Rushing Yards -145
Devin Singletary Over 44.5 Rushing Yards +110
SAME-GAME PARLAY ODDS +360

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Today’s SGP has three legs, including Raheem Mostert Over 34.5 rushing yards and the Josh Allen/Devin Singletary duo both over 44.5 rushing yards given the heavy snowfall expected to descend on Buffalo.

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The public is favoring Buffalo to cover the 7-point spread with 63% of bets on them, while 85% of Dolphins vs Bills public betting trends are pointing to wagers on the Bills to win on the moneyline. With respect to the game total, 53% of bets have been placed on over 43 total points.

The Bills are the favorite in the Super Bowl odds at +350. The Dolphins are the eighth choice at +2500.

SGP Pick #1: Raheem Mostert Over 34.5 Rushing Yards

The last Dolphins game Tua Tagovailoa really struggled in a loss to the Chargers, going just 10-for-28 with 145 passing yards. Enter Raheem Mostert to alleviate some of the burden. In eight of twelve games this season, he’s cracked over 35 yards.

Mostert’s running back mate Jeff Wilson Jr. is questionable to play in this one with a hip injury. If he doesn’t suit up, that’s more carries for Mostert to hit the over, and perhaps he’ll get more work anyway to keep Wilson Jr. upright. That’s something to consider in the Dolphins vs Bills player props.

The Bills have the 25th-ranked run defense, according to Pro Football Focus, which is something Mostert can exploit to go over the total.

SGP Pick #2: Josh Allen Over 44.5 Rushing Yards

Josh Allen is made for games like this, where it’s a blizzard and he can use his athleticism to his advantage with his legs. Our model has this affair going in the Bills favor 29-16.9 over the Dolphins. Allen has rushed for over 45 yards in two of his last three outings, and for eight times this season (doing so against Miami).

In five of nine career meetings against his AFC East rivals, Allen has rushed for over that total. This could be a tough game for Allen to rack up yards through the air with it being a blizzard, so he could use his legs to hit this mark for the sixth time in his last eight contests.

SGP Pick #3: Devin Singletary Over 44.5 Rushing Yards

Are you sensing a theme in this same-game parlay? You got it, we are hammering the over for Bills top running back Devin Singletary as well with Buffalo the favorites over Miami. Singletary has rushed for over the 44.5 mark in four of his last five games, and eight total times this season.

In all but one of the Dolphins 13 games this season, they’ve surrendered at least 45 yards on the ground to a rusher. Buffalo has averaged the eighth-highest yards per game average on the ground in the NFL.

Dolphins vs Bills Same-Game Parlay Odds (+360)

 

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Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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